Category: John Dewan’s Stat of the Week

  • Stat of the Week: College Baseball Hard-Hit Rate Leaders

    Stat of the Week: College Baseball Hard-Hit Rate Leaders

    Photo: Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire

    We track college baseball in some ways that are similar to how we track the major leagues. One set of data points that we chart is batted ball data that allows us to make estimates on a couple of Statcast stats, like hard-hit rate, barrel rate, average launch angle, and average exit velocity.

    We call our tool for doing so Synthetic Statcast and it’s a useful way to look at a player’s underlying skills. 

    Below is a list of the batters who ranked in the 95th percentile or better in hard-hit rate in major college conferences for 2024 (ACC, Big Ten, SEC, PAC-12, Big 12).

    2024 Hard-Hit Rate Leaders (% of Batted Balls 95+ MPH)

    Player Team Hard-Hit Rate
    1. Jared Jones LSU 62.9%
    2. Nolan Schubart Oklahoma 58.1%
    3. Braden Montgomery Texas A&M 55.2%
    4. Jac Caglianone Florida 53.9%
    5. Jace Laviolette Texas A&M 53.6%
    6. Daniel Cuvet Miami (FL) 52.4%
    7. Carson DeMartini Virginia Tech 51.9%
    8. Charlie Condon Georgia 51.6%
    9. Gavin Turley Oregon State 51.4%
    10. Mason White Arizona 51.4%
    11. JJ Wetherholt West Virginia 50.0%
    12. Vance Honeycutt North Carolina 50.0%
    13. Zac Morris Duke 49.5%
    14. Dakota Jordan Mississippi State 49.0%
    15. Reed Chumley West Virginia 48.8%
    16. Hayden Travinski LSU 48.4%
    17. Cooper McMurray Auburn 48.3%
    18. Jimmy Obertop Clemson 48.2%
    19. Michael Snyder Oklahoma 48.1%
    20. Nick Kurtz Wake Forest 48.0%
    21. Cole Messina South Carolina 47.8%
    22. AJ Gracia Duke 47.6%
    23. Gavin Grahovac Texas A&M 47.1%
    24. Ben Miller Duke 47.0%
    25. Corey Collins Georgia 46.9%
    26. Tyler Shelnut Florida 46.6%
    27. Kyle West West Virginia 46.6%

    Some notes on the top 6 on the list:

    In two seasons at LSU, Jared Jones has shown massive power, hitting 14 and then 28 home runs. At the draft combine last month he recorded exit velos as high as 113 MPH.

    There may be a lot of strikeouts in Nolan Schubart’s game, but there’s a lot of pop too, as evidenced by his 59% hard-hit rate and 20% barrel rate (tied with Cameron Leary for the highest among college players we tracked). He hit 17 home runs as a freshman and 23 as a sophomore this season to offset 137 strikeouts in 389 at-bats.

    Braden Montgomery suffered a rough-looking leg injury prior to the College World Series putting a damper on a season in which he hit 27 home runs and slugged .733. He made a smooth transition after playing the previous two years at Stanford.

    Jac Caglianone’s presence here isn’t surprising given the two-way star’s 35-homer, .875 slugging season. What is interesting is that Caglianone’s average launch angle was 11.9 degrees, making him more line drive-friendly than any of the other Top 10 hitters (yes, we estimate average launch angle too).

    Montgomery’s teammate, Jace Laviolette, announced last week that he’ll be staying at Texas A&M rather than pursuing a new school through the transfer portal. Laviolette bettered Montgomery’s 27 homers with 29 of his own in his sophomore season and should enter 2025 as a candidate to be taken near the top of the MLB Draft.

    Daniel Cuvet, aka Danny Dingers, crushed the ball in his first year at Miami (24 homers, 1.165 OPS) on the way to being a freshman All American and is continuing to hit the ball with authority in the Cape Cod League.

