By Steve Schwarz
These NFC East battles are typically hard-fought, low-scoring affairs and last season the two games between the Giants and the Washington Football Team averaged just 41 combined points. Add in a backup quarterback in Taylor Heinicke for injured Ryan Fitzpatrick and we might see even less wide open football which is why most of the best prop bets involve ‘unders’ this week.
All odds are from Parx Casino
1) Taylor Heinicke, under 22.5 completions, +104
Forget the playoff game against Tampa Bay in which Heinicke threw for 306 yards, because this isn’t a playoff game and the WFT isn’t forced to throw or lose big after being down big to Tom Brady in the second half.
This will be a low-scoring contest with a conservative offensive strategy featuring Antonio Gibson. Look at last week when Washington was in a close game with the Chargers; combined between Ryan Fitzpatrick and Heinicke they threw the ball just 21 times.
Heinicke played in 39-of-55 offensive plays (71%) and threw the ball 15 times. You are getting plus odds when the SIS data suggests the under should be a -166 favorite.
2) Devontae Booker, score TD, +375
The Giants are being very protective of running back Saquon Barkley, which should give an opportunity for Booker to shine. Barkley had only 10 rushing attempts last week and we are predicting just over 11 this time around, while Booker should accumulate more than seven touches with a 26% chance to score.
That translates to about +286. Here, we are getting +375.
3) Terry McLaurin, under 5.5 receptions, +103. SB -237
With fewer opportunities comes fewer chances for McLaurin to accumulate six receptions for the over. In fact, we are predicting just 6.6 targets and 4.5 receptions for 56 yards.
SIS makes him a -237 for under 5.5 receptions and the casino is offering +103. Take it.
SIS has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.
Quarterback Passing Yards
Daniel Jones, over 230.5 -114/under -114
Taylor Heinicke, over 244.5, -115/under -113
Quarterback Passing TDs
Daniel Jones, over 1.5 +145/under -195
Taylor Heinicke, over 1.5, +110/under -145
Daniel Jones, over 20.5 completions -113/under -113
Taylor Heinicke, over 22.5 completions, -136/under +104
Daniel Jones, over 0.5 completions -165/under +125
Taylor Heinicke, over 0.5 completions, -140/under +105
New York –
Saquon Barkley, +155
Kenny Golladay, +245
Sterling Shepard, +265
Devontae Booker, +375
Kyle Rudolph, +390
Daniel Jones, +430
Darius Slayton, +420
Kadarius Toney, +750
Kaden Smith, +900
Antonio Gibson, -110
Terry McLaurin, +148
Logan Thomas, +170
Dyami Brown, +335
Taylor Heinicke, +390
Adam Humphries, +410
JD McKissic, +425
Cam Sims, +820
Jaret Patterson, +1300
Daniel Jones, 19.5, over -120/under -109
Antonio Gibson, 67.5, over -114/under -114
New York –
Kenny Golladay, 54.5, over -112/under -117
Sterling Shepard, 56.5, over -112/under -117
Darius Slayton, 37.5, over -114/under -114
Antonio Gibson, 17.5, over -117/under -112
Terry McLaurin, 72.5, over -114/under -115
Logan Thomas, 49.5, over -115/under -114
Dyami Brown, 31.5, over -117/under -112
Adam Humphries, 26.5, over -117/under -113
New York –
Kenny Golladay, 3.5, over -182/under +140
Sterling Shepard, 4.5, over -167/under +128
Darius Slayton, 2.5, over -150/under +115
Antonio Gibson, 2.5, over -167/under +128
Terry McLaurin, 5.5, over -134/under +103
Logan Thomas, 4.5, over -118/under -110
Dyami Brown, 2.5, over -162/under +124
Adam Humphries, 2.5, over -118/under -110