Category: Baseball

  • Stat of the Week: Fielding Bible Awards Runners-Up

    Stat of the Week: Fielding Bible Awards Runners-Up

    Last week we honored so many great defensive players in our announcement of The Fielding Bible Awards.

    But in doing so, we were limiting our selection to one per position. We don’t want to forget about some of the other great players who didn’t win an Award.

    So today is for the runner-ups, the players who finished second for each of the Fielding Bible Awards in 2023.

    First BaseCarlos Santana of the Brewers led all first basemen in Defensive Runs Saved (11) and ranked 2nd in Good Fielding Plays (41). The 11 Runs Saved were a career high. Santana, not known for his defense, has finished with a positive Runs Saved in 7 of the last 8 years.

    Second Base Marcus Semien of the Rangers leads all second basemen in Runs Saved over the last 3 seasons, one better than the 2023 Fielding Bible Award winner, Andrés Giménez, though Giménez beat him out for the lead in 2023

    Third BaseRyan McMahon of the Rockies had the misfortune of going up against the Defensive Player of the Year winner, Ke’Bryan Hayes. McMahon holds up well against every other third baseman in the sport. He ranks 2nd to Hayes in Runs Saved at the position over the last 3 seasons and ranked 2nd in 2023 too. Yes, that means he’s ahead of former Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado.

    Shortstop – It was a crowded field of players battling for the No. 2 spot behind unanimous winner Dansby Swanson, and it was Swanson’s division rival, Willy Adames of the Brewers, who ended up there. Adames ranked tied for 7th at the position in Runs Saved but was 4th in the component of Runs Saved that comes from turning batted balls into outs.

    Left Field Daulton Varsho of the Blue Jays was the runner-up to Steven Kwan, but just noting that would be an injustice to Varsho, who led all players with 29 Runs Saved in 2023  Unfortunately for him, he ended up with no Fielding Bible Awards to show for it because he split time between left field (where he finished 3rd in Runs Saved) and center field. He qualified for the Award in left field because he played more there but lost to Kwan in the voting. Varsho did finish 4th in Defensive Player of the Year voting.

    Center Field – Brenton Doyle of the Rockies just missed beating out Kevin Kiermaier for the Award. Doyle did beat out Kiermaier for the MLB lead in Runs Saved at the position with 19. That’s remarkable given that the most Runs Saved by a Rockies center fielder in a season prior to that was 6.

    Right Field – Rangers postseason star Adolis García is a defensive star too. He was the runner-up to Fernando Tatis Jr. in right field. García and Tatis tied for the MLB lead in Outfield Arm Runs Saved at the position. García leads all outfielders in that stat over the last 3 seasons.

    Catcher – Patrick Bailey stepped into a big role as a rookie for the Giants and matched up well with Award winner Gabriel Moreno. Bailey tied for the MLB lead in our pitch-framing metric, Strike Zone Runs Saved.

    Pitcher – Jesús Luzardo of the Marlins led all pitchers in Runs Saved in 2023 and finished No. 1 in Runs Saved from turning batted balls into outs. He also ranks 3rd in Runs Saved at the position in the last 3 seasons.

    Multi-Position – Jon Berti of the Marlins didn’t quite match up to winner Mookie Betts but Berti was highly versatile. He played at least 15 games at 4 positions – shortstop (64), third base (41), left field (18), and second base (15) – and finished the season with 5 Runs Saved.

    Full voting results for The Fielding Bible Awards can be found in The Bill James Handbook, Walk-Off Edition, which is available for pre-order at ACTA Sports, and on the Sports Info Solutions website.

  • 2023 Fielding Bible Award Winners

    2023 Fielding Bible Award Winners

    SIS is pleased to announce the winners of the 2023 Fielding Bible Awards. This marks the 18th season that we have honored the best defensive players in MLB. The awards are voted on by a panel of experts who consider statistical analysis, the eye test, and any other factors that they wish to utilize.

    We are also announcing the winner of our inaugural Defensive Player of the Year award.

    This year’s winners are:

    Position Name Team
    Player of the Year Ke’Bryan Hayes Pirates
    1B Christian Walker Diamondbacks
    2B Andrés Giménez Guardians
    3B Ke’Bryan Hayes Pirates
    SS Dansby Swanson Cubs
    LF Steven Kwan Guardians
    CF Kevin Kiermaier Blue Jays
    RF Fernando Tatis Jr. Padres
    C Gabriel Moreno Diamondbacks
    P Zack Greinke Royals
    Multi-Position Mookie Betts Dodgers

    Defensive Player of the Year

    Ke’Bryan Hayes is our inaugural Defensive Player of the Year. He led 3rd basemen in Defensive Runs Saved this season and easily leads all 3rd basemen in Runs Saved since his debut season, 2020.