  • June’s Defensive Players of the Month: Jose Siri & Brice Turang

    June’s Defensive Players of the Month: Jose Siri & Brice Turang

    June’s Defensive Players of the Month, Rays center fielder Jose Siri and Brewers second baseman Brice Turang, won the award on the strength of both their overall defensive value and plays that wowed and showed off their best skills.

    Jose Siri

    Siri led all center fielders with 6 Defensive Runs Saved in June and tied Jacob Young of the Nationals for the monthly lead in Good Fielding Plays at the position with 7.

    The most impressive-looking of those plays was a game-ending leaping catch at the fence against the Pirates on June 21 (while avoiding the arms of a fan who reached over the railing).

    But there were others too, including a full-speed sprinting catch earlier in that same game.

    A day earlier he’d shown off his arm with a fantastic throw to third base (with his momentum going in the opposite direction) to get Royce Lewis of the Twins at third base to help preserve a one-run lead in the 10th inning. As Rays TV analyst Brian Anderson said of that one “You’ve got to be kidding me!”

    Siri’s run of terrific defensive plays really began with this leaping catch at the fence to keep a game tied in the 9th inning on May 29 (while avoiding a teammate). He actually entered June with -2 Runs Saved for the season but is now well onto the positive side of that stat.

    In this hot defensive stretch, Siri has shown off his speed and acceleration. He ranks 2nd in Statcast’s ‘burst’ stat, which measures how many more feet a fielder covers than the average defender when a batted ball has been in the air from 1.6 to 3 seconds. He also ranks in the top 15 in ‘reaction’ which measures how many feet a fielder covers in the first 1.5 seconds after contact.

    Brice Turang

    Turang led all second basemen with 7 Runs Saved in June. That matched the most Runs Saved for any player at any position. Turang’s teammate Jackson Chourio as well as Zach Neto and Taylor Ward of the Angels also each had 7.

    Turang is also tied with Ketel Marte of the Diamondbacks and Marcus Semien of the Rangers for the MLB season lead in Runs Saved at second base with 11. He finished 3rd in Runs Saved as a rookie second baseman last season.

    There was some versatility among Turang’s top defensive plays in June. His highlights included this leaping catch against the Reds on June 14, a play on which he went well up the middle to get an out 10 days later against the Rangers and then one the next day in which he dove to his left.

    Since making his MLB debut last season, Turang’s strength has been those plays on balls hit to his right. He’s gotten at least one out on 72 of 112 opportunities. An average fielder would have converted only 61 of those opportunities into outs. Turang’s +11 plus-minus on those balls (our version of outs above average) is best of anyone at second base.

    2024 MLB Defensive Players of the Month

    Month Players
    March/April Daulton Varsho & Marcus Semien
    May Jo Adell & Ezequiel Tovar
    June Jose Siri & Brice Turang
  • Stat of the Week: Paul Skenes Is Quick To The Plate

    Stat of the Week: Paul Skenes Is Quick To The Plate

    Photo: Joseph Weiser/Icon Sportswire 

    Have you checked out The Paul Skenes Experience yet?

    The Pirates rookie is baseball’s latest phenom. He’s 4-0 with a 2.14 ERA in eight starts heading into a matchup with Max Fried and the Braves on Saturday.

    Skenes throws a fastball 99 MPH with considerable movement. Opponents are hitting .140 against a splitter that averages 94 MPH. He’s struck out 34% of the hitters he’s faced, the 4th-highest rate among pitchers with at least 40 innings pitched.

    When you’re facing Skenes you need to be ready to take advantage of anything you can. The Pirates’ defense has shown a few holes in his eight starts. They’ve been charged with -4 Runs Saved on the batted balls against him.

    But Skenes has done something in his pitching approach to help limit that damage beyond a strikeout-to-walk ratio that’s nearly 8-to-1. He gets the ball to the plate quickly.

    SIS does frame-by-frame analysis of video to ascertain when a pitcher makes his first movement with a man on base and when a pitch hits the catcher’s glove. Our average times may not jibe with those of others who are often using stopwatches to do similar tracking. But we feel confident in the precision of our numbers.

