Category: College Football

  • Study: What Is So Dangerous About Special Teams Plays? 

    Study: What Is So Dangerous About Special Teams Plays? 

    An In-Depth Observational Analysis of Injuries that Occurred During Kickoff and Punt Plays Between the 2017-2021 Seasons: Part 1 

    Introduction 

    For years, we have been told how dangerous special team plays are, especially kickoffs and punts. Theoretically, it makes sense as we have elite athletes running at high speeds to engage in violent collisions with one another. That sentence alone makes me want to avert my eyes, but I can’t help my desire to watch the action unfold. Are these plays as dangerous as they are made out to be? 

    The NFL believes this is the case and continues to review and implement rule changes during the offseason for player safety. Their forward actions should be applauded, as injuries are an inevitable consequence due to the nature of the sport but should be minimized to whatever degree possible. Injury prevention is more of a pipe dream than a realistic goal, but risk reduction is what all parties are hoping to attain. 

    Luckily, SIS has the data to assess the situation and investigate the relationship between injuries and specific play types. This article will focus on the relationship between injuries during kickoff and punt plays compared to other plays at the pro and collegiate levels. We will then compare the two levels to one another to identify any discrepancies that presented themselves. 

     Breakdown of Injury Data 

    First, it’s important to understand the proportion of these two play types in the totality of all plays. Special teams accounts for between 17-18% of plays in each season, and kickoff and punts will make up around 11-12% on their own.  

    SIS scouts have identified 7,294 in-game injuries at the Pro level between the seasons of 2017-2021 and over that time our Injury Analysts have reviewed the film of each injury and cross-referenced injury reports to provide the most up-to-date and accurate information. 

    From our data, injuries on kickoff and punt plays account for 7% of all in-game injuries. Although that percentage does not appear concerning, it is the areas involved and the severity of these injuries that are alarming. Previous investigations identify the head and knee regions as areas of concern. Our data will provide a thorough analysis of these two regions as well as other concerning trends found during this investigation. 

    Examination of Head and Knee Injuries at the Professional Level 

    The proportion of head injuries between kickoff and punt plays compared to other plays stands out. Injuries involving the head account for 18.5% of the injuries that occurred on kickoff and punt plays compared to 13.4% on the other play types (alpha= 0.05, p < .01). 

    NFL Injury Breakdown by Injury Region and Play Type for 2017-21. Lower extremity injuries are most common overall, with head and knee injuries being more common on kickoffs/punts.

    Assessing knee injuries on these specific play types sheds a different light. Knee injuries account for 23.8% of the injuries that occurred during kickoffs and punts compared to the 20.7% during the other play types (alpha= 0.05, p = 0.03). Though the gap between these proportions is smaller than what the head region revealed, things get interesting when you observe the specific knee diagnoses involved.  

    The alarming revelation appears when you evaluate the disparity of proportions between anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries of these play type groupings. Confirmed ACL injuries account for 19.2% of the knee injuries that transpired on kickoffs and punts compared to 6.9% during other plays (alpha= 0.05, p < .01). 

    As most football fans know, ACL injuries will likely require a season-ending reconstruction surgery. Although the likelihood of a return to previous performance levels has improved, the duration of the rehab is lengthy and can vary greatly between athletes. 

    Examination of Head and Knee Injuries at the Collegiate Level 

    Next, we’ll examine the relationship between play types and injuries at the collegiate level. Since full disclosure of college injury diagnoses are difficult to verify, this analysis will focus on general regions. Like the NFL, the proportion of kickoff and punt plays follow the same ratio accounting for 11-12% of total plays. 

    SIS scouts identified 21,894 in-game injuries between the 2017-2021 seasons. As stated above, our Injury Analysts reviewed each play to identify the region affected during the play and updated that injury information accordingly.  

    From our data, 5.6% of the identified in-game injuries occurred during kickoff or punt plays. As we will see, the areas involved during those injuries stand out when comparing the regional distribution and their corresponding proportions between the play types of interest. 

    NCAA Injury Breakdown by Injury Region and Play Type for 2017-21. Lower extremity injuries are most common overall, with head and knee injuries being more common on kickoffs/punts.

    Injuries involving the head during kickoff and punt plays account for 18.6% of our recorded injuries compared to 12.8% during the other play types (alpha= 0.05, p < .01). In addition, an injury sustained during a kickoff or punt play involved the knee 29.8% of the time compared to 26.1% for the other group of plays (alpha= 0.05, p < .01). 

    Once again, the data suggests that the head and knee regions are more likely to be involved when an injury occurs during a kickoff or punt play.  

    Comparison between College and the Pros 

    A major discrepancy presented itself when the injury proportional data was compared between the two levels. Regardless of the type of play involved, college players’ knees were more likely to involved with the injury.

    NFL vs NCAA injury rates by body region. Lower leg / knee injuries are much more common in NCAA.  

    It is a peculiar phenomenon that proved to be significant. Retrospective research studies regarding football injuries identify the knee as an area of concern. We have gathered that the knee is the most at-risk region to be affected by an injury during a football game. The risk of involvement appears to increase at the collegiate level, in addition to during kickoff and punt plays.  

    Why do college players’ knees appear to be at higher risk compared to the pros? Is it the style of play between the levels or some other factor involved? Speculation could be drawn that the greater proportion of elite athletes at the professional level may decrease the knees’ involvement during injuries at that level. Another factor could be the increased variations of formations at the college level compared to the pros. More research is needed to understand this difference. 

    Further Research 

    Questions present themselves after observing this data. Questions like: Why do the head and knee regions appear to be more involved during kickoffs and punts? Other disproportions were apparent after examining the data that were not investigated further within this study. One example is the higher proportion of ankle and foot injuries at both levels during the other play types. 

    As one of the Injury Analysts at SIS, I hypothesize that the higher proportion of ankle and foot injuries appears because of the common mechanism of injury I witness while reviewing plays. Many ankle injuries occur at the line of scrimmage where linemen are engaged with one another and subsequently get rolled up on by another player. Eliminating this type of action from a kickoff and punt play would decrease the likelihood of the ankle being involved when an injury occurs. 

    The other disproportion that was not investigated further was the difference within the upper leg and thigh region between the play type groupings. Most injuries to that region involve a muscle strain. I elaborated on muscle strains, specifically hamstrings, during a threepart series at the beginning of this past season. A common mechanism of a muscle strain involves high velocity running, which is more likely to occur for a greater number of athletes on the field during a kickoff or punt play. I suspect that may be the culprit behind that region’s higher involvement during kickoffs and punts. 

    The goal of this observational analysis was to examine the data and evaluate the relationship between the varying play types and the injuries that occurred. It proved to be fruitful, and it will lead to further studies to help identify variables that may be contributing to the results. The next article will continue this investigation by focusing on the kickoff and punt plays individually. We will utilize our data to observe the injuries within different conditions and evaluate the players affected to enhance our understanding at what transpires during these plays. 

  • The 2021 College Football All-SIS Teams

    The 2021 College Football All-SIS Teams

    Before getting into bowl games, the end of each College Football season is followed up by a plethora of awards and accolades. This season at SIS, we used our all-encompassing player value stat, Total Points, and our scouting work as leading references in putting together two teams of All-SIS selections for 2021.

    You can learn more about Total Points and the statistics referenced in this piece here.

    These picks are meant to honor the best-of-the-best in the sport.

     

    First Team Offense

     

    QB – Bryce Young, Alabama

    2021’s Heisman-trophy favorite, Young has led the Crimson Tide to another SEC Championship and back to the playoffs in his first year as a starter. He is 2nd in the country in Independent Quarterback Rating, which builds on the traditional Passer Rating formula by isolating competitive throws and eliminating the effects of results outside his control, and is in the top 10 in catchable and on-target passes while facing the 2nd most pressures among all FBS quarterbacks.

     

    RB – Kenneth Walker III, Michigan State

    The Wake Forest transfer made a tremendous impact on the Spartans’ 10-2 season and 8-0 start. The nation’s 2nd-leading rusher, Walker leads the country in yards after contact, total broken and missed tackles, and for ball carriers with over 200 carries, yards per attempt. A true workhorse, Walker was the only Michigan State running back with a rushing touchdown, logging 18 of them.

     

    RB – Breece Hall, Iowa State

    Hall has been regarded as one of the top running backs in the country over the last couple seasons. In 2021, he tied for the lead in rushing touchdowns with 20 and was 5th with over 121 Yards/Game. He was also only 1 of 3 RBs to force 30 or more broken tackles and 30 or more missed tackles.

     

    WR – Skyy Moore, Western Michigan

    Moore had a respectable season as a true freshman in 2019, but burst onto the scene this year leading all wide receivers with 49 Total Points. He accounted for 40% of Western Michigan’s receiving yards, and with that, his drop percentage of only 1% was the lowest among all WRs with at least 70 targets. His 96.6% On-Target Catch Rate ranked 4th in the FBS.

