Category: NFL

  • New football podcast: Tough (Andrew) Luck

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    Former NFL scout Matt Manocherian (@mattmano) of Sports Info Solutions and football analytics pioneer Aaron Schatz (@FO_ASchatz) of Football Outsiders (@fboutsiders) discuss the shocking retirement of Andrew Luck and what to expect from the 2019 Indianapolis Colts with Jacoby Brissett at the helm in this special mini-episode.

  • Star College Quarterbacks: 5 You May Not Know

    By Corey March

    The most entertaining thing about college football is that with so many teams, there are star players out there that most people have never heard of.

    Depending on your level of college football fandom, you may know one or even all of these guys. But regardless, this article will hopefully add a new level of appreciation for these five standout quarterbacks.

    Nathan Rourke (Ohio, SR)

    Overview:

    Based on the numbers you are about to read, you’d think Nathan Rourke would be getting more attention as a draft prospect.

    Rourke, the 6’2”, 208 lbs senior, doesn’t quite measure up to the impressive physique of Josh Allen, but his style of play mirrors the former first-round pick with performance metrics to back up the comparison.

    This man is a menace to bring down once he takes off running, which he does about one-third of the time.

    His 6.4 yards/rush trailed only Kyler Murray among QBs with at least 100 rush attempts in 2018 and his 33% Broken Tackle rate was ranked No. 1. His Broken Tackle rate was still top-10 even with RBs factored back in. On 102 career attempts that came on designed runs and scrambles, Rourke is averaging 10.9 yards per carry – easily #1 over that span.

    His 36 rushing touchdowns trailed only Devin Singletary among all FBS players over the past two seasons.

    He also adds stellar contributions with his arm and isn’t afraid to push the ball downfield. His completions have traveled an average distance of 9.1 air yards. Over half of his deep ball attempts have been on-target.

    For those starting to come around on his draft stock, Rourke finished just behind Justin Herbert on the 2018 IQR leaderboard.

    Why he’s here:

    • Rushing Ability: The numbers speak for themselves, Rourke should be the favorite to produce the top rushing stats by a QB in 2019.
    • Dealing with Pressure: Last season, he posted the highest IQR rating the nation when under duress (128). He has also used pressure to his advantage at times as a runner, delivering 10.5 yards per rush on 22 scrambles caused by pressure in the last two seasons.

    Areas to improve:

    • Consistency: Last season, Rourke had three games where 80% of his passes were on target and three games where he was less than 60% accurate.
    • Performance vs Man Coverage: Rourke has been much more effective against Zone coverage (77% on-target, 64% completion in the last two seasons) compared to Man (57% on-target, 47% completion).

     

    Brock Purdy (Iowa State, SO)

    Overview:

    In a flash, Brock Purdy went from carrying a clipboard to carrying the 2018 Cyclones offense on an unexpected run to salvage bowl eligibility.

    Iowa State went into the 2018 season receiving a handful of top-25 votes and expecting to compete. Those feelings quickly dissipated after a lifeless offense sputtered to a 1-3 start.

    Purdy didn’t get the start the following week but saw the field for the first time after things had gotten off to another rocky start in Stillwater against a ranked Oklahoma State team. He seized the opportunity, not only leading the team to victory but leading the box score in passing and rushing yards.

    That was only the beginning for the freshman, who led Iowa State to wins in seven of its remaining nine games. After he became the starter, only Kyler Murray (10.9) and Tua Tagovailoa (10.5) averaged more passing yards per attempt than Purdy’s 10.3.

    That stat and that company are representative of Purdy’s arm strength, and accuracy. Comparing his stats again to Tagovailoa, the Alabama phenom barely edged him on deep ball accuracy (65% to 61%), but consider that 23% of Purdy throws traveled at least 20 air yards, while Tua was more involved in the short/intermediate game, going deep on 15% of his attempts.