    The average time for a pitcher from first move to their pitch hitting the catcher’s mitt, combining all delivery types that we categorize (slide step, full leg kick, in-between a slide step and leg kick) is 1.62 seconds for a right-handed pitcher and 1.67 seconds for a left-handed pitcher. We show you this down to hundredths of seconds because every hundredth of a second matters when it comes to basestealers.

    Skenes, who has almost entirely used either a full kick or something in between a slide step and full kick, ranks 19th in time to plate at 1.46 seconds. That’s among more than 450 pitchers with at least 50 measured times to the plate. Skenes is not at the level of Yankees reliever Ian Hamilton (MLB-low 1.32 seconds), but he’s still very good. 

    The payoff for Skenes is that he’s very hard to run on. In those eight starts, there have been only 2 stolen base attempts against him (one successful, one not). He’s picked one runner off.

    At a time when teams are stealing bases at higher frequencies than they have in decades, pitchers who can limit the running game are at a premium. Skenes is one of them. It’s another way that facing him is almost unfair.

  • May’s Defensive Players of the Month: Ezequiel Tovar and Jo Adell

    May’s Defensive Players of the Month: Ezequiel Tovar and Jo Adell

    It’s been rough sledding all season for the Rockies and Angels, two teams at the bottom of their respective divisions through two months with little hope of catching the contenders.

    But we recognize defensive excellence wherever it comes, and even on these struggling teams there are examples to be found at different spots on the field.

    Our Defensive Players of the Month for May are Rockies shortstop Ezequiel Tovar and Angels right fielder Jo Adell.

    Tovar was terrific in the field in 2023 and has again been great in 2024. His 7 Defensive Runs Saved ranked 1st among shortstops this month. His 18 Runs Saved since the start of last season rank tied for the most among shortstops with Anthony Volpe and his 6 this season are tied for the most at shortstop with Brayan Rocchio and Masyn Winn.

    Tovar is particularly adept at turning the double play. He’s converted 40 double plays in 50 opportunities. The 80% success rate ranks 3rd in MLB and is 18 percentage points above MLB average for the position.

    Tovar has made quick slide-and-turn plays like this one against Marcus Semien regularly throughout his brief career. He’s also shown he can go back on popups (watch) and snag line drives (here). Tovar handled almost everything flawlessly. He had only 1 Defensive Misplay and no errors the entire month.

    “From last May to now, I can’t imagine any shortstop that’s played better than Ezequiel,” said Rockies manager Bud Black. “He’s steady. He’s dependable. He makes every play. And he does it his way. He’s got great instincts.”

    Added Rockies pitcher Kyle Freeland: “He’s an incredible infielder. We love having him there as our leader on the infield. The sky’s the limit for a guy like that.”

    Most Defensive Runs Saved By Shortstop – 2024 Season

    Player Team Runs Saved
    Ezequiel Tovar Rockies 6
    Brayan Rocchio Guardians 6
    Masyn Winn Cardinals 6
    Gunnar Henderson Orioles 5
    Bobby Witt Jr. Royals 5
    Orlando Arcia Braves 5

    Adell led all players with 9 Runs Saved for May, a number boosted by a home run robbery (watch it). But that wasn’t his only great defensive play during the month. He had a fantastic catch against the Astros (here) and also made a great throw to preserve a tie in extra innings (here). His 5 Good Fielding Plays for the month ranked 2nd among right fielders to Starling Marte’s 8.

    Adell is still trying to figure things out as a hitter (he had a big slump at the end of May) but he looked the part of a star defender in May. He leads all right fielders with 7 Runs Saved this season.

    “It’s his work ethic,” said Angels third base coach Eric Young Sr., who works with first base coach Bo Porter on helping the team’s outfielders. “This guy came into camp on a mission to be the best all-around player he could be. He worked on his defense vigorously. That was his main focus when he came to the park. A total commitment to make it happen.”