     

    WR – David Bell, Purdue

    Bell has led the Boilermakers in receiving for three straight seasons, and his 2021 campaign was his best and most relied upon yet, nearly doubling his next closest teammate in targets. 5th in the country in receiving yards per game, Bell also topped all Big-10 receivers in catches, yards, first downs, and broken+missed tackles.

     

    TE – Trey McBride, Colorado State

    McBride will be one of the tight ends headed to Mobile for the Senior Bowl after an outstanding 2021 season where he leads all TEs with 48 Total Points. His 91 catches on the year were tops in FBS by 20 at the position and his 1,124 receiving yards were over 300 more than Isaiah Likely’s 816. He leads all FBS TEs in receptions and receiving yards, and it wasn’t close. His 91 receptions were 20 more than second while his 1,124 receiving yards were over 300 more than anyone else.

     

    OT – Zach Tom, Wake Forest

    Tom was part of an offense that led Wake Forest to it’s first ever AP top 10 ranking and an ACC Championship Game appearance. Wake Forest’s offensive line unit blocked for the 9th-best passing attack in FBS. In addition, Tom leads all offensive linemen with 45 Total Points, all tackles with just a 0.5% overall Blown Block Rate, and ranked top 6 in lowest Blown Block Rate on both passes and runs.

     

    OT – Charles Cross, Mississippi State

    To play left tackle for a Mike Leach Air Raid offense, you need to be able to pass protect on the blind side. Cross, a former 5-star recruit and future NFL draft pick, has led all left tackles in college football in pass blocking snaps for two straight seasons, logging over 1,200, yet still was a 2021 top 5 performer in lowest Blown Block Rate in pass protection among Power-5 left tackles.

     

    OG – Hawk Wimmer, Air Force

    Wimmer not only has one of the better names in college football, but was also one of the best guards in the country as well. He blocked for the top rushing attack in all of FBS, as the Air Force offense gained over 4,000 yards on the ground, nearly 750 more than 2nd-place Army. Additionally, Wimmer’s 0.9% Blown Block Rate overall ranked in the top 25 of all guards.

     

    OG – Blaise Andries, Minnesota

    Minnesota was one of the most run-heavy non-military academy teams in the country in 2021, and Blaise Andries was their versatile anchor. Andries played the bulk of his 730 snaps at right guard but moved all over within the Gophers’ jumbo packages. Minnesota lapped the field in rushing stats while utilizing extra linemen, but it is Andries who leads the Power 5 in Points Earned among players who are primarily guards.

     

    OC – Tyler Linderbaum, Iowa

    Linderbaum’s athleticism and execution level as the center for Kirk Ferentz’ Hawkeyes put offensive line play in the national conversation in 2021, with Heisman mentions rumbling at the season’s midway point. A three-year starter in Iowa’s zone scheme, Linderbaum didn’t register a single holding penalty in 2021 and finished in the top 5 in Total Points for his position.

     

    First Team Defense

     

    DT – Cameron Thomas, San Diego State

    The definition of versatility across the defensive line, Thomas lined up at every single defensive line technique at least once in 2021. Among all DL, his 66 pressures were 2nd-most and his 11.5 sacks tied for 6th. When just looking at QB knockdowns, his 14 leads the country. He’s part of San Diego State’s pass rush that, as a unit, leads the entire FBS with 221 pressures.

     

    DT – Dion Novil, North Texas

    The 5th-year senior was a big presence in the middle of North Texas’ defense, especially as they finished 2021 on a five-game winning streak to become bowl eligible. Novil was 3rd in the country in tackles per game in the run game, top 10 in sacks, and top 15 in pressures among all NCAA defensive linemen when lined up between the guards, all without missing or having a tackle broken.

     

    EDGE – Will Anderson Jr., Alabama

    What else is there to say about Anderson, arguably the best player in college football (Heisman finalist voting be damned)? He leads the country in sacks, tackles for loss, and average tackle depth (0.0), he’s in contention to finish his second straight year as the nation’s leader in total pressures (having only played two seasons), and he’s done it all while rarely leaving the field, playing a ridiculous 83% of snaps this season.

     

    EDGE – Sam Williams, Ole Miss

    As someone who went from barely putting his hand in the ground two years ago to having his hand down almost exclusively this year, Williams put up big numbers for the Ole Miss defense in 2021. His 57 Total Points ranked 2nd among all FBS edge rushers. In addition, his 53 pressures and 11.5 sacks both ranked top 7 in the country.

     

    LB – Damone Clark, LSU

    Clark leads all LBs in Total Points with 75 and ranked just behind Will Anderson Jr. for the most Total Points by any non-QB. Clark leads all players with 140 tackles and 11.7 tackles per game against the run. In coverage, Clark saw the 3rd-most targets among all LBs with 33, but allowed only a 69.9 Passer Rating Against, 63.6% Completion Rate, and 4.2 Yards/Attempt.

     

    LB – Luke Reimer, Nebraska

    It was a difficult year for Nebraska, but Reimer was a critical piece for the Cornhuskers defense, making numerous clutch plays and anchoring their linebacking corps. He is 2nd in the country in coverage points saved from the linebacker position and second on his team among all players in total pass breakups. He also racked up over 100 tackles in the run game, including 15 against Buffalo and 19 against Purdue, with 3 forced fumbles, and finished 2nd at the position in our Total Points metric.

     

    LB/DB – Jalen Pitre, Baylor

    Though classified as a safety, Pitre played all over for Baylor, thus claiming our multi-position spot. While spending most of his time in the slot, he still saw 30 or more snaps at safety, off-ball linebacker, and on the edge. In coverage among safeties with at least 25 targets, his 38.2 Passer Rating Against ranked 4th and 68.8% Deserved Catch Rate ranked 16th. He was the only safety in the top 10 of targets not to be called for a pass interference penalty. Additionally, he tied for the most TFLs against the run among all defensive players.

     

    CB – Montaric Brown, Arkansas

    For a middle of the pack pass defense, Brown did his part for Arkansas this year. Brown excelled for the Razorbacks in 2021, lining up outside on both sides of their defense and even occasionally at safety. He is tied for the most interceptions in college football this season, allowed the 4th lowest deserved catch percentage, and is top 15 in Coverage Points Saved.

     

    CB – Ja’Quan McMillian, East Carolina

    McMillian saw a lot of passes thrown his way in 2021, 11th-most with 67, but held his own throughout the season, tying for the FBS lead with 5 interceptions. His 60 Total Points tied for 2nd among FBS cornerbacks. Among CBs with at least 40 targets, he ranked 11th in Passer Rating Against and 27th in overall Completion Rate.

     

    SAF – Dane Belton, Iowa

    Another versatile DB, Belton played everywhere from safety down to the edge for the Hawkeyes defense. His 54 Total Points were 2nd-most among safeties, behind only Jalen Pitre. Additionally, he tied for the FBS lead with 5 interceptions and allowed only 0.5 Yards Per Cover Snap.

     

    SAF – Khoury Bethley, Hawaii

    Bethley easily could have been our hybrid selection, as he saw a whopping 996 defensive snaps this season that were nearly evenly split between safety, slot and linebacker. He is 11th in the country in coverage snaps, and his completion percentage, QBR, and yards per coverage snap allowed are all well above average marks. He is tied for the most interceptions in the country with 5 and is 4th in the country in total tackles among defensive backs.

     

    First Team Specialists

     

    K – Harrison Mevis, Missouri

    Mevis is tied for the lead among all players who are primarily field goal kickers with 24 Total Points. He is 20-of-22 on field goals, going 3-of-3 from over 50 yards, while also hitting all 40 of his extra point attempts. His 20 made field goals tied for 9th-most in FBS and 2nd-most in the SEC.

     

    P – Matt Araiza, San Diego State

    Araiza has had a historical season in the punting category this year. Not only does he lead all punters in Total Points with 42, but he broke numerous NCAA records including Punt Average (51.4), the most 50-yard punts, and the most 60-yard punts in a single season. Additionally, he had a long punt of 86 yards, 36 of his 76 punts landed inside the 20 and 13 of them landed inside the 10. While he’s known more for his punting, he has also made 17 field goals and all 38 of his extra points in 2021.

     

    Returner – Marcus Jones, Houston

    Marcus Jones is the most versatile player in college football this year and was worth a selection at multiple positions on this list. The Paul Hornung Award winner not only led the nation in punt return yards and touchdowns, ranked 4th in kickoff return average and 2nd in touchdowns, and tied for first in interceptions and third in interception yards, he also has 10 catches and a receiving touchdown on offense.