    “Ke’Bryan Hayes had another outstanding season defensively,” said SIS VP Baseball, Bobby Scales. “Since the day he entered the Major Leagues he has displayed a level of defensive excellence that few young players exhibit at this early stage of their careers. This year was truly a special one for him.”

    Individual Positions

    1B – Christian Walker won his 2nd straight Fielding Bible Award. He finished 2nd among 1st basemen with 9 Defensive Runs Saved in 2023. He joins Albert Pujols and Matt Olson as the only 1B to win in consecutive years. Walker cut back on his Misplays & Errors from 19 in 2022 to 11 in 2023 in nearly the same number of innings.

    Walker and Paul Goldschmidt are the only Diamondbacks players to win a Fielding Bible Award at 1st base.

    2B – Andrés Giménez won his 1st Fielding Bible Award. Gimenez led all 2nd basemen with 23 Defensive Runs Saved in 2023. He was our Co-Defensive Player of the Month in September. Giménez was the only infielder to be at least 10 Plays Saved above average on balls hit to both his left and his right in 2023.

    He’s the only Guardians player to win the Award at 2nd base.

    3B – Ke’Bryan Hayes won his 2nd Fielding Bible Award (previously won in 2021) to go along with Defensive Player of the Year honors. He led all third basemen with 21 Defensive Runs Saved. Hayes cut back on his mistakes in 2023. He finished with 13 Defensive Misplays & Errors, down from 25 in 2022. He was also the only third baseman to have at least 10 plays saved on balls hit to his right.

    He’s the only Pirates player to win the award at 3rd base.

    SS – Dansby Swanson won his 1st Fielding Bible Award. He was the only unanimous selection among 2023 winners. Swanson led all shortstops with 18 Defensive Runs Saved. He was +14 Plays Saved on balls hit to his right, the most of any player at the position. Balls hit to that area (the shortstop-third base hole) have been a weakness for Swanson in past seasons but in 2022 and 2023, he’s improved considerably.

    Swanson is the second Cubs player to win a Fielding Bible Award at shortstop, joining Javier Báez (2020).

    LF – Steven Kwan won his 2nd Fielding Bible Award. He’s the first player to win a Fielding Bible Award in each of his first 2 MLB seasons. He led all left fielders in both Defensive Runs Saved (16) and Good Fielding Plays (24) in 2023. He’s the only Guardians player to win the Award for left field.

    CF – Kevin Kiermaier won his 3rd Fielding Bible Award. He finished 2nd among center fielders with 18 Defensive Runs Saved, his most since recording 20 in 2017. Kiermaier made 92 catches on 110 opportunities on balls classified as deep, 11 more than the average center fielder would have made. Kiermaier joins Kevin Pillar as the only Blue Jays to win the Award for center field.

    RF – Fernando Tatis Jr. won his 1st Fielding Bible Award and became the 1st Padres player to win the Award. Every team now has at least one Fielding Bible Award winner. Tatis was the runaway leader with 29 Defensive Runs Saved in right field. He led all right fielders in Plays Saved on medium and deep-hit balls and led the position in Outfield Arm Runs Saved. Tatis’ 29 Runs Saved were the most for any player at any position in 2023. The 20-run gap between Tatis and the next-best right fielder was the largest gap between No. 1 and No. 2 for right field since Runs Saved was first tracked in 2003.

    C – Gabriel Moreno won his 1st Fielding Bible Award. Moreno threw out 21 would-be basestealers in 56 attempts, which equated to an MLB-best 7 Stolen Base Runs Saved. He also earned 5 Runs Saved for pitch blocking, 2nd in MLB to Nick Fortes. Diamondbacks pitchers had a 3.94 regular season ERA when Moreno caught. When he didn’t, their ERA was 5.25. Moreno joins Jeff Mathis as the only Diamondbacks catchers to win a Fielding Bible Award.

    P – Zack Greinke won his 3rd Fielding Bible Award, his first with the Royals (other ones: 2018, 2019). He finished 2nd among pitchers with 6 Defensive Runs Saved this season. In the 21-year history of the stat, Greinke ranks first at the position with 93 Runs Saved. Greinke allowed only 2 stolen bases all season. He picked off 5 baserunners, 1 more than he had in the previous 8 seasons combined. Greinke is the only Royals pitcher to win a Fielding Bible Award.