    Most Defensive Runs Saved By Right Fielder- 2024 Season

    Player Team Runs Saved
    Jo Adell Angels 7
    Wilyer Abreu Red Sox 6
    Kyle Tucker Astros 6
    Max Kepler Twins 5
    Mike Yastrzemski Giants 5
    Andy Pages Dodgers 5
  • Stat of the Week: Mariners Top The AL West, Are Tops In Positioning

    Stat of the Week: Mariners Top The AL West, Are Tops In Positioning

    Photo: Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire

    The Mariners infield is turning grounders and bunts into outs at a 77% rate, which ranks 3rd-best overall. The outfield is turning balls hit in the air into outs at a 63% rate, which ranks 5th in MLB.

    When we consider the skill of their defensive players, the Mariners do alright in Defensive Runs Saved. But when you factor in how they position their players, it takes their defensive performance to a different level.

    They have average skill. They rank 16th with just their fielder totals for Runs Saved. But when you factor in defensive positioning, they rank 7th.

    That’s why it’s important to know that the Mariners rank 1st when we combine their Infield and Outfield Positioning Runs Saved into one stat, Defensive Positioning Runs Saved (you can find these stats here). Their defensive positioning across all positions has been vital to their first-place standing in the AL West.

    In Defensive Positioning Runs Saved, if the out probability increases when positioning is known, the team receives a credit based on how much it increased. If the out probability decreases when positioning is factored in, the team earns a debit based on how much it decreased. The credits and debits are subsequently converted to run values.

    There are plenty of examples of defensive positioning helping the Mariners this season. There’s this one, a play on which positioning increased the out probability of this inning-ending double play ball for J.P. Crawford from 12% to 56%. This one is a different type of double play for Jorge Polanco, with positioning increasing his out probability from 34% to 78%. And here’s one for Ty France where defensive positioning took the out probability from 62% to 100% because he was stationed so well for this rocketed line drive.

    Julio Rodríguez has been a beneficiary of good positioning in the outfield several times. Here’s one on which the out probability increased from 26% to 74%. We’d be remiss if we didn’t show you this catch by Luke Raley, who given his initial stumble wouldn’t have made the catch if he weren’t in the path of this fly ball, on which positioning increased the out probability from 54% to 91%.

    There’s some history here. The Mariners ranked 8th in Infield Positioning Runs Saved last year, the first in which full shifts were banned, and 11th in Outfield Positioning Runs Saved last season. And in 2022, we wrote about the Mariners and their outfield positioning success.

    Here’s the list of the team leaders in Defensive Positioning Runs Saved this season.

    Defensive Positioning Runs Saved Leaders

    Team Infield Positioning Runs Saved Outfield Positioning Runs Saved Positioning Runs Saved
    Mariners 9 3 12
    Dodgers 4 6 10
    Padres 7 3 10
    Braves 4 6 10
    Reds 8 1 9
    Blue Jays 8 1 9
    Cardinals 6 3 9
  • Stat of the Week: Who Has Benefited Most Often From Good Defensive Plays?

    Stat of the Week: Who Has Benefited Most Often From Good Defensive Plays?

    BY MARK SIMON

    If you happened to catch the Cubs-Brewers game on Sunday, you saw Cubs starter Javier Assad pitch 6 scoreless innings, lowering his season ERA to 1.66.

    But a glimpse of the box score tells only part of the story.

    The Cubs infield made 4 very good defensive plays behind Assad.

    In the top of the first, Dansby Swanson kept the game scoreless with a sliding play in the 5/6 hole and subsequent throw-out of Willy Adames with a man on 3rd and 2 outs.

    In the second inning, first baseman Michael Busch dove to tag out Oliver Dunn on a drag bunt attempt, ending the inning.

    Then Swanson took a hit away from Brice Turang with a 4th-inning sliding stop in the other direction, behind second base. Though a runner on first advanced to second, Swanson helped kill a rally.