     Why he’s here:

    • Deep Ball Accuracy: Among 57 QBs with at least 50 deep ball attempts, Purdy was the third-most accurate (77% on-target), while throwing deep at the second-highest rate (23% of total attempts).
    • Making Difficult Plays: Purdy was the only QB to finish the top-3 in the nation in both Yards per Pass Attempt on deep throws (18.8 Y/A) and throws under pressure (10.2 Y/A).

    Areas to improve:

    • Decision-making: His stats paint him as a capable runner (100/308/5) but with his passing prowess, the offense might benefit from Purdy taking off on less than 30% of his dropbacks. Seven interceptions compared to 15 touchdowns is also a ratio that Cyclones fans hope trends in a positive direction.
    • Spreading the ball around: How will he perform without his favorite target, Hakeem Butler? About one-third of Purdy’s targets and 56% of his completed air yards went to the Cyclone-turned-Arizona Cardinals receiver.

     

    Khalil Tate (Arizona, SR)

    Overview:

    We hope to see Khalil Tate, the runner, back on display in 2019.

    As a sophomore in 2017, Tate ran for as many as 327 yards in a game and eclipsed the 100-yard plateau in six straight games. He failed to follow that up, managing just 224 rushing yards all season and topping out at a single-game high of 46 yards.

    Last year, Tate suffered his first ankle injury in the Wildcats’ second game of the season – he left that game temporarily and was visibly affected when he returned. It’s important to note, his rushing performance in the Wildcats’ first game (8 rushes for 14 yards) would have represented his lowest rushing yardage total of the previous season – so it’s unlikely that the injury was the only factor at play. It was reported that first-year OC Noel Mazzone’s emphasis on pocket passing caused conflict with Tate and had the dual-threat QB considering options other than returning to Arizona for his final season.

    When the curtain closed on his junior season, Tate’s year-over-year run% had dropped from 44% to 19% and his percentage of throws from the pocket increased from 66% (lowest in FBS) to 86%.

    The latter was a positive adjustment considering Tate has been on-target with 72% of his throws from inside the pocket compared to 62% on throws from outside the tackle box.

    Why he’s here:

    • Aggressiveness: His passes have been caught at an average depth of 7.8 yards downfield and 26% of his throws traveled 20+ air yards (last two seasons).
    • Rushing Ability: His 9.2 yards per carry in 2017 is the highest QB mark in FBS in the three seasons of SIS data collection , however, this fell to 3.0 YPC in 2018.

    Areas to improve:

    • Accuracy: Tate posted a 71% on-target throw% on all throws and a rate of 52% on deep throws (last two seasons).
    • Clutch Performance: Tate has put up a 77 IQR on 125 pass attempts in the 4th quarter and a 79 IQR on 82 pass attempts in the second half of one-score games.

     

    Mason Fine (North Texas, SR)

    Overview:

    Mason Fine’s college career has been on a steady upward trajectory since he took his first snaps as a freshman. The fourth-year starter is on pace to become just the 18th FBS quarterback to crack the 13,000 passing yard mark.

    After an inauspicious first season, Fine has propelled the Mean Green to consecutive 9-win seasons and become the face of a program that recently captured some elusive recognition by grabbing three votes in the preseason Coaches Poll.

    Fine’s terrific past two seasons, combined with the efforts of the North Texas Athletics Department (6forheisman.com), have been the catalyst for some well-deserved hype as he enters his senior year.

    The pocket-passer delivered his highest TD total (31) as a sophomore but his 2018 junior campaign is the one that catapulted him onto the map. He opened the season in style, by throwing 21 touchdowns and just one interception in his first 10 games (compared to 12 INTs in his previous 10).

    Fine has thrown more passes than any other QB over the last two seasons and averaged an impressive 8.0 Y/A. North Texas figures to rely heavily on him again in 2019.