    Multi-Position – Mookie Betts won his 6th Fielding Bible Award, tying Andrelton Simmons and Yadier Molina for the most in the 18-year history of the Award. It’s the first time that Betts won for multi-position excellence. The other 5 came as a right fielder. Betts saved 6 Runs at 2nd base and 3 runs in right field. He’d never played more than 14 games at 2nd base prior to 2023, when he played 70. He also played 16 games at shortstop, the first time he’d played the position in the major leagues. Betts is the 3rd Dodgers player to win the Multi-Position award joining Cody Bellinger (2019) and Kiké Hernández (2020).

    The 2023 awards were determined by a panel of 16 voters, who ranked the top 10 players at each defensive position (including a spot for multi-position players) at the conclusion of the regular season. A first-place vote gets 10 points, second-place gets nine points, third-place gets eight points, etc. Total up the points for each player, and the player with the most points wins the award. A perfect score is 160 points.

    Our voting panel consisted of SIS co-founder John Dewan and baseball stat pioneer Bill James, along with Daniel Álvarez-Montes (El Extra Base), Chris Dial (sabermetrician), Alyson Footer (MLB.com), Peter Gammons (The Athletic), Tyler Kepner (The Athletic), Bill Ladson (MLB.com), Eduardo Pérez (ESPN), Hal Richman (Strat-O-Matic), Travis Sawchik (The Score), Bobby Scales (SIS), Joe Sheehan (longtime writer), Mark Simon (SIS), Dani Wexelman (MLB Network Radio), and an aggregate vote from the SIS Video Scout staff.

    A complete list of ballots and the history of the Fielding Bible Awards (which began in 2006) can be found online at FieldingBible.com and in The Bill James Handbook: Walk-Off Edition, which is available at ACTASports.com.

     

  • 2023 Defensive Player of the Year: Ke’Bryan Hayes

    2023 Defensive Player of the Year: Ke’Bryan Hayes

    When we talk about defensive excellence, all too often we talk about great plays. We’re wowed by the spectacular, the diving, the sliding, and the jumping. Whatever makes for good social media and gets shared a million times over is what we see the most.

    And that’s great. It’s fun.  Fans love it. Players love it.

    But maybe with our inaugural Defensive Player of the Year, Ke’Bryan Hayes, we need to look at this differently. Maybe what defensive excellence is for Hayes is a little different than what it is for someone else.

    Hayes’ great plays are high quality but not necessarily high in quantity. Our Video Scouts track Good Fielding Plays. These are largely the highlight-reel plays I mentioned a couple of paragraphs ago, along with (in smaller numbers) things like keeping the ball on the infield to keep a run from scoring.

    Here’s one example, and another. They’re really good plays. By our count, Hayes had 14 Good Fielding Plays in 2023. On a per-1,000-inning basis, he wasn’t close to the MLB leaders at third base. He was middle-of-the-pack.

    I have a theory here, though it’s a hard one to prove statistically. It’s that Hayes doesn’t have a lot of Good Fielding Plays because that’s not how he does things. As Pirates manager Derek Shelton told me “He makes really, really difficult plays look routine.”

    For example, this play doesn’t look that difficult on TV.

     

    But I watched a ballpark All-9 camera view of it (we can’t show it due to MLB rules). It was a tougher play than you think. Hayes reacted quickly to the ball. Some players might have dove for it. He didn’t need to.

    “The thing that impresses me most is the consistency,” Shelton said. “He’s just so good.”

    That Hayes can make defense look easy makes sense given that he’s basically been preparing to be a major leaguer since he began playing baseball as a kid. In two conversations with him, a few years apart, Hayes brought up how one of the most important things he learned as a kid was how to throw a ball to his first baseman. The first baseman wore a Superman t-shirt, and it was Hayes’ job to throw to the ‘S.’ He picked this up well.

    “I remember his mom asking me why I hit ground balls so hard to him,” said Ke’Bryan’s father, former 14-year major leaguer Charlie Hayes. “He was blessed with great hands. I told her that he was better than most, so I needed to challenge him more. Catching and throwing is the easiest thing to do on a baseball field so there’s no reason not to be great at it. He bought into it all.”

    There’s another point that’s important to consider when watching how Hayes defends.

    What makes Hayes great is not that he makes great plays. It’s that he makes very few mistakes.

    In addition to tracking Good Fielding Plays, our Video Scouts also track Defensive Misplays. Those are things that aren’t scored errors but that have a negative consequence.