    In the fifth inning, Busch made a sprawling stop on a Sal Frelick grounder then dove to tag first base. Again, a runner advanced to second base but the out prevented further potential damage.

    There was one other play that probably went unnoticed by many but not by us – Mike Tauchman hustled to the right field line to field a ball off the side wall and hold Tyler Black to a single.

    At SIS, we keep track of Good Fielding Plays and Defensive Misplays. These are given by our game-watching Video Scouts for about 30 types of good plays and 60 types of mistakes.

    The 4 plays on ground balls all count as Good Fielding Plays under the categorization of ‘ground ball out.’ Tauchman’s play counts as a ‘holds to single,’ and for that play Tauchman gets a fractional credit applied to his Defensive Runs Saved.

    The Cubs made 5 Good Fielding Plays behind Assad in 6 innings. He’s now been the beneficiary of 11 Good Fielding Plays this season against 2 Defensive Misplays & Errors.

    The Cubs have 3 unbeaten starting pitchers with sub-2 ERAs: Assad, Shota Imanaga, and Jameson Taillon. But there’s a difference in what’s happened behind them.

    Assad was the beneficiary of 5 Good Fielding Plays in those 6 innings. Imanaga and Taillon have received 4 Good Fielding Plays (against 8 Misplays & Errors) in 65 2/3 innings pitched all season.

    Assad has been on the mound for the second-most Good Fielding Plays by a team for a pitcher this season. Seth Lugo of the Royals has benefited from the most, 13 (including this this home run robbery).

    But Lugo’s experience has been a little different from Assad’s. He’s been on the mound for 12 Royals misplays and errors, the most by any team for any pitcher. Lugo has thus far benefited more from the good plays than he has from the mistakes and is pitching to a 1.92 ERA.

    Phillies starter Ranger Suárez is another who has benefited from Good Fielding Plays. The Phillies have made 10 behind him (including this one by first baseman Bryce Harper). They’ve turned 85% of grounders and bunts against Suarez into outs, the 4th-highest rate in the majors (minimum 40 grounders and bunts against them). Suárez has a 1.72 ERA.

    But a high total of Good Fielding Plays does not guarantee success. Chris Bassitt of the Blue Jays and Logan Allen of the Guardians each have had 10 Good Fielding Plays behind them, just like Suárez. Each has an ERA of 5.00 or higher.

    Most Good Fielding Plays – By Team For Pitcher

    Pitcher Team Good Fielding Plays
    Seth Lugo Royals 13
    Javier Assad Cubs 11
    Ranger Suárez Phillies 10
    Chris Bassitt Blue Jays 10
    Logan Allen Guardians 10
  • Stat of the Week: March/April Defensive Players of the Month

    Stat of the Week: March/April Defensive Players of the Month

    Blue Jays outfielder Daulton Varsho and Rangers second baseman Marcus Semien are our co-Defensive Players of the month for March/April.

    The two have an additional common bond. Despite gaudy defensive statistics, they’ve never won a Fielding Bible Award.

    By our eyes, Varsho has the best highlight reel of any player in MLB this season. He finished April tied for the MLB lead among all players with 8 Defensive Runs Saved and 10 Good Fielding Plays. He’s split his time between left field (5 Runs Saved) and center field (3 Runs Saved) and thus does not lead either position individually in Runs Saved.

    Blue Jays fans (and Toronto media) shared their annoyance at Varsho not winning a Fielding Bible Award last season. Varsho led all outfielders in Runs Saved but finished 2nd in the voting to Steven Kwan of the Guardians for left field and 4th in our inaugural Defensive Player of the Year voting to Pirates third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes. Varsho didn’t win a Gold Glove either.

    Since the start of the season, Varsho has made a statement with how good his defense has been. He’s had a knack for making great plays against great hitters. Check out his fence-crashing catch against Shohei Ohtani and his diving catches against Bobby Witt Jr. and Kyle Tucker.

    Varsho has 55 Defensive Runs Saved as an outfielder since the start of 2022 season. No one else is within 20 runs of him. It’s not just catches either. In that time, he has 11 Outfield Arm Runs Saved, 1 shy of the MLB lead.