    Why he’s here:

    • Pure Passing Ability: Since taking over as the starter early on as a freshman, Fine has dropped back to pass more than anyone in the nation, and the Mean Green are 22-15 over that span. He’s been on target with 76% of his passes.
    • Annual Improvement: Fine’s critical stats have improved year-over-year. He started out throwing 1.2 TD per INT in 2016, then upped it to 2.1 (2017) and 5.4 (2018). As a result, his IQR has increased each year from 77 to 105 to 120.

    Areas to improve:

    • Off-Schedule Throws: His results from inside a clean pocket (82% on-target, 8.1 Y/A, 112 IQR) are far more impressive than his numbers when flushed from the pocket due to pressure (44% on-target, 5.4 Y/A, 74 IQR).
    • Playing from behind: Fine has shown a better ability to protect a lead than overcome a deficit. He’s thrown 46 TD/6 INT with a lead compared to 18 TD/18 INT when trailing. Luckily only 21% of his passes came from behind last season compared to 79% in year one.

     

    D’Eriq King (Houston, SR)

    Overview:

    D’Eriq King is the definition of a playmaker – to get a sense of that, look no further than the scoreboard. In his first full season as the Houston starter, the Cougars averaged 48 points per game prior to King suffering a torn meniscus.

    Aside from the injury shortened game, King contributed a minimum of 3 touchdowns in every contest, including 4 TDs in three games and at least 5 TDs in five games.

    The Cougars used play action on 49% of their plays (FBS average = 28%), as a savvy way to get an edge offensively. King used the deception to his advantage, registering a 131 IQR and completing passes at an average depth of 8.0 yards downfield.

    King will also beat you on the ground, averaging 8.3 Y/A (3rd-most) and 4.3 Yards After Contact per Attempt (1st) on designed runs and scrambles. To add to his running efficiently, King scored a rushing touchdown in every game he played last season.

    Houston is 11-7 the 18 games that King started over the last two seasons. The Cougars are otherwise 4-5 during that span.

    Why he’s here:

    • Downfield Passing: When it came to intermediate and deep passes, only Trevor Lawrence (133) posted a higher IQR than King (132).
    • Clutch Performance: King led the nation with a 140 IQR and 83% on-target rate on third downs. On the rare occasion that Houston allowed its opponents to hang around in a game last season, King threw more touchdowns (5) than incompletions (4) in the second half of one score games.

    Areas to improve:

    • Performance vs Zone Defense: King has been less explosive and more susceptible to mistakes against Zone coverage (10 TD/5 INT) compared to Man coverage (27 TD/2 INT).
    • Running Post-Injury: King has proven to be a weapon on the ground, so this is more of a situation to monitor. Coming off a surgically-repaired knee, will King be able to continue attacking opponents with the same level of versatility?

    For more information about Sports Info Solutions, visit our website. To learn more about the SIS DataHub Pro and register for a free trial, visit pro.sisdatahub.com.

  • New football podcast: Fantasy Football Risers & Fallers

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    Former NFL scout Matt Manocherian (@mattmano) of Sports Info Solutions and football analytics pioneer Aaron Schatz (@FO_ASchatz) of Football Outsiders (@fboutsiders) welcome Corey March (@marchmadness26) back to the show to talk fantasy risers and fallers for the upcoming season.

    The trio examines the fantasy value of Andrew Luck (2:23), Lamar Jackson (7:29), Tony Pollard (10:06), the RB situation in Chicago (14:54), how to handle the Zeke and Gordon holdouts (16:53) and Kansas City backs (18:56). The episode closes with a look at the fantasy projections for a group of pass-catchers including Josh Gordon (24:11), Emmanuel Sanders (27:21), Curtis Samuel (28:31), Vance McDonald (30:25) and Jared Cook (33:24).

    For more, check out:

    sportsinfosolutions.com

    footballoutsiders.com

    sportsinfosolutionsblog.com

    SISDataHub.com

  • New football podcast: Let’s talk 2nd-year QBs

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    Former NFL scout Matt Manocherian (@mattmano) of Sports Info Solutions and football analytics pioneer Aaron Schatz (@FO_ASchatz) of Football Outsiders (@fboutsiders) welcome members of the SIS R&D staff to the show to discuss their articles on three of last year’s rookie quarterbacks. Mark Simon (@MarkASimonSays) kicks things off by discussing his research on Sam Darnold (0:46), and he’s followed by Nate Weller (@natewellerr) talking about Josh Allen (6:30) and Alex Vigderman (@VigManOnCampus) talking about Josh Rosen (13:34).