    Bobble a ball such that you get only a force out rather than a double play? That’s a Defensive Misplay.

    Slip and fall trying to catch a popup and have the ball drop behind you or in front of you?  That’s a Defensive Misplay.

    At SIS, we combine those Defensive Misplays with Errors to provide another data point for defensive evaluation.

    Let’s compare Hayes’ 2023 Defensive Misplay and Errors per 1,000 innings to five other third basemen considered to be among the best in MLB.

    Player Team Misplays & Errors Per 1,000 Innings
    Ke’Bryan Hayes Pirates 12.5
    Manny Machado Padres 18.5
    Ryan McMahon Rockies 19.0
    Alex Bregman Astros 21.9
    Nolan Arenado Cardinals 21.9
    Matt Chapman Blue Jays 26.4

    Hayes crushed all of those guys this season.

    The only player to have a better rate at third base than Hayes in 2023 was DJ LeMahieu of the Yankees. Hayes played about 450 more innings at third base than LeMahieu did. Look at this stat for the last 4 seasons and it’s LeMahieu and Hayes as the best, with Hayes having played about 1,700 more innings than LeMahieu has.

    This low misplay total is particularly impressive for 2 other reasons.

    And it’s all done very calmly and with an ease that other players don’t necessarily have.

    A high school coach used to tell Hayes to be extraordinary at the ordinary. Hayes lives that saying. To do that he embraced the other side of playing defense.

    “The mental side has been the biggest thing for me,” Ke’Bryan Hayes said. “Playing outcomes in my head before they happen. Knowing the runners, knowing who’s pitching, knowing how they hit the ball off that pitcher.  I try to break down everything and that way, whatever it does happen, I kind of just let my instincts take over. I just trust myself.”

    SIS VP of Baseball Bobby Scales said on our baseball podcast “Ke’Bryan Hayes never panics on any ball.”

    All the work Hayes put in pays off and you can see that if you watch him up close every day.

    “He has the ability to read hops that no one else has,” said Shelton. “That’s not something you can teach. One of the things that elite third basemen do is have the ability to decide if they’re going to come get the ball or if they’re going to take a drop step to get it. It’s not even something he has to think about. It’s just something that he does.”

    Hayes’ role is changing. At age 26, he’s no longer the youngest infielder on the team. He’s now the player the younger infield prospects watch to see how he does things.

    “At the end of the day, I’m just trying to go out there and be an example of just doing things the right way,” Hayes said.

  • 2023 Fielding Bible Awards Voting

    2023 Fielding Bible Awards Voting

    Below we show the final point tally for The Fielding Bible Awards in the 2023 season. We asked a panel of experts to complete a 10-man ballot ranking players from 1 to 10 based on their defensive abilities. We show the ranks in the tables below. We then awarded 10 points for a first place vote, 9 for second, etc., down to 1 point for 10th place. We cover all nine positions, looking at only their fielding work for the 2023 season. Position players are eligible if they played at least 600 innings while catchers require a minimum of 500 innings. Either can qualify with 10 Runs Saved, as well. Pitchers require a minimum of 120 innings pitched or 5 Runs Saved. 

    In 2014, we introduced a Multi-Position Award for fielders who are excellent defensive players but do not call any one position their home. Eligible players include those who exhibit a high degree of positional versatility and value; players who usually play many positions over the course of the season, might move from position to position within a game, and have demonstrated the ability to handle high leverage positions when the team needs him to.

    In 2023, we added an award for Defensive Player of the Year. All players eligible for a Fielding Bible Award can be voted on for this award. All voters ranked players from 1 to 3, with 5 points for a first place vote, 3 for a second place vote, and 1 for a third place vote.

    Voters were Alyson Footer (MLB.com), Bill James, Bill Ladson (MLB.com), Bobby Scales (SIS), Chris Dial, Dani Wexelman (MLB Network Radio), Daniel Alvarez-Montes (El Extra Base), Eduardo Perez (ESPN), Hal Richman (Strat-O-Matic), Joe Sheehan, John Dewan, Mark Simon (SIS), Peter Gammons, Travis Sawchik (The Score), Tyler Kepner (The Athletic), and the Sports Info Solutions Video Scouts.

  • Fielding Bible Awards Preview (Part II)

    Fielding Bible Awards Preview (Part II)

     Photo: Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire

    This is the second part of our two-part preview that will focus on the top candidates for The Fielding Bible Awards, which will be announced next Thursday, October 26.

    This week, Part II of our preview looks at outfielders, pitchers, our multi-position award, and something new this year – our inaugural Defensive Player of the Year Award.