    Semien has finished 2nd in the Fielding Bible Awards voting twice, in 2021 and 2023. Perhaps this is the season that Semien wins it as he’s off to a pretty good start.

    Semien has 7 Defensive Runs Saved this season for an infield that has turned the highest percentage of grounders and bunts into outs of any MLB team. His defensive work has been less about fancy plays (though he has this one and this one) and more about just getting to balls without issue and accumulating outs. That’s not calling him a compiler. That’s calling him good at his job.

    Semien has made just about every play he should make. Most of the balls he’s missed fielding, other second basemen have a history of missing similar balls too. Last season, Semien had 30 plays on which he was debited more than 0.4 runs. In March and April, he had only one. He’s made 19 of 19 plays with a 60% to 80% out probability and is 47-of-48 fielding balls with a greater than 80% out probability.

    By a bizarre coincidence, Semien also ended April ranked No. 1 in Defensive Runs Saved against him as a hitter. Teams have saved a combined 6 runs against his batted balls.

    Semien ended April hitting .258 but should probably be doing better than he is.

    Here are a bunch of examples of very good plays being made against him: a running catch by Cubs left fielder Mike Tauchman, a sliding snag by Astros right fielder Kyle Tucker, a play from deep in the hole by Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson and a nifty play by Braves shortstop Orlando Arcia. Defensive positioning has also gotten Semien a couple of times, including on this catch by Mark Canha.

    There’s no shortage of good defense being played against Semien at the moment. But there’s no shortage of good defense being played by him either.

    Most Defensive Runs Saved By Position

    Through End of April 

    Player Team Runs Saved
    1B – Christian Walker Diamondbacks 7
    2B – Ketel Marte Diamondbacks 8
    3B – Trey Lipscomb Nationals 4
    SS – Masyn Winn Cardinals 6
    LF – Riley Greene Tigers 7
    CF – Kyle Isbel (Tie) Royals 5
    CF – Parker Meadows (Tie) Tigers 5
    RF – Wilyer Abreu Red Sox 4
    C – Cal Raleigh Mariners 7
    P – Josh Fleming Pirates 3

  • Stat of the Week: AL Central Doing It With Defense

    Stat of the Week: AL Central Doing It With Defense

    As someone who likes to write about defense, this is a little bit of a challenging time for me, because it’s hard to find much meaning in small sample sizes. Defensive Runs Saved isn’t necessarily meant to be an evaluative tool within the first 10 to 15 percent of the season.

    But we can still find instances in which good defense has mattered. Just look at the three teams in the AL Central that rank in the top 7 in Runs Saved.

    Royals (2nd)

    The Royals enter today ranked 2nd in the majors in Defensive Runs Saved. What’s propelled them is their defense up the middle.

    Two years ago, Bobby Witt Jr. ranked as the worst shortstop in the majors in Runs Saved. He still rated below-average per Defensive Runs Saved last season, but made considerable improvements (some metrics rated him above-average last season). This season, he’s setting an early standard.

    The Royals’ infielders have turned ground balls and bunts into outs at the highest rate in MLB, with Witt leading the way no matter what’s in his path. He leads shortstops with 5 Runs Saved.

    In the outfield, center fielder Kyle Isbel has continued his fine defensive work from 2023. Isbel doesn’t hit a lot, but thus far he’s done what the Royals have needed him to do: catch enough fly balls and line drives to have an impact.

    Combine 2023 and 2024 and Isbel ranks 3rd among center fielders in Defensive Runs Saved.

    Meanwhile, catcher, long held down by Salvador Perez, has turned into a timeshare between Perez and Freddy Fermin, the latter being a better pitch framer and the former typically being good at throwing out baserunners. Between the two of them they’ve allowed only 8 stolen base attempts all season. And Perez’s past issues with pitch framing haven’t manifested yet. The Royals’ pitchers have fared well with both.

