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Justin Herbert’s rapid rise reminds us that evaluating QB prospects is absolutely futile

If I were to put together a list of the quarterbacks I’d most like to build around, Justin Herbert might crack the top-five. I’m saying that now, but four months ago, I thought the guy was legitimately bad at football.

My point is, I’m an idiot. But I’m not alone. When it comes to evaluating quarterback prospects, we’re all idiots. Everyone is bad at it. NFL teams aren’t any better than your random draft analyst on Twitter. And there’s no shame in that. We’re bad at evaluating quarterbacks like people are “bad” at playing the lottery. It’s just an impossible task, and I don’t think any player illustrates that frustrating fact more than Herbert.

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