    The Defensive Player of the Year will go to the player that our voting panel believes was the top defensive performer in 2023.

    The Fielding Bible Awards is voted on by a panel of experts who can vote based on whatever criteria they choose, including observation and subjective judgement, as well as statistical analysis. Each position has one overall winner, different from the Gold Gloves, which has one in each league. Similarly, the Defensive Player of the Year is only given to one player, whereas the Platinum Glove Award is given to one in each league.

    (Defensive Runs Saved totals in parentheses)

    Left Field

    Fielding Bible Award Favorites: Steven Kwan (16), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (14)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: David Peralta (7)

    AL Gold Glove Favorite: Kwan

    NL Top Contender: Nolan Jones (9)

    AL Top Contender: Daulton Varsho (11)

     Kwan will be looking to win his 2nd straight Fielding Bible Award after leading his position in Defensive Runs Saved for the 2nd straight season. Gurriel Jr. is a pretty good challenger. He ranked 16th among left fielders in innings played but finished 2nd in Runs Saved. Jones, who led all left fielders in Outfield Arm Runs Saved, is also formidable.

     One note here: Peralta is listed as the NL Gold Glove favorite. Based on previously published eligibility requirements, neither Gurriel nor Jones are eligible for a Gold Glove this year.

    Center Field

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Brenton Doyle (19), Kevin Kiermaier (18)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Doyle

    AL Gold Glove Favorite: Kiermaier

    NL Top Contenders: Johan Rojas (15), Alek Thomas (5)

    AL Top Contenders: Kyle Isbel (13), Cedric Mullins (7)

    This is one of the most fun positional races to discuss. Doyle had an incredible season. He led all center fielders in Runs Saved as a rookie playing regularly in the toughest outfield to play in the majors, Coors Field. No other Rockies center fielder has ever saved more than 6 runs in a season. Meanwhile, Kiermaier was great from start to finish. He led all center fielders in the Range component of Runs Saved despite ranking 10th in innings played.

    Right Field

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Fernando Tatis Jr. (29)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Tatis Jr.

    AL Gold Glove Favorites: Alex Verdugo (9), Adolis García (7)

    NL Top Contenders: Jason Heyward (5), Mookie Betts (3)

    AL Top Contender: Kyle Tucker (1)

    Statistically, this one is a runaway. In his first year playing the position, Tatis led all right fielders in Runs Saved, with the next-closest player 20 runs behind. He left some of the game’s top defensive right fielders in the dust. The suspense here is in which player wins the AL Gold Glove, which figures to be a close vote between Verdugo and Garcia, with perhaps last year’s Gold Glove winner, Tucker, snagging some votes too.

     Pitcher

    Fielding Bible Award Favorites: Jesús Luzardo (7), Zack Greinke (6)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Luzardo

    AL Gold Glove Favorite:  José Berríos (5)

    NL Top Contenders: Taijuan Walker (5), Zack Wheeler (4)

    AL Top Contender: Sonny Gray (4), Pablo López (4)

    Luzardo edged out Greinke by 1 run for the Runs Saved lead for pitchers this year. He also led in the Range component of Runs Saved but Greinke edged him out by a run in another component, Stolen Base Runs Saved. Greinke also has a strong defensive history. He’s previously won 2 Fielding Bible Awards and 6 Gold Glove Awards. However, he’s only eligible for a Fielding Bible Award due to Gold Glove eligibility requirements.

    Walker also deserves a mention. He finished 2 Runs Saved off the MLB lead for pitchers this year. He’s yet to win any defensive awards but is the position’s Runs Saved leader over the last 3 seasons.

    Multi-Position

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Mookie Betts (9)

    NL Utility Player Gold Glove Favorite: Betts

    AL Utility Player Gold Glove Favorites: Taylor Walls (10)

    NL Top Contenders: Jon Berti (5), Tommy Edman (3)

    AL Top Contender: Mauricio Dubón (5) Zach McKinstry (1)

    Betts has won 5 Fielding Bible Awards previously, all in right field, but this season he split time between right field, second base and shortstop. Of those, he actually fared best statistically at 2nd base, saving 6 runs.

    Betts’ competition includes a mix of players who moved around the diamond a little more than he did but didn’t quite match Betts in Runs Saved, like Dubón and Castro. There’s also McKinstry, who played at least 90 innings at 5 different positions.