    Guardians (3rd)

    The Guardians have last year’s Platinum Glove and Fielding Bible Award winner, Andrés Giménez, and he’s been doing as he typically does at second base. But other than that, you have to look a little deeper in order to ascertain what’s going on there.

    For one thing, the Guardians’ outfielders have combined for an MLB-high 8 assists. That’s the most in MLB. The average team has 2.5. Ramón Laureano’s 4 assists (though a couple have been awkwardly attained) are more than 25 teams have gotten from their outfield this season.

    The Guardians have also done well – at least through 19 games – in another aspect that we measure. They are tied for the major league lead when we combine their infield and outfield positioning Runs Saved totals. Score one early on for the team’s coaching staff (and probably their analytics department too).

    The Tigers (T-6th)

    Our timing on this isn’t great given that the Tigers made 3 errors yesterday, but let’s not let one bad game get in the way of some good work here.

    The Tigers have turned the 2nd-highest rate of balls hit in the air into outs of any defense in MLB (73%). And they’ve turned grounders and bunts into outs at the 7th-highest rate. If you’re wondering why the Tigers have the lowest BABIP allowed in the majors by a healthy margin, that’s why (.244, 14 points better than the next-closest team).

    Additionally, the Tigers have a pair of home run robberies, which count significantly in Defensive Runs Saved because these plays literally save runs. On March 30, Parker Meadows brought this one back from White Sox catcher Martin Maldonado. On April 9, Riley Greene snared a would-be homer from Pirates third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes. The Tigers won a close game in both instances.

    The good D has helped the Tigers to a 10-9 start despite an offense that ranks in the bottom 5 of the American League in runs scored and the slash line stats.

  • Stat of the Week: Trey Lipscomb Makes A Good First Impression

    Stat of the Week: Trey Lipscomb Makes A Good First Impression

    Early this season baseball fans are celebrating big starts at the plate from Mookie Betts, Juan Soto, and Bobby Witt Jr. 

     But what about recognizing a good start in the field?

     It’s an oft-said baseballism that when you’re newly in a game, the ball finds you. The ball has found Nationals third baseman Trey Lipscomb a lot. In his first 3 major league games, Lipscomb has already handled 15 chances cleanly.

     That’s busy for a third baseman. Ke’Bryan Hayes led the position in range factor last season. He had a few three-game stretches last season like the one Lipscomb just did, but his range factor last season was an average of just under 3 chances per game.

     Now you may ask why we’re bringing up an unknown rookie on a 1-3 team that may finish at the bottom of the NL East this season. Fair question. 

     It’s easy to get excited by the superduperstars and the hyped rookies, like Jackson Chourio and Wyatt Langford. But part of the fun of baseball is about the under-the-radar guys who might catch some people by surprise.

     And while maybe Lipscomb won’t be Hayes or Nolan Arenado in the field, he could still be someone you’ll want to watch. Reds broadcaster and Hall of Famer Barry Larkin was impressed and said so during during the telecasts of the last 2 games of the Reds-Nationals series. Larkin’s a 3-time Gold Glove winner, so when he says a player has been “impressive,” we listen.

    We talked to Lipscomb last year after he won a minor league Gold Glove at third base in a season in which he played every infield position. He was among the Nationals’ final cuts after hitting .400 in spring training but was almost immediately recalled when Nick Senzel suffered an injury that required an IL stint.

    Lipscomb made a couple of nifty plays on ground balls, getting an initiation in the first inning of his first game at third base on a Christian Encarnacion-Strand grounder that took a high hop. Lipscomb handled it well and got the out.

    Lipscomb’s best play by Runs Saved was also against Encarnacion-Strand, one that he turned into a 5-4-3 double play. That play was worth nearly 3/4 of a Run Saved by itself.

    Lipscomb and Encarnacion-Strand had quite the batter-fielder relationship for a couple of days, with Lipscomb retiring Encarnacion-Strand 5 times.