     

    1st Team All-SIS

     

    Position Name School
    QB Bryce Young Alabama
    RB Kenneth Walker III Michigan State
    RB Breece Hall Iowa State
    WR Skyy Moore Iowa
    WR David Bell Purdue
    TE Trey McBride Colorado State
    OT Charles Cross Mississippi State
    OT Zach Tom Wake Forest
    OG Hawk Wimmer Air Force
    OG Blaise Andries Minnesota
    OC Tyler Linderbaum Iowa

     

    Position Name School
    DT Cameron Thomas San Diego State
    DT Dion Novil North Texas
    EDGE Will Anderson Jr. Alabama
    EDGE Sam Williams Ole Miss
    LB Luke Reimer Nebraska
    LB Damone Clark LSU
    LB/DB Jalen Pitre Baylor
    CB Montaric Brown Arkansas
    CB Ja’Quan McMillian East Carolina
    S Dane Belton Iowa
    S Khoury Bethley Hawaii

     

    Position Name School
    K Harrison Mevis Missouri
    P Matt Araiza San Diego State
    Returner Marcus Jones Houston

     

    2nd Team All-SIS

     

    Position Name School
    QB Matt Corral Ole Miss
    RB Bijan Robinson Texas
    RB Zach Charbonnet UCLA
    WR Garrett Wilson Ohio State
    WR Jahan Dotson Penn State
    TE Isaiah Likely Coastal Carolina
    OT Nick Broeker Ole Miss
    OT Kadeem Telfort UAB
    OG Nous Keobounnam Oregon State
    OG Gabe Blair North Texas
    OC Shane Vallot Louisiana

     

    Position Name School
    DT Phidarian Mathis Alabama
    DT Scott Matlock Boise State
    EDGE Aidan Hutchinson Michigan
    EDGE Will McDonald IV Iowa State
    LB Devin Lloyd Utah
    LB Nakobe Dean Georgia
    LB/DB JoJo Domann Nebraska
    CB Ahmad Gardner Cincinnati
    CB Kyler Gordon Washington
    S Jaylan Foster South Carolina
    S JL Skinner Boise State

     

    Position Name School
    K Caleb Shudak Iowa
    P Jordan Stout Penn State
    Returner Alan Lamar Arkansas State

     

    Led by Heisman finalist Aidan Hutchinson, the 2nd Team is full of stars, as well. 

    Robinson, Charbonnet, Wilson, Broeker, Hutchinson, Lloyd, Shudak, and Stout all ranked in the top 3 of their respective positions in Total Points. The list also includes a true freshman in Gabe Blair from North Texas, a guy who had a handful of Power 5 offers, but chose to stay home in Denton.

    One of the most obvious oddities among these teams is the inclusion of only one Georgia player, Nakobe Dean, on what was the No. 1 team for nearly the entire season. Georgia has the depth to rotate players at many positions. Additionally, the multitude of blowouts it had this year meant that a good number of top players didn’t rack up as many plays. This hurt with regards to their accumulation of Total Points.

    All 10 conferences are represented by these two teams. Our scouts put in a lot of hard work and dedication this season charting games and scouting players for every FBS team, and the first annual All-SIS teams are a culmination of that work.

  • Who will judge this year’s SIS Football Analytics Challenge?

    Who will judge this year’s SIS Football Analytics Challenge?

    Update: The competition will be held August 4 at 8pm ET.  You can make a donation here.

    Watch here!.

    In case you hadn’t heard, the second annual SIS Analytics Challenge is underway. If you’re not already entered, you can learn more about the contest here, but it’s more likely that you’ve come to find out who will be judging your research in the coming weeks.

    We are fortunate to have had so many great industry experts agree to take part in the challenge. Each track will have four judges. Their backgrounds cover a wide spectrum of expertise and we’re excited about the different perspectives they will provide.

    If you’re answering the football research prompt, your work will be judged by:
    Caio Brighenti, Detroit Lions football analyst
    Matt Manocherian, SIS VP of Football & Research and former NFL scout
    Najee Goode, 8-year NFL linebacker and Super Bowl LII champion
    Seth Walder, ESPN sports analytics writer
    And the sports betting track panel is comprised of:
    Aaron Schatz, Football Outsiders editor-in-chief and ESPN+ NFL analyst
    Dan Hannigan-Daley, SIS CEO
    Johnny Avello, Las Vegas legend and current DraftKings Sportsbook director
    Rick Neuheisel, former NFL offensive coordinator and Power 5 head coach for 12 years
     

    While we think you’ll be excited about the opportunity to present to these judges, SIS has other stuff in the works and wants to empanel even more judges before presentations are due. Stay tuned for further updates in the coming days.

  • Jordan Strachan is college football’s clandestine threat to quarterbacks

    Jordan Strachan is college football’s clandestine threat to quarterbacks

    By BEN HRKACH

    Well informed fans understand that college football players jumping from lower-level programs to Power 5 schools are potential gems. These players are often a safer bet than an incoming freshman, even if that freshman is beloved by all of the recruiting services. Players that have a proven track record of success and fit all of the required measurables are often impact players for their new program. When these players play positions that are coveted at the next level, NFL fans should take notice as well.

    Last year’s example of this was Jabril Cox, who played linebacker for North Dakota State, then transferred to LSU. He proved he had the athleticism to hang with blue-chip prospects and proved to the NFL that he was a modern-day linebacker.

    This year, one top candidate to do something similar is South Carolina’s Jordan Strachan.

    Strachan is a prime contender to vault onto the national radar, as well as the early rounds of the NFL draft. Strachan is an edge rusher that plays off the ball occasionally and fits the bill for the next level at 6’4” 220 with long arms and impressive athleticism. After spending the last three seasons with Georgia State, Strachan has decided to transfer to play for the Gamecocks. The jump from C-USA to SEC competition is vast, but Strachan is used to putting in the work and earning his spot.

    Strachan began his career as a walk-on at Georgia State, hoping to make the team as a safety. He was considered a 2-star recruit by 247Sports and received minimal interest from high-level college football programs. After redshirting his first year with the Panthers, Strachan converted to linebacker and continued to add weight. Another setback occurred in 2019 when he suffered a season-ending knee injury in the first game of the season. Strachan continued to work and had a breakout year in 2020, tying for the FBS lead in sacks with 10.5.

    Strachan continued to work and had a breakout year in 2020, tying for the FBS lead in sacks with 10.5

    In addition to leading the country in sacks, Strachan put up other impressive numbers. He had 36 total pressures when rushing the passer, which was tied for 23rd in the country. He also had 3 forced fumbles when rushing the passer, tied for the most in the country. These numbers show that Strachan is consistently a menace to the quarterback and he is looking to take the ball away. With strip sacks becoming more of an emphasis among NFL defensive coaches, Strachan is a long-armed bandit that will be coveted. 

    On top of the traditional counting stats, Strachan produced well from an analytical standpoint. In 2020, he accumulated 43 Total Points (Total Points is an SIS metric that looks at the Expected Points Added on each play and attributes individual players for how much they contributed to that value), while creating 1.5 Total Points per 20 snaps. These numbers ranked 10th and 33rd among all linebackers respectively. Strachan also performed well in Points Saved, with 28 and Points Above Average, with 20, ranking third in the country with both numbers. These are both metrics used by SIS to give statistical value to an individual player’s impact on the Expected Points Added on each play.

    The table below compares the 2020 numbers of Jordan Strachan to those of Will Anderson (widely considered to be a first-round prospect for the upcoming draft), Azeez Ojulari (second-round pick in the 2021 draft), Rashad Weaver (fourth-round pick in the 2021 draft), and Tarron Jackson (sixth-round pick in the 2021 draft).

    Name Total Points Pressures Points Saved
    Jordan Strachan (GAST) 43 36 28
    Will Anderson (ALA) 56 60 33
    Azeez Ojulari (UGA) 39 38 28
    Rashad Weaver (Pitt) 46 45 28
    Tarron Jackson (CCU) 52 59 33

    On top of being a game wrecker as a pass rusher, Strachan performed admirably against the run and his metrics compare well to players drafted highly in the 2021 NFL Draft. In 2020, against run plays, Strachan gained 12 Points Saved with 1 Point Saved per 20 snaps. 

    Azeez Ojulari put up 8 with 1.2 per 20 snaps. Strachan posted an average tackle depth of 0 yards, meaning when he made the tackle, the offense gained a total of 0 yards. That is slightly better than the 0.6 average tackle depth of first round pick Jaelan Phillips. Strachan was also a sure tackler and had a broken or missed tackle on 10.6% of his tackle attempts. This is similar to the 9.6% of third-round pick Chazz Surrat.

    Looking ahead

    Strachan has all of the tools to be a highly sought after player at the next level. He still has two years of eligibility, but could forgo his final year if he remains productive against SEC competition. 

    Strachan displays an explosive first step and bends well when rushing the passer. His technique is raw and he has to learn to take advantage of his length, but this will only be his third full season playing as an edge rusher. He has the requisite size, athleticism, and motor with a knack for finding the ball. He has all of the tools to be a defensive coordinator’s dream and quarterback’s nightmare.

    Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire

  • Announcing The 2021 SIS Analytics Challenge

    Announcing The 2021 SIS Analytics Challenge

    Update: The competition will be held August 4 at 8pm ET. You can watch it here. 

    Make a donation to The Boys & Girls Club of America here.

    Sports Info Solutions (SIS) has recently made it a priority to make a bigger social impact. One of the initiatives we’ve undertaken has been the SIS Analytics Challenge, which shares some of our proprietary data with prospective researchers if they make a donation to a partner charity.