    The Fielding Bible Awards panel votes for this award based on a list of 15 players generated from a Defensive Versatility Score formula created by Bill James to measure a combination of defensive versatility and value. The stat rewards players who usually play many positions in a season, might move from position to position, and have demonstrated the ability to handle high-leverage positions when the team needs them to.

    Rawlings’ criteria for the definition of a utility player for the Gold Glove Award have not been shared publicly.

    Defensive Player of the Year

    Fielding Bible Award Favorites: Daulton Varsho (29), Fernando Tatis Jr. (27)

    NL Platinum Glove Favorites: Tatis, Ke’Bryan Hayes (21), Brenton Doyle (19)

    AL Platinum Glove Favorite: Varsho, Andrés Giménez (23), Kevin Kiermaier (18)

    NL Top Contenders: Gabriel Moreno (20), Dansby Swanson (18)

    AL Top Contenders: Marcus Semien (16)

    Our inaugural award could go to any number of players. Varsho led the majors in Runs Saved, with 18 in center field and 11 in left field (he was eligible to win only in left field). Tatis had the most Runs Saved of any player at any position. Swanson, Doyle, and Moreno play premium positions. Giménez and Hayes have repeatedly put up great numbers at their respective positions.

    Voters on our panel could vote for any player who was eligible for The Fielding Bible Awards for Defensive Player of the Year.

    The Platinum Glove is selected by fan voting among the Gold Glove winners and thus Varsho, who faces tough competition in left field, might not end up in the mix, which opens the door for Kiermaier to be a strong contender.

     

  • Fielding Bible Awards Preview: Part I

    Fielding Bible Awards Preview: Part I

     Photo: Jeff Robinson/Icon Sportswire

    Our next two Stat of the Weeks will focus on the top candidates for The Fielding Bible Awards, which will be announced later this month.

    The Fielding Bible Awards is voted on by a panel of experts who can vote based on whatever criteria they choose, including observation and subjective judgement, as well as statistical analysis. Each position has one overall winner, different from the Gold Gloves which has one in each league.

    This week, Part I of our preview looks at catchers and infielders.

    (Defensive Runs Saved totals in parentheses)

    Catcher

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Gabriel Moreno (20)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Moreno 

    AL Gold Glove Favorite: Alejandro Kirk (17)

    NL Top Contenders: Patrick Bailey (13), Will Smith (12), Sean Murphy (8)

    AL Top Contender: Jonah Heim (6)

    Moreno pulled away from a tight field late in the season. His MLB-leading Defensive Runs Saved total was partly a product of being one of the few catchers who could throw out basestealers at a high rate this season, and his pitch blocking was excellent.

    The vote might be close because Moreno had a weakness: pitch framing. Kirk was basically a match for Moreno in pitch blocking and rated considerably better in our framing metric, Strike Zone Runs Saved.

    First Baseman

    Fielding Bible Award Favorites: Carlos Santana (11), Christian Walker (9), Matt Olson (8)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Walker

    AL Gold Glove Favorites: Anthony Rizzo (3), Nathaniel Lowe (3)

    NL Top Contender: Pete Alonso (6), Dominic Smith (5), Paul Goldschmidt (3) 

    AL Top Contender: Ryan Mountcastle (2)

    We list three favorites here because we’re expecting a close vote between this trio. Santana is the surprise of the group. His defense has improved with age. This is his fourth straight season with positive Runs Saved and the 11 Runs Saved is a career high. Walker and Olson have the benefit of reputation. Walker won the Award last season. Olson has won three times previously.

    In the AL, Lowe winning a Gold Glove would be notable. He was one of MLB’s most-improved defenders, going from -9 Runs Saved last season to 3 Runs Saved in 2023. His most formidable competition is Rizzo, whose season was halted in August by injury.

    Second Baseman

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Andrés Giménez (23)

    NL Gold Glove Favorites: Nico Hoerner (12), Brice Turang (12)

    AL Favorite: Giménez

    NL Top Contender: Ha-Seong Kim (10)

    AL Top Contender: Marcus Semien (16)

    Giménez was our co-Defensive Player of the Month for September and was another player who pulled away from the rest of the field for the positional lead in Defensive Runs Saved. He has a good chance to win a year after finishing second in the Fielding Bible voting to Brendan Rodgers. Semien is good competition. He leads all second basemen in Runs Saved over the last 3 seasons.

    In the NL, Hoerner made the transition from full-time shortstop last season to second base in 2023 to accommodate the Cubs’ acquisition of Dansby Swanson. He’s in a tight race for the Gold Glove with an impressive rookie, Turang, and Kim, who has put up very strong defensive numbers wherever he’s played since joining the Padres in 2021.