    Lipscomb said in our interview that he wanted to be a fielder who dominated the routine plays. He had his share in his first 3 games and looked comfortable.

    But there were a couple of interesting challenges. On one play Lipscomb made, against Bryan Reynolds of the Pirates, he chose not to throw home in a situation in which he may have had a play at the plate. For those unaware, that decision is factored into Lipscomb’s Defensive Runs Saved. He gets a credit for retiring Reynolds at first base but also loses some run value within his Runs Saved for what we call “Giving Away a Lead Runner” in our cataloging of Defensive Misplays.

    Lipscomb also was unable to make a play on a hard-hit ball down the third base line. However, by diving and reaching the ball, Lipscomb held Santiago Espinal to a single rather than a double.

    Lipscomb got penalized within Defensive Runs Saved for not making the play on Espinal, but he gets a chunk of that run value back because he recorded a “Keeping The Ball In The Infield” in our tracking of more than 30 types of Good Fielding Plays.

    All in all, Lipscomb got through his first 3 days in the major leagues pretty well. He experienced a variety of plays and handled them. He wasn’t perfect but he made a strong impression.

    “The game of baseball is not about perfection,” Lipscomb said in our offseason conversation. “But if you can be as physically sound and mentally sound on defense as you can, it can help you a lot.

     So far so good. Let’s see if he can keep it up.

  • Stat of the Week: Dancing With The Star

    Stat of the Week: Dancing With The Star

    Let’s talk dancing for a moment.

    Not NCAA Tournament dancing. Even though that’s pertinent these days, that’s another sport. I’m talking about baseball and dancing.

    Several years ago, I interviewed Hall of Fame manager Casey Stengel’s grand niece, Toni Harsh, who told me how much Stengel loved dancing, to the point of showing off the waltz to his family with his wife Edna. He passed on the importance of dancing to his players, encouraging them to take lessons.

    “Dancing taught shifting weight, turning, and stretching,” Harsh said. “It was about staying light on your feet.”

    Stengel would have loved the answer Guardians second baseman Andrés Giménez gave us when we asked him how he stayed in good physical shape during the offseason, besides doing basic baseball work. He likes to dance.

    “First of all, it’s a way to enjoy the moment, enjoy the music, enjoy your family,” Giménez said on the latest episode of The Sports Info Solutions Baseball Podcast. “Dance is an easy way to show love. And if you move your feet, you’re going to be in a great position to dance or to catch a ground ball. When I have the opportunity to dance with my wife or other family members, I do it, because you move your feet there. When the ball is coming, you kind of dance with it.”

    Giménez brought to mind similar thoughts from former Red Sox minor league coach Bianca Smith, who is now coaching in Japan. A few months ago she told us, “No matter what you’re doing, whether you’re hitting, you’re on the bases, you’re in the field, you’re dancing with the pitcher.”

    Said Giménez: “I’m with her. If you move your feet when you’re dancing, it’s going to be easier to take a ground ball. I’m not the best dancer, but I can do it, so it helps me for my defense.”

    Giménez danced his way into the hearts of Guardians fans in 2022 with an MVP-caliber season. He wasn’t quite as good a hitter in 2023 but he dominated in the field. His 22 Defensive Runs Saved led the majors at his position. He won both our Fielding Bible Award at second base and the Rawlings Platinum Glove Award as the top AL defensive player last season. Giménez’s deft athleticism led to him making 23 sliding defensive plays, most in MLB in 2023.

    This season, Giménez has a new middle-infield partner to tango with, as fellow Venezuelan Brayan Rocchio is slated to be the Guardians’ everyday shortstop and another Venezuelan, Gabriel Arias, is a possible backup. Notable all-Venezuelan double play combinations of the past include Elvis Andrus and Rougned Odor, Alcides Escobar and Omar Infante, and Ozzie Guillén and Fred Manrique.

    If Giménez is at the top of his game his double play combo has a chance to be the best all-Venezuelan one ever. And perhaps they’ll give a new meaning to ‘dancing with the stars.’