    For more, check out:

    sportsinfosolutions.com

    footballoutsiders.com

    sportsinfosolutionsblog.com

    SISDataHub.com

    Read more at http://offthechartsfootball.libsyn.com/darnold-and-allen-and-rosen-oh-my?tdest_id=789830#MQOy2LWlk7R8dXde.99

  • New football podcast: Duke Johnson, Icing the Kicker & More

    Check out this week’s episode of the Off the Charts football podcast hosted by Matt Manocherian (@MattMano) and Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders (@fboutsiders)

    Click here to listen

  • NFL Rookies to Watch on Thursday Night

    NFL Rookies to Watch on Thursday Night

    By John Shirley

    Football season officially kicked off last Thursday with the Hall of Fame Game, but tomorrow night is the first night with multiple games to watch and analyze.

    And nothing is more fun to analyze in the Preseason than all the new rookies. Some of these rookies are expected to take the league by storm right out of the gate, some will be trying to quiet critics that have already deemed them a bust, some will be trying to make a solid impact on their new team, and others will just be trying to prove they belong in the NFL.

    Here are 8 rookies to watch for tomorrow that range in draft status and expectations, along with stats and an excerpt from their scouting reports in the Sports Info Solutions (SIS) Football Rookie Handbook (click the link to purchase):

    Trying to live up to expectations:

    Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray – The Cardinals offense will be interesting to watch all season, and this will be the first look at their new franchise QB. In his lone season as a starter at Oklahoma, Murray could not have been better. Among QBs in the Handbook, he ranked first in Yards / Attempts (11.6), On-Tgt% (79%), Independent QB Rating (143.2), Expected Points Added (EPA)/ Dropback (.47), and Rushing EPA (61.4). He also compares well to last season’s No. 1 overall pick, Baker Mayfield.

    Detroit Lions TE T.J. Hockenson –  During the lead up to the Draft there was debate about whether Hockenson or fellow Iowa TE Noah Fant was the top player at the position. The Lions ended up making Hockenson the highest drafted TE since Vernon Davis (6th pick in 2006). If last season is any indication, Hockenson should have no trouble living up to those lofty expectations. He led all Handbook tight ends in Receiving EPA (47.4) and ranked 5th in both Target Share% (17%) and Yards per Route Run (2.3 yards). And he did all of this while sharing the field with another first round talent at TE.

    Trying to quiet the critics:

    New York Giants QB Daniel Jones – This will be the first in-game look at the Giants top pick and heir apparent to Eli Manning. The Giants have taken criticism for what some saw as reaching for Jones with the sixth pick, but he can quiet the critics with a strong preseason. That said, he will need to show an understanding of the offense and improve upon his 75% On-Target Throw Percentage (On-Tgt%) as a junior, which ranked ranked 8th out of 13 qualified Rookie Handbook QBs (Murray was best at 79%).

    Denver Broncos QB Drew Lock – Lock is another QB that was drafted as an heir apparent, though he has faced less criticism as a second round pick. Similar to Jones, Lock will need to improve his accuracy moving forward as he had an even worse On-Tgt% of 73% his senior season. One of the bright spots for Lock in college was his deep passing ability. He thrived on these throws and had an IQR of 135.4 on deep throws last season (IQR is scaled the same as QB Rating, but doesn’t penalize a QB for dropped passes or reward him for dropped potential interceptions)

    Trying to make an impact:

    Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary – Singletary will be trying to stand out in a crowded Bills backfield that includes veterans LeSean McCoy, Frank Gore, and T.J. Yeldon. To do that he will need to show the same ability to break tackles and excel on off-tackle runs that he showed in college. Last season he broke tackles at a rate of 41 per 100 touches, which led all Handbook running backs. Over the last three seasons he averaged 7.2 yards per carry on off-tackle runs.