    Last year’s contest produced some great research projects that considered which defensive line position was the most valuable, and, more importantly, raised $4,382 for the United Negro College Fund.

    The competition’s winner, Emmett Kiernan, is now a full-time data scientist for a startup performing European soccer research and development, and finalists Andrew Rogan and Zach Feldman recently landed jobs with the Baltimore Ravens and Next Gen Stats, respectively. While we at SIS certainly can’t take credit for these individuals’ professional achievements, we do find it exciting that last year’s challenge was able to showcase the work of rising stars within the sports research industry.

    We want this year’s contest to be even more competitive and raise even more money for charity. Our goal is to raise upwards of $10,000 for The Boys and Girls Clubs of America and we think this year’s format will help us reach that target.

    Rather than pose a single question like last year, there will be two separate research tracks this year. In addition to a football analytics question, we’re also presenting a sports betting question.

    For those interested in the football analytics track, we’re asking you to identify the most popular route concepts in the NFL in 2020, as well as ascertain which concepts perform the best versus the different coverage types. We will furnish all the necessary data for you to attack this problem, provided you make a minimum $1 donation to The Boys and Girls Clubs of America.

    If you are interested in developing betting insights, then we’d like you to consider how much of an effect quarterbacks and wide receivers should have on point spreads. SIS will once again provide the relevant data should you choose this track, and we’d like to reiterate that the $1 minimum donation still applies.

    With any luck, one of these tracks will appeal to you and we also hope that the opportunity to compete with other skilled up-and-comers and present your work to some industry titans, will excite you. Last year’s judging panel included our own Matt Manocherian, Football Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz, and the Colts’ Director of Research, John Park. Each track will have a separate judging panel and we’re excited to announce them all in the leadup to the final event. In the meantime, you can learn more about the competition and the datasets here.

    If the competition isn’t for you, then we understand and would just ask you to consider making a donation to The Boys and Girls of Clubs of America. The organization has been providing valuable after-school activities for children for over 150 years. You can donate here.

  • A closer look: Georgia’s high-impact transfer, Arik Gilbert

    A closer look: Georgia’s high-impact transfer, Arik Gilbert

    By BEN HRKACH

    Every player that enters the NCAA transfer portal has their own story. Some have not lived up to expectations and are moving to a situation where they can get more playing time. Small-school players that have outpaced their competition can vault to Power 5 programs and test their mettle against blue chip prospects. A change in the coaching regime will often prompt players to leave a school for a system or environment they desire. 

    It is rare to see a premier prospect be a productive and prominent part of a team and leave after one year, even though everything they bought into has remained the same.

    Tight end Arik Gilbert is walking this path.

    With the normal transfer restrictions that accompany NCAA student athletes being lifted, there is more chaos than ever in college football. This chaos has created unique scenarios that are unlikely to be seen again. One of the more interesting cases is potentially the biggest impact on the transfer market, Gilbert. Arik Gilbert was a 5-star recruit and ranked No. 5 overall in 2020 according to 247 Sports. He was the highest-rated recruit at his position and the No. 2 pass catcher behind Ohio State’s Julian Fleming. 

    There was much speculation that Gilbert, a Georgia native, would stay in state and play for the Bulldogs. He bucked this thought process and signed his letter of intent to an LSU program that was lighting the world on fire offensively and was about to complete one of the most dominant seasons in college football history. One year later, after a year with underwhelming results both in the win column and behind center, Gilbert decided to return home and continue his career in Athens, Georgia.

    Gilbert at LSU

    Gilbert was a productive player and was featured prominently with the LSU Tigers. Gilbert started all eight of LSU’s games in 2020 and ran a total of 255 routes, which ranked seventh among tight ends in the country. He received 55 targets and brought in 35 for completions, both were tied for the 11th most among tight ends. 

    Gilbert accrued 13 Total Points in 2020, which ranked 19th at his position. (Total Points looks at the Expected Points Added on each play and attributes individual players for how much they contributed to that value).

    A deeper dive into Gilbert’s numbers show that his offense was not doing him any favors and he was physically imposing his will as a true freshman in the most difficult conference in college football. The average depth of the targets Gilbert received was 8.2 yards. This ranked 36th among all Tight Ends that had at least 25 targets in 2020. 

    Gilbert finished the year with 368 yards, which ranked 22nd at his position. Gilbert manufactured these yards with his ability to run with the ball in his hands. He finished the season with 139 yards after the catch and 81 yards after contact. Those numbers ranked 26th and tied for 10th respectively among tight ends. Gilbert totaled 7 broken tackles, which was tied for the most among tight ends, and 4 missed tackles, which was tied for 8th.


    Gilbert was highly productive as a first year college player on a floundering team that could never get it together. He posted a positive EPA (expected points added) on 54.5% of plays where the ball was thrown to him, placing him tied for the 21st highest percentage among tight ends with at least 25 targets. As a team, LSU had a positive play 48% of the time, which was 62nd in the country.

    Fit at Georgia

    One interesting aspect of Gilbert’s decision to select Georgia as his new school is the fact that the Bulldogs brought in fellow 2020 5-star recruit Darnell Washington. Washington was considered a 5-star Athlete by 247 sports, but played tight end all of last year for the Bulldogs. Although they play the same position, Gilbert and Washington should thrive on the field together. 

    Washington plays primarily as an Y-Tight End, lining up on the line with his hands in the dirt. Gilbert can be effective both as a Y-Tight End and as an H-Tight End. Of his 548 snaps in 2020, 219 came from either the slot or out wide. While there he gathered 39 targets and 23 receptions, the 6th and 7th most respectively among tight ends. Georgia’s offense is also more conducive to playing two tight ends at once. In 2020 they had 58 pass attempts with two tight ends on the field, which was the 33rd most in the country and 2nd most in the SEC. LSU had only 28 such pass attempts, which ranked 71st in the country and 9th in the SEC.

    Future Outlook

    Although Gilbert will not be eligible for the NFL Draft after next season, he is already on the radar of NFL teams. He fits the bill both physically and athletically and has displayed good savvy in his route running for such a young player. He can be deployed across the offensive formation and gives the versatility that teams at the next level crave. He has shown a Kyle Pitts-like skillset and if he develops his game the way Pitts did, he should be just as sought after in the 2023 NFL Draft.

  • A closer look at transfer QB McKenzie Milton

    A closer look at transfer QB McKenzie Milton

    By BEN HRKACH

    After an unprecedented season of college football, as well as other sports both collegiate and professional, the NCAA has decided that it will allow any student-athlete to transfer from their school to another without any restrictions on when they can play. Along with allowing all players to retain the eligibility they held entering the 2020 season, college football has had an influx of movement that resembles the NFL’s free agency period. 

    While the NCAA traditionally requires players to sit out one full season after transferring to a new school, they have been leaning towards allowing players to move more freely. The 2011 season was the first year that players that had graduated from their current school could transfer to a new program and be immediately eligible to play. 

    This move was most famously executed by Russell Wilson leaving NC State and landing in Wisconsin. In more recent years, an increasing amount of hardship waivers have been granted by the NCAA to players that are leaving a program due to “mitigating circumstances that caused a deficiency”. These waivers allow players to play immediately for a new program.

    Perhaps the most prominent transfer this year is Florida State’s McKenzie Milton. 

    Backstory

    Milton last played for UCF in 2018. After helming a magical undefeated 2017 campaign that caused speculation about whether UCF should be one of the 4 CFP teams, Milton led the Knights to a 10-0 start. Unfortunately, Milton suffered a horrific knee injury against rival USF that left him wondering if he would ever regain use of his leg, let alone play football again. 

    But Milton has now been cleared medically and will be competing for the Florida State Seminoles. Though the distance from Orlando to Tallahassee is not substantial, Milton’s journey from operating table to gridiron and AAC to ACC will be one to observe.

    How he’s fared

    When last on the field in 2018, Milton was one of the most effective QB’s in the country. Per SIS’s IQR (a metric that takes traditional Passer Rating and factors out uncontrollable factors such as dropped passes), Milton was 8th in the country at 124.6. That is one spot behind first-round draft pick Dwayne Haskins and one spot in front of uber-QB Trevor Lawrence. 

    Milton also performed well in another SIS metric, Total Points. Total Points looks at the Expected Points Added on each play and attributes individual players for how much they contributed to that value. In 2018, Milton gained 98 Total Points and averaged 9 Total Points per 60 snaps. Those values rank 32nd and 19th respectively. Ranking 19th in Total Points per snap shows that his value was not simply based on statistical accumulation due to UCF’s up-tempo playing style.

    One potential obstacle to Milton’s impact this season is that he is going to be competing at a higher level. While at UCF, Milton played against four Power 5 teams and had positive overall IQR numbers.

    In 2016 against Maryland, in his first game as a starter at UCF, Milton put up a 92.8 IQR. In 2017, he faced Maryland in the regular season and Auburn in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl and had an IQR of 59.5 and 90.3 respectively. In 2018 against Pitt, Milton had a phenomenal day and managed an IQR of 128.5. These numbers indicate three things: Milton could hold his own against the larger schools, he showed up in big games, and he was getting better through his time at UCF.

