Three prop bet options for Thursday Night Football that rate favorably per

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings

1) Russell Wilson, under 24.5 completions, -125.

This is the best prop bet on the board tonight. Wilson is averaging just 27.3 passing attempts per game, so the likelihood that he will complete 25 of them is minimal. Through four games he has yet to complete more than 23.

The SIS data predicts Wilson will throw 30 times and complete just 20 for 223 yards.

Based on this information, the actual odds for under 24.5 completions should be -475, but at DraftKings the number is set at -125. The math clearly favors this one.


2) Cooper Kupp, over 6.5 receptions, -145.

Through four games Kupp has been the hottest receiver in the league, producing 431 yards and five touchdowns on 42 targets and 30 receptions. He’s gotten double-digit targets in every game and only once has Kupp caught fewer than seven balls.

The Seahawks’ pass defense hasn’t been very good, yielding the seventh-most completions, fifth-most yards and eighth-most touchdown passes. Kupp and Stafford should be a potent weapon.

Our analysis predicts Kupp will see 12.5 targets, catch 8.9 balls for 102.9 yards. A fair number for the Kupp over should be -363, but we only have to give -145.


3) Robert Woods, under 5.5 receptions, -135.

Woods has been a disappointment this season and through the first four games has yet to catch six balls in a game.

The primary reason is opportunity.

Last season he averaged 8.1 targets, but through for games this season he’s getting only 6.3 targets.

The SIS prediction analysis says he will see 5.6 targets, catch 3.8 balls for 42.5 yards.

If correct, a fair number for the under would be -442, yet at DraftKings the number is set at -135.


SIS has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.


Odds –

Quarterback Passing Yards


Matthew Stafford, over 298.5, -115/under -115

Russell Wilson, over 266.5, -115/under -115


Quarterback Passing TDs


Matthew Stafford, over 2.5, TDs, +130/under -175

Russell Wilson, over 1.5 TDs, -155/under +115


Quarterback Interceptions


Matthew Stafford, over 0.5, INTs, +110/under -145

Russell Wilson, over 0.5 INTs, +130/under -175


Quarterback Completions


Matthew Stafford, over 25.5, completions, -110/under -125

Russell Wilson, over 24.5 completions, -105/under -125



Touchdown Scorers

Los Angeles Rams –

Cooper Kupp, -130

Darrell Henderson Jr., -110

Robert Woods, +110

Van Jefferson, +200

Tyler Higbee, +200

Sony Michel, +230

DeSean Jackson, +300

Matthew Stafford, +550



Seattle –

Chris Carson, -110

Tyler Lockett, +100

DK Metcalf, +105

Alex Collins, +200

Freddie Swaim, +200

Russell Wilson, +300

Gerald Everett, +350

Will Dissly, +400

Travis Homer, +450

DeeJay Dallas, +450



Rushing Yards


Los Angeles –

Darrell Henderson Jr., 64.5, over -115/under -115

Matthew Stafford, 5.5, over -110/under -120


Seattle –

Chris Carson, 46.5, over -110/under -120

Russell Wilson, 21.5, over -110/under -120


Receiving Yards


Los Angeles –

Cooper Kupp, 84.5, over -115/under -115

Darrell Henderson Jr., 20.5, over -115/under -115

Robert Woods, 60.5, over -115/under -115

Tyler Higbee, 42.5, over -115/under -115

Van Jefferson, 44.5, over -110/under -120



Seattle –

Chris Carson, 9.5, over -115/under -115

DK Metcalf, 73.5, over -115/under -115

Freddie Swaim, 21.5, over -110/under -120

Tyler Lockett, 67.5, over -115/under -115





Los Angeles –

Cooper Kupp, 6.5, over -145/under +110

Darrell Henderson Jr., 2.5, over -180/under +135

Robert Woods, 5.5, over +100/under -135

Tyler Higbee, 3.5, over -125/under -105

Van Jefferson, 3.5, over -110/under -120

Seattle –

Chris Carson, 1.5, over -140/under +105

DK Metcalf, 5.5, over -150/under +115

Freddie Swaim, 2.5, over +145/under -195

Tyler Lockett, 5.5, over +100/under -130