    Green Bay Packers LB Rashan Gary – The Packers spent big on free agent pass rushing help this off-season and then also drafted Gary with the 12th overall pick. During training camp, Gary has impressed with the physical traits that made him such a high pick, as he tries to become a big part of the Packers edge rotation. When he does get on the field he should make an impact in the passing game (13% Pressure Percentage last season) and in the running game (opponents averaged only -0.38 EPA per rush attempt when running towards him). Another interesting aspect to watch in the preseason is how Gary performs when asked to stand up as an OLB. Last season at Michigan, he had his hand on the ground 99% of the time and rarely dropped into coverage. 

    Trying to make a name for himself:

    New England Patriots QB Jarrett Stidham – Unlike Jones and Lock who were higher picks, Stidham will need to audition for the role of heir apparent. Stidham is also coming from a college offense that is very different than what he will be running in the NFL. These points mean that the preseason will be vitally important for him to showcase his ability. Although his completion percentage declined by six percentage points from his junior to senior seasons, his Catchable Throw% actually increased from 80% to 81% and he had a higher On-Tgt% (77%) than Jones or Lock. He also showed an ability to read zone coverage in college by posting an IQR of 124.1 versus zone last season.

    Miami Dolphins CB Nik Needham – Needham was a favorite among all the SIS Video Scouts who studied his tape. He is an under-the-radar undrafted prospect from UTEP, but has already spent some time practicing with the Dolphins first team defense in camp. During the next four games he will attempt to showcase the coverage skills that led our scouts to rank him the fourth best CB in the Draft. Over the last three seasons Needham allowed a Completion% of only 44% on 126 targets and an EPA / Target of only -0.14.

    For more football content, check out the new episode of the Off the Charts podcast. Click here for the link

  • New football podcast: Reviewing the Football Outsiders Almanac

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    Former NFL scout Matt Manocherian (@mattmano) of Sports Info Solutions and football analytics pioneer Aaron Schatz (@FO_ASchatz) of Football Outsiders dive into the Football Outsiders Almanac 2019.

    Matt and Aaron examine what goes into Expected Win Total Predictions (2:10) and look at the expected totals for the Browns (4:02), Ravens (7:59), Steelers (13:11), Saints (17:02), Chargers (22:48), Lions (29:31), Buccaneers (34:54), Broncos (37:23), Falcons (46:01) and Bills (47:59).

    They also touch on the NCAA football projections (51:19) and talk about some top prospects (53:48).

  • Go Long! The Best Deep Passers In 2018

    For more stats like the ones in this article, sign up for a free trial of the SISDataHub by clicking here

    By Jon Becker

    There are plenty of exciting things to observe during a game of football: long runs for touchdowns, long interception returns, and long field goal kicks, just to name a few. Seeing strength and stamina get pushed to its limits is fun! And so, I thought it’d be fun to revisit my colleague Mark Simon’s post from December on which quarterbacks performed the best on long passes, with the new season soon to come.

    For our purposes, we’re referring to balls thrown at least 20 yards downfield, unless otherwise stated.

    Who attempted the long pass the most?

    As you’d expect, the leader was walking highlight reel and reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs, who attempted 82 such passes. He didn’t lead by all that much, though, with Aaron Rodgers (78) of the Green Bay Packers and Ben Roethlisberger (77) of the Pittsburgh Steelers close behind. Here’s the top 10:

    Patrick Mahomes82
    Aaron Rodgers78
    Ben Roethlisberger77
    Andrew Luck67
    Baker Mayfield66
    Matt Ryan65
    Eli Manning64
    Mitchell Trubisky64
    Case Keenum64
    Russell Wilson61

    Who’s the most successful with them?