    New system

    He will also have to adapt to a new system. In 2018, Milton threw 93% of his passes from the pocket for an IQR of 126.4, which was 9th in the country. On passes outside of the pocket, Milton posted an IQR of 88.6. 91st in the country from outside of the pocket.

    Last year under new head coach Mike Norvell, Florida State QBs threw from within the pocket 72% of the time. While at Memphis, Mike Norvell’s offenses had pass attempts from within the pocket 85% and 77% of the time in 2018 and 2019 respectively.

    Although he is less effective when throwing from outside of the pocket, Milton performs well when pressured. In 2018, Milton had an IQR of 118.8 when there was a pressure present on the play. This ranked 7th-best in the country, one spot behind top 5 pick Tua Tagovailoa.

    Future Outlook

    Looking beyond the upcoming season, Milton’s road to the NFL will be another uphill climb.

    He does not possess the ideal measurables or arm talent desired at the next level, but his game does include everything necessary to carve out a role as a career backup. He can read defenses, throw off-platform, and pick up critical yards on the ground. More importantly, he is resilient, a proven winner, and performs his best when needed.

    Summary

    Milton is primed to have a big year on the field and be one of the most endearing storylines in the national media. His numbers show that he can make the leap to a Power 5 conference and he should only be aided by playing with high-level talent. He could be the driving force behind bringing a former blue-chip program back to heights it hasn’t reached since 2014. 

  • 2021 NFL Draft Review: From best (Lions) to worst (Rams)

    2021 NFL Draft Review: From best (Lions) to worst (Rams)

    By NATHAN COOPER AND JOHN TODD

    If you want our full thoughts on the players your team has added, you can buy the Football Rookie Handbook now at ACTA Sports or on Amazon. And if you’d like to contribute to next year’s edition, consider applying to our Football Video Scout position.

    This was Year 3 of the SIS Football Rookie Handbook. The idea is to have the top players at their respective positions make the book. With 318 players featured in the 2021 edition, not every player from the Handbook would be drafted and not every drafted player was in the Handbook. After having 69% (174 of 254) of drafted players in the book in 2019 and 78% (199 of 255) in 2020, we raised that number once again to 84% (218 of 259) this season.

    When taking out specialists and fullbacks, which we currently don’t put into the Handbook, there were only 36 players drafted who weren’t in the book and only 7 of which we didn’t watch or have a report on. That’s over 97% of the NFL Draft covered! Plus, by our count, 86 of the 98 players who were in the book and didn’t get drafted have already signed undrafted free agent deals with teams as of Monday morning.

    Now using the Handbook, we attempted to grade each team’s draft class. Just like in our article from last season, we assigned all grades from the Handbook and gave all players that weren’t in the book a 5.7 and divided that by the number of selections the team had. These rankings do not account for the value of where players were drafted or trades teams made, it is literally based on the grades we gave the players who were drafted.

    The 2021 Best Draft Class, with an average grade of 6.6, went to the Detroit Lions. They had seven draft picks and made the most of their picks by selecting players who were all featured in the SIS Football Rookie Handbook.

    The Lions draft class is in the table below.

    Detroit Lions 2021 Draft Class

    Pick Position Player College Grade
    7 OT Penei Sewell Oregon 7.2
    41 DT Levi Onwuzurike Washington 6.7
    72 NT Alim McNeill NC State 6.8
    101 CB Ifeatu Melifonwu Syracuse 6.6
    112 WR Amon-Ra St. Brown USC 6.4
    113 LB Derrick Barnes Purdue 6.2
    257 RB Jermar Jefferson Oregon State 6.3

    In our opinion, Brad Holmes, Dan Campbell, and the new regime in Detroit drafted a lot of players that we feel can contribute to both sides of the ball early on in their careers. Penei Sewell is a plug-and-play tackle who many scouts think was the one surefire Hall of Fame player in this class. Onwuzurike and McNeill are big time playmakers on the interior of the defense and will really help the team “bite a kneecap off.” 

    Melifonwu is a big, physical corner who can help bring some depth to a position that struggled with injuries in 2020. 

    St. Brown has the ability to become a No. 3 receiver who can play inside or out, 

    Barnes brings some grit and versatility to the middle of the defense, and Jefferson shows some pass and run game versatility and should compete for the No. 3 RB job. 

    That’s not to mention some undrafted free agents the team reportedly picked up after the draft, most notably Wake Forest WR Sage Surratt (6.7, No. 6 WR) and Notre Dame OG Tommy Kraemer (6.5, No. 10 OG).

    SIS Handbook Top Draft Classes

    Year Team Previous Season Following Season
    2019 Tennessee Titans 9-7 (No Playoffs) 9-7 (L, AFC Champ)
    2020 Cleveland Browns 6-10 (No Playoffs) 11-5 (L, Divisional)
    2021 Detroit Lions 5-11 (No Playoffs) ?

    Our previous two Top Draft Class winners, the Titans and the Browns, both made the playoffs the following year after not making it the season before. Both won in the postseason, as well. Detroit’s roster still needs a lot of work and is in no way similar to what Tennessee’s or Cleveland’s was the past two seasons, but it’s a huge step in the right direction for a new staff and rebuilding organization.

    Here are the draft classes ranked in order of their grade:

    Draft Class Final Rankings

    Rank Team # of Picks Draft Grade
    1 Lions 7 6.60
    2 Dolphins 7 6.46
    3 Browns 8 6.44
    4 Jaguars 9 6.40
    5 Falcons 9 6.38
    6 Packers 9 6.37
    7 Chargers 9 6.37
    8 Broncos 10 6.36
    9 Panthers 11 6.35
    10 Patriots 8 6.35
    11 Bengals 10 6.34
    12 Giants 6 6.32
    13 49ers 8 6.30
    14 Titans 8 6.30
    15 Raiders 7 6.30
    16 Bears 7 6.30
    17 Texans 5 6.30
    18 Ravens 8 6.28
    19 Eagles 9 6.26
    20 Steelers 9 6.23
    21 Chiefs 6 6.23
    22 Jets 10 6.22
    23 Vikings 11 6.20
    24 Cardinals 7 6.20
    25 Buccaneers 7 6.20
    26 Seahawks 3 6.20
    27 Washington 10 6.14
    28 Bills 8 6.14
    29 Saints 6 6.12
    30 Cowboys 11 6.11
    31 Colts 7 6.07
    32 Rams 9 5.82

    The Dolphins ranked No. 2 after a Top 10 ranking in 2020. Getting Jaylen Waddle, our top-ranked receiver, and Jaelan Phillips, our top-ranked edge rusher, in the 1st Round was a home run for Miami. Two more 6.7 players in Jevon Holland (No. 3 S) and Liam Eichenberg (No. 4 OT) really solidified an outstanding draft for an up-and-coming Dolphins squad.

    Coming off their first postseason win since 1994, the Browns checked in with another Top 5 class. This followed having the No. 1 Draft class in 2020. 

    Selecting Greg Newsome II (6.7, No. 4 CB) in the 1st Round and getting a steal in Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (6.8, No. 1 Will LB) in the 2nd Round was huge for that defense. They also got Tommy Togiai (6.7, No. 2 NT) in the 4th Round and Richard LeCounte (6.7, No. 6 S) in the 5th Round.

    The Jaguars got their QB of the future in Trevor Lawrence with the No. 1 pick and then followed it up by taking his Clemson teammate Travis Etienne later in the 1st Round. In addition, grabbing Andre Cisco (6.7, No. 5 S) in the 3rd Round and Jay Tufele (6.7, No. 4 DT) in the 4th Round really helped solidify their ranking.

    Rounding out the Top 5 was the Atlanta Falcons. They took arguably the top skill player in this class with the No. 4 overall pick in Florida’s Kyle Pitts, who should immediately help give Matt Ryan another weapon on offense. They also got Ryan some offensive line help early in the 3rd Round in Michigan’s Jalen Mayfield (6.7, No. 6 OT).

    The bottom three teams for 2021 were the Rams, Colts, and Cowboys.

    Dallas did start out with a huge pick in Micah Parsons and also grabbed Jabril Cox in the 4th Round to solidify the linebacker position (they declined Leighton Vander Esch’s 5th-year option), but we were a little lower on 2nd-Round pick Kelvin Joseph and 3rd-Round pick Chauncey Golston. 

    However, out of their 11 picks, Dallas took 10 who were featured in the Handbook. 

    The Colts got two big time defensive linemen with their first two picks in Kwity Paye (6.7, No. 3 Edge) and Dayo Odeyingbo (6.6, No. 7 DT), but then drafted fringe backups in Kylen Granson, Shawn Davis, and Sam Ehlinger, before taking Mike Strachan and Will Fries, who we thought weren’t good enough to make the Handbook.

