Here are three props that are statistically favorable tonight based on the analysis done by

In the interests of full disclosure, our picks are 11-16 this season but we believe over the long haul that our numbers provide accurate and worthwhile insights.


*Odds courtesy of DraftKings


1) Ezekiel Elliott, over 18.5 receiving yards, -120.

Elliott has been a large part of the Cowboys passing game of late, with six catches in each of the last two games. He cracked the 20-yard receiving mark in both games and in five of the last six contests. Based on SIS data, we expect Elliott to get 4.5 targets and catch 3.2 of them for 27.4 yards almost 50% more yards than needed to cover the over number.


2) Juwan Johnson, over 10.5 receiving yards, -110.

Starter Adam Trautman remains on the IR, which means Juwan Johnson should continue to get a majority of the tight end snaps. Johnson’s production has been inconsistent, but he’s averaging 12 yards per reception so likely only needs one catch to cover the 10.5-yard number.

New starting quarterback Taysom Hill can hardly be worse than what we saw from Trevor Siemian on Thanksgiving Day. In fact, Hill produced three games last season where he threw for more than 230 yards in four starts. The change under center should help Johnson and we are projecting 2.9 targets, 1.9 receptions and 22.1 yards, more than double what is needed for the over.


3) CeeDee Lamb, under 4.5 receptions, +120.

It’s always a question mark when your receiver is likely to go head-to-head against Marshon Lattimore. Although he hasn’t been as good in 2021 as past seasons, Lattimore is still a tough customer for a receiver to take advantage of, particularly in front of a national television audience. SIS analysis sets Lamb’s totals with 5.7 targets and 3.7 receptions for 47.2 yards.


Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball, footbal, and basketballl data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as FanGraphs and Football Outsiders.


Dallas at New Orleans

Dak Prescott

Over 283.5 yards -115, under -115

Over 1.5 TD passes -230, under +170

Over 0.5 INTs -105, under -130

Over 24.5 completions -110, under -125


Taysom Hill

Over 209.5 yards -115, under -115



TD Scorers

Dallas –

Ezekiel Elliott, -125

CeeDee Lamb, +120

Michael Gallup, +175

Cedrick Wilson, +225

Tony Pollard, +165

Dalton Schultz, +180

Amari Cooper, +180

Dak Prescott, +450


New Orleans –

Alvin Kamara, +100

Mark Ingram, +110

Taysom Hill, +160

Marquez Callaway, +220

Tre’Quan Smith, +250

Deonte Harris, +250

Nick Vannett, +400

Tony Jones, Jr., +650

Ty Montgomery, +650

Kenny Stills, +850


Rushing Yards

Dallas –

Dak Prescott, over 8.5 yards -115, under -115

Ezekiel Elliott, over 46.5 yards -115, under -115

Tony Pollard, over 43.5 yards -115, under -115


New Orleans –

Taysom Hill, over 32.5 yards, -115, under -115



Dallas –

Ezekiel Elliott, over 2.5 receptions -170, under +125

CeeDee Lamb, over 4.5 receptions -160, under +120

Dalton Schultz, over 3.5 receptions -170, under +125

Michael Gallup, over 3.5 receptions -140, under +105

Tony Pollard, over 2.5 receptions +105, under -140


Receiving Yards

Dallas –

Dalton Schultz, over 42.5 yards -115, under -115

Ezekiel Elliott, over 18.5 yards -120, under -110

Michael Gallup, over 46.5 yards -115, under -115

Tony Pollard, over 16.5 yards -115, under -115

Amari Cooper, over 47.5 yards -115, under -115


New Orleans –

Deonte Harris, over 33.5 yards -115, under -115

Juwan Johnson, over 10.5 yards -110, under -120

Marquez Callaway, over 30.5 yards -115, under -115

Tre’Quan Smith, over 39.5 yards -115, under -115