    It takes a ton of arm strength to throw the long pass consistently; it might take even more precision to be successful with it consistently. 31 quarterbacks attempted at least 30 deep passes, but only 11 of them were at at least 40%–it’s obviously quite a bit harder to complete a long pass than a short one! The ageless New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees (52%) was the only field general to have more completions than incompletions on the deep ball. Here’s the top 10 of those 31 with at least 30 attempts:

    Drew Brees52.0%
    Russell Wilson47.5%
    Jared Goff47.5%
    Patrick Mahomes42.7%
    Derek Carr42.3%
    Eli Manning42.2%
    Andrew Luck41.8%
    Deshaun Watson41.8%
    Matt Ryan41.5%
    Philip Rivers40.7%

    Who was at the bottom of this list? The three with the lowest completion percentage on deep balls were Cam Newton (23.5%), Sam Darnold (23.6%) and Joe Flacco (25%).

    Who threw the most catchable deep balls?

    Our Video Scouts evaluate whether passes are thrown on-target. The leaderboard is similar to the completion percentage leaderboard with a few exceptions. Drew Brees (66%) and Jared Goff (64%) rank 1-2. Philip Rivers, who ranked No. 10 in completion percentage, moves to No. 3 in throwing catchable balls (63%). Case Keenum of the Washington Redskins, who ranked No. 18 in completion percentage, slots in at No. 4 (59%). Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan (59%) are No. 5 and 6.

    Who Went The Deepest on Average?

    In our closest competition yet, Prescott just barely edged out Roethlisberger in most yards per deep completion last season. Prescott averaged 41.67 yards per completion, whereas Roethlisberger was at 41.63 yards. Not far behind were Ryan Tannehill (39 Y/C) and Carson Wentz (38 Y/C).

    Who Got the Best Results?

    Roethlisberger narrowly missed being atop a couple of the above leaderboards, but he leads in perhaps the most important: touchdowns. Roethlisberger was alone at the top of the list with 11 touchdowns on deep passes, with Mahomes and Wilson one behind him. Roethlisberger did have three interceptions on such attempts, though; the only QB with a perfect ratio and at least 30 deep pass attempts was Rodgers, whose 8 touchdowns came without an interception.

    Who Was Best Overall?

    Roethlisberger would be a good choice, as would Mahomes or Rodgers. But our Total Points metric determines that Wilson was, in fact, the most valuable passer on deep balls. Here’s our Alex Vigderman explaining Total Points for QBs:

    The core assumption of passing Points Earned is that each throw has a certain expected outcome based on information like the route, the depth, and the coverage. From that point, the passer and receiver split responsibility for how well they perform above that expectation. Throwing off-target passes and deserved interceptions (caught or not) will bury a signal-caller, while he will be rewarded for leading receivers to more yards after catch and making something out of a broken pocket.

    Here’s every quarterback with a positive Points Earned on deep passes. Notice Big Ben’s placement:

    Russell Wilson35.2
    Patrick Mahomes33.5
    Aaron Rodgers31.8
    Drew Brees24.5
    Matt Ryan22.3
    Philip Rivers20.6
    Baker Mayfield19.2
    Matthew Stafford18.9
    Andrew Luck18.2
    Jared Goff16.8
    Eli Manning16.0
    Kirk Cousins15.5
    Marcus Mariota12.8
    Deshaun Watson11.9
    Dak Prescott8.9
    Carson Wentz8.6
    Derek Carr7.9
    Case Keenum7.5
    Ben Roethlisberger6.7
    Blake Bortles6.3
    Jameis Winston2.6
    Mitchell Trubisky2.0

    For more stats like the ones in this article, sign up for a free trial of the SISDataHub by clicking here. For more information about Sports Info Solutions, click here.

  • New Football Podcast: Fantasy Preview 2019

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    Former NFL scout Matt Manocherian (@mattmano) of Sports Info Solutions welcomes SIS Business Development Analyst and fantasy sports expert Corey March (@marchmadness26) to the show to talk all things fantasy football. Matt and Corey break down the best value picks at quarterback (2:52), running back (12:42), wide receiver (20:27) and then discuss rookies that could make an impact on your fantasy team at the QB (31:36), WR (38:29) and RB (47:00) positions.