    The Rams took home the 2021 Worst Draft Class. It’s hard to put together a top-end draft class when you don’t have a 1st Round pick, but not only that, five of their nine draftees we felt weren’t good enough to be a part of the Handbook’s 318. Tutu Atwell should be a playmaker for new quarterback Matthew Stafford out of the slot, but the rest of their picks were tabbed as fringe backups according to our scouts.

    The Green Bay Packers had the worst ranking for us in 2020, and while that was a slightly different situation, they still made the playoffs and were one of the top teams in the NFL. In addition to coming off a No. 7 class in 2020, there’s still hope for the Rams in 2021 and beyond.

    How the Handbook Compared to the Draft

    Comparing the SIS Rookie Handbook’s top five graded players at each position to how the NFL drafted them, there were plenty of similarities and some differences. Our No. 1  player in nine of our 14 position groups matched the NFL’s first player taken at each spot (only differing at wide receiver, center, will linebacker, cornerback, and safety). While in different orders, we had the same first five quarterbacks (as many did), and four of the first group of five running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, tackles, centers, and cornerbacks. We had at least three of our top five players taken within that initial group of selections at every position.

    Overdrafted?

    Some players we believe the NFL drafted much higher than we had them pegged include Milton Williams, Earnest Jones and Brandon Stephens. None of the three received grades high enough to make our final tally of players in the Handbook, yet each was taken before the third round ended. 

    With nearly 750 scouting reports submitted on over 460 players, which ultimately led to the 318 players in the Handbook, we feel we cast a wide net to find the best players for this class. Our lowest graded first round selections, based on their projected role, are Joe Tryon, Jamin Davis, Kadarius Toney, and Payton Turner, who was the only first round player to not receive at least a low-end starting grade.

    Underdrafted?

    Conversely, there were plenty of value picks in the later rounds based on their Handbook grades. Some of these players include Jaylen Twyman, Rodarius Williams, Cole Van Lanen, and Quincy Roche. All four of these players, taken in the sixth round, received strong starting grades from our scouts, and we believe whether they fell due to injuries, off-field concerns, or other intangibles we may not consider, they have a great chance to become impactful players. 

    Additionally, Trey Smith, Kylin Hill, Trey Hill, Larry Rountree III, Victor Dimukeje, Patrick Johnson, and Shaka Toney were taken in the last two rounds of the draft, yet received low-end starting grades within their respective position groups. These players may be more usage specific at the next level, but we like their chances of seeing the field and playing key roles by Year 2.

    Players who were graded and ranked within the Top 5 at their position in the Handbook and ultimately not drafted include Dylan Moses (No. 2 Will LB), Ar’Darius Washington (No. 2 S), Paris Ford (No. 4 S), and Amen Ogbongbemiga (No. 4 Mike LB). Each of these players has already reportedly signed with a team through the undrafted free agency process. Needless to say, we feel this group has a strong chance of sticking on a roster and proving the league made a mistake passing on them.

    Handbook Report Card

    As this is the third annual edition of the SIS Football Rookie Handbook, and thus the third edition of this post-draft recap, we’re pleased to look back at our previous work and see drastic progress. 

    Only two players drafted within the top five of their position group were not in the Handbook: DT Milton Williams – who would not be mentioned here if we had graded him as a true Edge, as he was drafted – and Mike LB Buddy Johnson. The number of drafted players not in the Handbook in total dropped from 56 to 41 (36 excluding specialists and fullbacks). And possibly our favorite statistic from this year, as it was mentioned in the outset, the number of drafted players on whom we didn’t have a report assigned at all dropped from 27 to just 7.

    While the first non-Handbook and non-report players were each taken earlier this year than in 2020, the percentage increases noted at the beginning of this article, as well as our raw contribution totals, tell us we’re trending in the right direction. The Handbook doesn’t claim to be perfect. Quite the opposite in fact, as it is presented with often contradictory scouting and analytical perspectives so you, the reader, can form your own opinions. 

    Publishing the Handbook as early in the pre-draft process as we do, in order to solely grade on-field ability as purely as possible, occasionally miscalculates our final projections, not to mention our lack of insider medical and character information and the natural variance of scouting opinions. Given the adversities of 2020, we’re thrilled and thankful for the hard work our scouts put in to chart and evaluate this class and, as usual, we’ve already begun scouting for 2022.

    The SIS Football Rookie Handbook will be back again next year, filled with even more data, more accuracy, better reports, and the same combination of deep-dive analytics and pre-Combine scouting we’re proud to share. In the meantime, if you want our full thoughts on the players your team has added, you can buy the book now at ACTA Sports or on Amazon. And if you’d like to contribute to next year’s edition, consider applying to our Football Video Scout position.

  • 2021 Sports Info Solutions Video Scouts Mock Draft

    Using traditional scouting and analytics in conjunction with the SIS Football Rookie Handbook, members of the Sports Info Solutions Operations department tried their hand at attempting to answer all your NFL Draft questions in a full 7-Round Mock Draft.

    Where are your favorite players going to land? Who is your favorite team going to select?