    Shortstop

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Dansby Swanson (18)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Swanson

    AL Gold Glove Favorite: Anthony Volpe (15)

    NL Top Contenders: Ezequiel Tovar (13), Miguel Rojas (12)

    AL Top Contender: Jeremy Peña (7)

    Swanson gave the Cubs exactly what they were looking for in his first year with the team. There are a lot of good candidates here, including a pair of rookies. Anthony Volpe didn’t hit much for the Yankees but put up strong overall defensive numbers. The Gold Glove Award may come down to him and last year’s winner, Peña.

    Third Baseman

    Fielding Bible Award Favorite: Ke’Bryan Hayes (21)

    NL Gold Glove Favorite: Hayes

    AL Gold Glove Favorite: Matt Chapman (12)

    NL Top Contender: Ryan McMahon (17)

    AL Top Contender: Alex Bregman (5)

    Even with a midseason injury, Hayes was easily the leader in Runs Saved among third basemen. Hayes came in 2nd to Nolan Arenado in last year’s Fielding Bible Awards, but this season, Hayes has him beat in Runs Saved, 21-1. It’s actually McMahon who might be Hayes’ most formidable competitor for both Fielding Bible and Gold Glove wins this season.

    In the AL, Chapman looked something like his 2-time Fielding Bible Award-winning self this season. There aren’t any other Gold Glove Award-eligible 3rd basemen close to his Runs Saved total. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll win, but he has a good chance.

     

  • Stat of the Week: Premier Playoff Defenders

    Stat of the Week: Premier Playoff Defenders

    Have you liked the defense so far this postseason?

    Hope so! There’s been some pretty good glovework all the way around, and even a few highly-impressive pickoffs at key moments.

    With 8 teams remaining after all the Wild Card sweeps, there are plenty of standout players still in the field.

    Let’s go position-by-position to find the players with the most Defensive Runs Saved who are still playing as the LDS begins.

    First Base – Christian Walker ranked 2nd in Runs Saved at first base this season, two runs behind the leader, Carlos Santana, and one run better than another playoff participant, Matt Olson. Walker is the reigning Fielding Bible Award winner at the position. Olson’s pretty good too. He won the Award 3 years in a row from 2018 to 2020.

    Second Base – Marcus Semien ranked 2nd in Defensive Runs Saved this season but over the last 3 seasons, he’s No. 1 at the position. He brings it every game. Semien led all second basemen in innings played and since 2021, he has played 700 more innings than the next-closest second baseman.

    Shortstop – Like Semien, veteran Miguel Rojas leads shortstops in Runs Saved over the last 3 seasons. Rojas finished tied for 4th in Runs Saved in 2023 and has been particularly good at fielding balls in the shortstop-third base hole the last 2 seasons.

    Third Base – Austin Riley has also done well by Defensive Runs Saved the last 3 seasons, ranking 3rd among third basemen in that time behind Ke’Bryan Hayes and Ryan McMahon. The two guys ranking 4th and 5th behind Riley are two defensive superstars, Nolan Arenado and Matt Chapman. Riley ranked 4th at the position this season.

    Left Field Lourdes Gurriel Jr. totaled 14 Runs Saved this season and ranked 2nd at the position, just behind Steven Kwan. How did Gurriel do it in only 95 games in left field? He ranked 2nd in the range component of Runs Saved AND 2nd in the throwing component.

    Center Field – We’ve written about Johan Rojas before and we acknowledge him here again. He handily leads the remaining playoff center fielders in Runs Saved despite not even having played 400 innings there this season. The next-closest playoff center fielder to Rojas’ 14 is Cedric Mullins, with 7.

    Right Field Adolís Garcia’s cannon of an arm was responsible for all 7 of his Runs Saved this season. Garcia and Fernando Tatis Jr. trailed only Nolan Jones of the Rockies for most Outfield Arm Runs Saved in MLB in 2023.

    CatcherGabriel Moreno led all catchers in Runs Saved this season. He was the top catcher at thwarting basestealers by our measures and one of the best pitch blockers too. His status is in question after getting injured in Game 2 against the Brewers. If he’s out, the top remaining catcher is Will Smith, whose 12 Runs Saved ranked 4th overall.

    Pitcher – The Phillies ranked 25th in Defensive Runs Saved during the regular season, but they’ve got some good gloves on the pitching staff. Taijuan Walker came in 2nd in the Fielding Bible Awards to teammate Ranger Suárez last season. His 18 Runs Saved over the last 3 seasons are the most of any pitcher in MLB.