  • Which players are underrated in Madden 20?

    By BRYCE ROSSLER AND NATE WELLER

    Last week, the John Madden Football team released its 2020 player ratings to a chorus of boos from angry fans, as is tradition when that video game is released. The ratings are good, but there’s room for difference of opinion. Analytics can help with that.

    Below, we’ve profiled seven players who are underrated according to our Total Points model, which you can read more about here.

    Damontae Kazee, Falcons S – 79 OVR

    There may not be a player with a more legitimate gripe than Damontae Kazee.

    Kazee led all defenders in Pass Defense Points Saved in 2018 and also tied for the league in interceptions. Outside of his penchant for creating turnovers, Kazee also ranks in the top 5 among safeties at suppressing targets. Despite all of this, he ranks as the second-best free safety on his own team, trailing Ricardo Allen (81 OVR) who missed most of last season with an injury.

    George Kittle, 49ers TE – 90 OVR

    George Kittle is Madden’s fourth-ranked tight end and may still be underrated. He was first amongst TEs in total receiving points earned with 66.9, trumping Kelce by a full four points while being targeted 15 fewer times. No other tight ends had even 40 total points earned in 2018. We aren’t saying that he’s outright better than Kelce, just that the gap in their overall grades shouldn’t be so wide.

    Frank Clark, Chiefs EDGE – 83 OVR

    You think it’d be hard for a $100M man to fly under the radar, especially after a 13-sack campaign, but alas, Frank Clark did. Sacks are a fickle statistic, but Clark ranked 13th in the more stable pressure rate (14%) among defensive ends, while ranking second in pass rush total points saved among edge defenders in 2018 (46.1). Nevertheless, his performance was only good enough for a meager 83 overall. He deserved higher.

    Dee Ford, 49ers EDGE – 84 OVR

    Dee Ford’s 84 overall rating places him firmly in the middle of the pack among Madden pass rushers. By SIS’s Total Points metric though, nobody was better at disrupting quarterbacks than Ford, outpacing the likes of Frank Clark and Aaron Donald for most Pass Rushing Points Saved. Outside of this, Ford was also tied for 2nd in the league with 6 forced fumbles and ranked 2nd in total pressures behind Donald.

    T.J. Watt, Steelers EDGE – 82 OVR

    Despite making a name for himself in 2018, T.J. Watt doesn’t find himself anywhere near the league’s elite in Madden.

    Watt’s Pass Rush Points Saved ranked him as the 7th-best among all pass rushers (only 3 spots behind his brother, who earned a rating of 97) and 3rd-best amongst linebackers. Watt was one of the league’s most efficient pass rushers. Watt rushed the passer on only 76% of pass rush snaps (190th among players with at least 100 pass rush snaps), but generated a sack on 3.5% of those rushes, the 4th-best mark in the league.

    Kerryon Johnson, Lions RB – 81 OVR

    Kerryon Johnson played in only 10 games and totaled 118 carries, but still managed to rank eighth in rushing Total Points among running backs.

    The players who rounded out the top eight received anywhere from 57 to 186 more carries than Johnson, which contributed to the former Auburn standout having the best Total Points per carry among the group. But, according to Madden, he’s not even one of the 32 best runners in the league.

    Jordan Poyer, Bills S – 80 OVR

    Jordan Poyer was a key piece in one the league’s best secondaries last season, but still finds himself as Madden’s 32nd best safety. Among safeties, Poyer ranked as the 11th-best pass defender, 5th-best run defender, and 7th best overall by Total Points. Like Kazee, Poyer added a lot of value through big plays, racking up 5 total turnovers. In the run game, he ranked 5th among safeties in tackles for loss with 4.5 and 8th in tackles short of a 1st down with 55.