    Round 1
    Pick Team Scout Player College
    1 Jaguars John QB Trevor Lawrence Clemson
    2 Jets Alec QB Zach Wilson BYU
    3 49ers Justin QB Trey Lance North Dakota State
    4 Falcons Jordan TE Kyle Pitts Florida
    5 Bengals Ben OT Penei Sewell Oregon
    6 Dolphins Nathan WR Ja’Marr Chase LSU
    7 Lions Nathan WR Jaylen Waddle Alabama
    8 Panthers Jordan OT Rashawn Slater Northwestern
    9 Broncos John QB Justin Fields Ohio State
    10 Cowboys Chad CB Patrick Surtain II Alabama
    11 Giants Chad WR DeVonta Smith Alabama
    12 Eagles Ben DT Christian Barmore Alabama
    13 Chargers Stephen OT Christian Darrisaw Virginia Tech
    14 Vikings Jeff OG Alijah Vera-Tucker USC
    15 Patriots Stephen QB Mac Jones Alabama
    16 Cardinals Alec CB Jaycee Horn South Carolina
    17 Raiders Ben OT Teven Jenkins Oklahoma State
    18 Dolphins Nathan ED Azeez Ojulari Georgia
    19 Washington John LB Micah Parsons Penn State
    20 Bears Jeff LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah Notre Dame
    21 Colts Chad ED Kwity Paye Michigan
    22 Titans Dan CB Gregory Newsome II Northwestern
    23 Jets Alec CB Caleb Farley Virginia Tech
    24 Steelers Nathan RB Najee Harris Alabama
    25 Jaguars John ED Jayson Oweh Penn State
    26 Browns John ED Jaelan Phillips Miami
    27 Ravens Segev WR Rashod Bateman Minnesota
    28 Saints Evan ED Gregory Rousseau Miami
    29 Packers Jeff WR Elijah Moore Ole Miss
    30 Bills Evan RB Travis Etienne Clemson
    31 Ravens Segev OG Alex Leatherwood Alabama
    32 Buccaneers Jordan ED Joe Tryon Washington
    ROUND 2
    Pick Team Scout Player College
    33 Jaguars John TE Pat Freiermuth Penn State
    34 Jets Alec OC Creed Humphrey Oklahoma
    35 Falcons Jordan ED Carlos Basham Wake Forest
    36 Dolphins Nathan RB Javonte Williams North Carolina
    37 Eagles Ben LB Zaven Collins Tulsa
    38 Bengals Ben DT Levi Onwuzurike Washington
    39 Panthers Jordan S Trevon Moehrig TCU
    40 Broncos John LB Jamin Davis Kentucky
    41 Lions Nathan CB Asante Samuel Jr. Florida State
    42 Giants Chad OT Samuel Cosmi Texas
    43 49ers Justin CB Eric Stokes Georgia
    44 Cowboys Chad ED Ronnie Perkins Oklahoma
    45 Jaguars John OT Liam Eichenberg Notre Dame
    46 Patriots Stephen LB Jabril Cox LSU
    47 Chargers Stephen CB Ifeatu Melifonwu Syracuse
    48 Raiders Ben DT Daviyon Nixon Iowa
    49 Cardinals Alec OG Wyatt Davis Ohio State
    50 Dolphins Nathan DT Jaylen Twyman Pittsburgh
    51 Washington John WR Kadarius Toney Florida
    52 Bears Jeff WR Rondale Moore Purdue
    53 Titans Dan WR Terrace Marshall LSU
    54 Colts Chad OT Dillon Radunz North Dakota State
    55 Steelers Nathan CB Elijah Molden Washington
    56 Seahawks Justin OT Jalen Mayfield Michigan
    57 Rams Justin OT James Hudson Cincinnati
    58 Chiefs Nathan ED Rashad Weaver Pittsburgh
    59 Browns John NT Alim McNeill NC State
    60 Saints Evan CB Tyson Campbell Georgia
    61 Bills Evan ED Shaka Toney Penn State
    62 Packers Jeff DT Jay Tufele USC
    63 Chiefs Nathan CB Aaron Robinson UCF
    64 Buccaneers Jordan OC Landon Dickerson Alabama
    ROUND 3
    Pick Team Scout Player College
    65 Jaguars John S Jevon Holland Oregon
    66 Jets Alec LB Dylan Moses Alabama
    67 Texans Alec TE Brevin Jordan Miami
    68 Falcons Jordan S Richie Grant UCF
    69 Bengals Ben WR Amon-Ra St. Brown USC
    70 Eagles Ben OG Trey Smith Tennessee
    71 Broncos John OT Walker Little Stanford
    72 Lions Nathan LB Nick Bolton Missouri
    73 Panthers Jordan WR Amari Rodgers Clemson
    74 Washington John QB Davis Mills Stanford
    75 Cowboys Chad OT Brady Christensen BYU
    76 Giants Chad ED Joseph Ossai Texas
    77 Chargers Stephen IOL Josh Myers Ohio State
    78 Vikings Jeff OG Kendrick Green Illinois
    79 Raiders Ben LB Baron Browning Ohio State
    80 Raiders Ben OT Spencer Brown Northern Iowa
    81 Dolphins Nathan OG Jackson Carman Clemson
    82 Washington John TE Tommy Tremble Notre Dame
    83 Bears Jeff QB Kyle Trask Florida
    84 Eagles Ben S Ar’Darius Washington TCU
    85 Titans Dan ED Quincy Roche Miami
    86 Jets Alec OG Quinn Meinerz Wisconsin-Whitewater
    87 Steelers Nathan LB Derrick Barnes Purdue
    88 Rams Justin LB Cameron McGrone Michigan
    89 Browns John LB Pete Werner Ohio State
    90 Vikings Jeff DT Marvin Wilson Florida State
    91 Browns John S Andre Cisco Syracuse
    92 Packers Jeff CB Rodarius Williams Oklahoma State
    93 Bills Evan LB Chazz Surratt North Carolina
    94 Ravens Segev ED Chris Rumph II Duke
    95 Buccaneers Jordan RB Kenneth Gainwell Memphis
    96 Patriots Stephen CB Marco Wilson Florida
    97 Chargers Stephen WR Tylan Wallace Oklahoma State
    98 Saints Evan WR Tutu Atwell Louisville
    99 Cowboys Chad NT Tommy Togiai Ohio State
    100 Titans Dan OG Cole Van Lanen Wisconsin
    101 Lions Nathan S Paris Ford Pittsburgh
    102 49ers Justin WR Sage Surratt Wake Forest
    103 Rams Justin EDGE Patrick Jones II Pittsburgh
    104 Ravens Segev TE Tre’ McKitty Georgia
    105 Saints Evan LB Amen Ogbongbemiga Oklahoma State
    ROUND 4
    Pick Team Scout Player College
    106 Jaguars John RB Michael Carter North Carolina
    107 Jets Alec TE Hunter Long Boston College
    108 Falcons Jordan QB Kellen Mond Texas A&M
    109 Texans Alec DT Dayo Odeyingbo Vanderbilt
    110 Browns John WR Dyami Brown North Carolina
    111 Bengals Ben CB Robert Rochell Central Arkansas
    112 Lions Nathan ED Elerson Smith Northern Iowa
    113 Panthers Jordan CB Paulson Adebo Stanford
    114 Broncos John RB Chuba Hubbard Oklahoma State
    115 Cowboys Chad S Hamsah Nasirildeen Florida State
    116 Giants Chad CB Tre Brown Oklahoma
    117 49ers Nathan OG Ben Cleveland Georgia
    118 Chargers Stephen LB Justin Hilliard Ohio State
    119 Vikings Jeff WR D’Wayne Eskridge Western Michigan
    120 Patriots Stephen OT Robert Hainsey Notre Dame
    121 Raiders Ben RB Demetric Felton UCLA
    122 Patriots Stephen S Damar Hamlin Pittsburgh
    123 Eagles Ben CB Kelvin Joseph Kentucky
    124 Washington John RB Rhamondre Stevenson Oklahoma
    125 Vikings Jeff TE Tony Poljan Virginia
    126 Titans Dan DT Osa Odighizuwa UCLA
    127 Colts Chad WR Jaelon Darden North Texas
    128 Steelers Nathan OT Foster Sarell Stanford
    129 Seahawks Nathan CB Darren Hall San Diego State
    130 Jaguars John CB Shaun Wade Ohio State
    131 Ravens Segev OT Kayode Awosika Buffalo
    132 Browns John DT Marlon Tuipulotu USC
    133 Saints Evan RB Trey Sermon Ohio State
    134 Vikings Jeff ED Adetokunbo Ogundeji Notre Dame
    135 Packers Jeff OG Aaron Banks Notre Dame
    136 Ravens Segev CB Keith Taylor Washington
    137 Buccaneers Jordan NT Tyler Shelvin LSU
    138 Cowboys Chad LB Monty Rice Georgia
    139 Patriots Stephen LB KJ Britt Auburn
    140 Steelers Nathan OC Drew Dalman Stanford
    141 Rams Nathan TE Kenny Yeboah Ole Miss
    142 Packers Jeff WR Josh Palmer Tennessee
    143 Vikings Jeff OT Adrian Ealy Oklahoma
    144 Chiefs Nathan WR Nico Collins Michigan
    ROUND 5
    145 Jaguars John OC Trey Hill Georgia
    146 Jets Alec RB Kylin Hill Mississippi State
    147 Texans Alec S Richard LeCounte Georgia
    148 Falcons Jordan CB Ambry Thomas Michigan
    149 Bengals Ben ED Cam Sample Tulane
    150 Eagles Ben WR Austin Watkins Jr. UAB
    151 Panthers Jordan RB Khalil Herbert Virginia Tech
    152 Broncos John DL Milton Williams Louisiana Tech
    153 Lions Nathan QB Jamie Newman Wake Forest
    154 Jets Alec ED Payton Turner Houston
    155 49ers Nathan CB Camryn Bynum California
    156 Dolphins Nathan DT Darius Stills West Virginia
    157 Vikings Jeff CB Benjamin St-Juste Minnesota
    158 Texans Alec LB Tony Fields II West Virginia
    159 Chargers Stephen ED Victor Dimukeje Duke
    160 Cardinals Alec WR Seth Williams Auburn
    161 Bills Evan TE John Bates Boise State
    162 Raiders Ben WR Cornell Powell Clemson
    163 Washington John S Jamar Johnson Indiana
    164 Bears Jeff S Talanoa Hufanga USC
    165 Colts Chad S Tyree Gillespie Missouri
    166 Titans Dan OT Brenden Jaimes Nebraska
    167 Raiders Ben OT Josh Ball Marshall
    168 Vikings Jeff S Aashari Crosswell Arizona State
    169 Browns John OG Deonte Brown Alabama
    170 Jaguars John WR Anthony Schwartz Auburn
    171 Ravens Segev S Caden Sterns Texas
    172 49ers Nathan DT Ta’Quon Graham Texas
    173 Packers Jeff LB Rashad Byrd Georgia Southern
    174 Bills Evan DT Malik Herring Georgia
    175 Chiefs Nathan LB Garret Wallow TCU
    176 Buccaneers Jordan CB Trill Williams Syracuse
    177 Patriots Stephen LB Blake Gallagher Northwestern
    178 Packers Jeff OC Jimmy Morrissey Pittsburgh
    179 Cowboys Chad TE Noah Gray Duke
    180 49ers Nathan TE Quintin Morris Bowling Green
    181 Chiefs Nathan OT Stone Forsythe Florida
    182 Falcons Jordan OC David Moore Grambling
    183 Falcons Jordan WR Tamorrion Terry Florida State
    184 Ravens Segev NT Roy Lopez Arizona
    ROUND 6
    Pick Team Scout Player College
    185 Chargers Stephen OG Tommy Kraemer Notre Dame
    186 Jets Alec WR Dax Milne BYU
    187 Falcons Jordan S Kary Vincent Jr LSU
    188 Patriots Stephen WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette Iowa
    189 Eagles Ben WR Shi Smith South Carolina
    190 Bengals Ben OG Alaric Jackson Iowa
    191 Panthers John S Divine Deablo Virginia Tech
    192 Cowboys Chad CB Bryce Thompson Tennessee
    193 Panthers Jordan ED Tarron Jackson Coastal Carolina
    194 49ers Nathan WR Dez Fitzpatrick Louisville
    195 Texans Alec NT Khyiris Tonga BYU
    196 Giants Chad OG Sadarius Hutcherson South Carolina
    197 Patriots Stephen S Joshuah Bledsoe Missouri
    198 Chargers Stephen TE Kylen Granson SMU
    199 Vikings Jeff RB Pooka Williams Jr. Kansas
    200 Raiders Ben CB Tre Norwood Oklahoma
    201 Giants Chad RB Elijah Mitchell Louisiana
    202 Bengals Ben S Mark Webb Georgia
    203 Texans Alec OC Drake Jackson Kentucky
    204 Bears Jeff OG William Sherman Colorado
    205 Titans Dan TE Nick Eubanks Michigan
    206 Colts Chad CB Shemar Jean-Charles Appalachian State
    207 Chiefs Nathan RB Larry Rountree III Missouri
    208 Bears Jeff WR Marquez Stevenson Houston
    209 Rams Nathan OG D’Ante Smith East Carolina
    210 Ravens Segev ED Patrick Johnson Tulane
    211 Browns John QB Ian Book Notre Dame
    212 Texans Alec CB Michael Carter II Duke
    213 Bills Evan ED Daelin Hayes Notre Dame
    214 Packers Jeff S Brady Breeze Oregon
    215 Titans Dan WR Cade Johnson South Dakota State
    216 Steelers Nathan ED Jordan Smith UAB
    217 Buccaneers Jordan WR Simi Fehoko Stanford
    218 Saints Evan QB Sam Ehlinger Texas
    219 Falcons Jordan ED Jonathon Cooper Ohio State
    220 Packers Jeff RB Jermar Jefferson Oregon State
    221 Bears Jeff LB Paddy Fisher Northwestern
    222 Panthers Jordan TE Luke Farrell Ohio State
    223 Vikings Jeff LB Max Richardson Boston College
    224 Eagles Ben QB Feleipe Franks Arkansas
    225 Eagles Ben OG Robert Jones Middle Tennessee
    226 Jets Alec K Jose Borregales Miami
    227 Cowboys Chad S Shawn Davis Florida
    228 Bears Jeff NT Bobby Brown III Texas A&M
    ROUND 7
    229 Saints Evan OT Landon Young Kentucky
    230 49ers Nathan OG Tristen Hoge BYU
    231 Dolphins Nathan LB Grant Stuard Houston
    232 Titans Dan K Evan McPherson Florida
    233 Texans Alec WR Frank Darby Arizona State
    234 Eagles Ben OT Tommy Doyle Miami (OH)
    235 Bengals Ben CB Avery Williams Boise State
    236 Bills Evan WR Josh Imatorbhebhe Illinois
    237 Broncos John OT Royce Newman Ole Miss
    238 Cowboys Chad WR Dazz Newsome North Carolina
    239 Broncos John DL Chauncey Golston Iowa
    240 Eagles Ben OC Sam Cooper Merrimack
    241 Chargers Stephen RB Jaret Patterson Buffalo
    242 Patriots Stephen OG Larry Borom Missouri
    243 Cardinals Alec WR/TE Jacob Harris UCF
    244 Dolphins Nathan CB DJ Daniel Georgia
    245 Steelers Nathan WR Tyler Vaughns USC
    246 Washington John ED Wyatt Hubert Kansas State
    247 Cardinals Alec RB Javian Hawkins Louisville
    248 Colts Chad WR Whop Philyor Indiana
    249 Jaguars John S Jacoby Stevens LSU
    250 Seahawks Nathan OG Joe Sculthorpe North Carolina State
    251 Buccaneers Jordan ED Janarius Robinson Florida State
    252 Rams Nathan CB Thomas Graham Jr. Oregon
    253 Broncos John CB Shakur Brown Michigan State
    254 Steelers Nathan QB Peyton Ramsey Northwestern
    255 Saints Evan DT Carlo Kemp Michigan
    256 Packers Jeff FB Ben Mason Michigan
    257 Browns John CB Zech McPhearson Texas Tech
    258 Washington John LS Thomas Fletcher Alabama
    259 Buccaneers Jordan WR Racey McMath LSU

    The members of the SIS Operations staff who took part in this Mock Draft are: Nathan Cooper, John Todd, Jeff Dean, Ben Hrkach, Jordan Edwards, Alec Mallon, Chad Tedder, Stephen Marciello, Evan Butler, Justin Stine, Dan Foehrenbach, and Segev Goldberg

  • DataHub Pro features many new NFL, CFB additions

    DataHub Pro features many new NFL, CFB additions

    BY ALEX VIGDERMAN

    The SIS DataHub Pro has put in some work in the offseason. And that work isn’t done.

    First, a quick bit of background.

    We have two portals for people to interact with our treasure trove of football data.

    One is the SIS DataHub, which is a great resource for dozens of statistics at the NFL level, including our proprietary total-value statistic, Total Points. That site is available to everyone free of charge.

    The other is the SIS DataHub Pro, which has a price tag but adds in the ability to sort, filter, and download data in whatever configuration you like, and also includes college football data. You can sign up for a demo here.

    This week, we are publishing updates to the DataHub Pro that seriously beefs up what it offers you as an analyst, especially on the college side. With the draft coming this week, it’s the perfect time to check out the DataHub Pro.

    Consistent Breadth and Depth Across Levels

    Aside from the fact that we’re adding dozens of new items to the site, we also made it a point to keep the available stats and filters consistent regardless of what you’re looking for. That means that you’ll find the same filters and statistics available on each of the NFL, CFB, player, and team leaderboards.

    So if you find that, for example, the Patriots were very poor when they used zone blocking against a light box in 2020, you can use the same filters to find a possible addition in the draft that might suit that deficiency (might I suggest Western Michigan tackle Jaylon Moore?).

    Major Overhaul to College Leaderboards

    Because we didn’t have quite as much available on the college side previously, you instantly feel the impact of these updates when you run your first query.

    Here’s an example. The DataHub Pro’s Receiving leaderboard for college players already had 18 statistics and 32 filters for you to slice and dice data on pass-catching prospects.

    Now, we’re offering 37 statistics and 43 filters. Here’s a slice of that.

    You could already find out that another Western Michigan product, receiver D’Wayne Eskridge, led the nation in yards per catchable target when lined up out wide against man coverage in 2020.

    Highest Yards per Target on Catchable Throws Lined up Wide Against Man Coverage, 2020 (min. 10 tgt)

    Player Team Tgts Y/Tgt ADoT
    D’Wayne Eskridge Western Michigan 13 21 9.4
    Cornell Powell Clemson 18 18.6 13.6
    Erik Ezukanma Texas Tech 14 18.1 13.5
    Dax Milne BYU 13 17.3 16.2
    DeVonta Smith Alabama 18 16.8 12.3

    Now you can truly go as deep with your analysis as you can anywhere on the Internet. We can now also find out who saw the most on-target throws into the end zone when they were isolated on their side of the formation. That was SIS’s 38th-ranked receiver headed into the draft, Jonathan Adams Jr. of Arkansas State, who had nine such targets and led the nation with 1.3 EPA per target on such throws.

    Like we have for the NFL side, statistics are now split into three tabs: one for Totals, one for Rates, and one for Value statistics.

    That last category is really exciting, because this release of the SIS DataHub Pro now offers the ability to explore EPA-based stats at the college level. That starts with Expected Points Added itself but moves on to things like Positive Play %, Boom% / Bust% (the percent of plays with an EPA above 1 or below -1), and of course our flagship metric Total Points. This was available for draft-eligible players via the SIS Football Rookie Handbook, but now you can pair it with the filtering functionality that the DataHub Pro provides.

    Most Points Saved per Play in 2020, Man Coverage Snaps Lined Up Outside (min. 10 targets)

    Player Team Cov. Snaps Positive% Points Saved / Play
    Deommodore Lenoir Oregon 64 36% 0.24
    Jaylon Jones Georgia State 61 13% 0.23
    Caelen Carson Wake Forest 78 28% 0.22
    Coney Durr Minnesota 41 50% 0.22
    Kenderick Marbles Louisiana-Monroe 46 31% 0.21
    Lenoir, SIS’s 30th-ranked CB entering the draft, was a man coverage asset in 2020

    What about the NFL?

    It’s draft season, so we’re really excited about what we’re adding on the college side. But that doesn’t mean we’re shirking on our responsibilities in providing the best NFL charting data around.

    Most of the filters that are new on the college side are also new on the NFL side. Here’s a sampling of the filters we’re excited about:

    • Passing – What was the QB’s footing like at the snap?
    • Rushing – Did the back use the designed gap?
    • Receiving – Was the throw into the end zone?
    • Blocking – How deep did the QB drop?
    • Pass Defense – Was the QB pressured on the play?
    • Pass Rush – What technique was the player lined up as?
    • Run Defense – Was there motion on the play?

    And beyond that, we still have plenty of stats up our sleeves for NFL analysts.

    Here are the NFL leaders in Wins Above Replacement on plays with the clearest of clear running lanes: through the designed gap, no blown blocks, not contacted for at least 5 yards downfield. For conciseness, we’ll call these “clean runs.”

    Most Wins Above Replacement on ÔÇ£Clean RunsÔÇØ, 2020

    Player Att WAR
    J.K. Dobbins 27 0.7
    Miles Sanders 21 0.6
    Derrick Henry 44 0.6
    Melvin Gordon 29 0.5
    6 tied 0.4
    Dobbins really capitalized on the opportunities afforded by his blocking and scheme in 2020

    We’re ecstatic to finally get these updates out the door and into your hands, especially in advance of the NFL draft. Sign up for a free trial and take the new features for a spin! And if you have any feedback, we definitely want to hear from you. We have more updates in the pipeline for this offseason, but we want to make sure we’re doing well by our users first.