    Most Defensive Runs Saved – Players on LDS Teams

    Player Team Runs Saved
    1B- Christian Walker Diamondbacks 9
    2B- Marcus Semien Rangers 16
    SS- Miguel Rojas Dodgers 12
    3B- Austin Riley Braves 9
    LF- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Diamondbacks 14
    CF- Johan Rojas Phillies 15
    RF- Adolís Garcia Rangers 7
    C- Gabriel Moreno Diamondbacks 20
    P- Taijuan Walker Phillies 5

     

     

  • 2023 Postseason Player To Watch: Bryson Stott

    2023 Postseason Player To Watch: Bryson Stott

    Photo: Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire

    As the Phillies head to the postseason for the second year in a row, it’s worth noting that national viewers were first introduced to Bryson Stott around this time last year. This time around they’ll be seeing a considerably improved player.

    In 2022, Stott hit.279 with a 107 WRC+ from August until the end of the season. He also began to display some key traits during the Phillies deep playoff run that foreshadowed future success.

    Despite only posting a .482 OPS in last year’s postseason, Stott was able to work deep counts by fouling off pitches and generally being a pest at the bottom of the Phillies potent lineup. He ended the postseason averaging over 4.6 pitches per plate appearance, including a 12-pitch walk against Rafael Montero and a 10-pitch walk against Justin Verlander.

    Moving into the 2023 season, Stott shifted to second base to accommodate Trea Turner. This paid off immediately, as Stott put together a 17-game hitting streak to begin the season and continued to provide solid performance in all aspects of the game.

    Before a cold September, Stott maintained a batting average near .300 for almost the entire year, en route to a 4-bWAR season. Now established as an excellent starter on a playoff team, it’s worth looking at how he reached this point so quickly and how these experiences point toward greater success moving forward.

    Plate Approach

    While Stott had some success golfing low-and-in pitches early last season, the gains were largely offset by his struggles in other areas.

    Baseball Savant summarized his struggles against four seamers in general His -14 Run Value ranked 6th-worst in MLB. He hit .119 with a .214 slugging percentage against what our pitch classification system labeled high fastballs. Stott worked to flatten his bat path and give himself a better chance to do damage against high heat. After undergoing several mechanical tweaks it appears he has found a suitable approach for his profile.

    Here are some examples of these changes:

    April 8 2022:

    August 22 2022

    September 12 2023

    Take note of both his lower-body stability and hand positioning as the pitch is released. Early in his career, he used a two-piece low leg kick where his foot is in the air at release. He would then pivot the foot back open and combined with his high upright hand position, this allowed him to open his hips and attack pitches low and in.

    However, upon recommendation from Jean Segura and hitting coach Kevin Long (as documented by the Philadelphia Inquirer’s Alex Coffey), Stott began using a more conservative two-strike approach at all times starting in August. As seen in the second clip, Stott has crouched down significantly, lowered the angle of his hands, and kept his feet quieter by loading with an exaggerated rock and lean.

    Moving to the most recent clip, Stott adjusted further this season. Here, he lowered his hands again, adopted a heel tap for better balance, and closed off his front foot a bit. Each aspect generally assumed a more natural position, giving him a very relaxed and controlled demeanor at the plate.

    As a result of these changes, Stott posted a .278 average and .454 slugging percentage against high fastballs this year. In addition, he’s boosted his numbers against fastballs in general, with his average jumping up over 100 points and his slugging nearly 150 points.

    With his primary weakness addressed, Stott was now free to demonstrate more of his skill set. As demonstrated during the playoffs last year, Stott is well suited to working long at bats, possessing a patient early approach with the 7th-lowest first pitch swing rate (16%) and strong bat-to-ball skills with the 8th highest contact rate (85%). As a result, he ranks 17th out of 137 qualifiers in pitches per plate appearance at 4.17, putting him in the same neighborhood as other notably selective hitters such as J.P. Crawford, Ian Happ, and Juan Soto.

    The combination of contact and contact quality is in question for every hitter, so it is interesting to look at some of Stott’s peers in regards to contact and how he stacks up in some other relevant batted-ball numbers. Here are the 10 best hitters by swinging-strike rate.

    Name Swinging Strike Rate Avg exit velo Opposite-Field%
    Luis Arraez 3.1% 88.3 31.%
    Steven Kwan 3.9% 86.0 31%
    Alex Bregman 4.9% 88.6 22%
    Myles Straw 5.1% 86.3 35%
    Nico Hoerner 5.1% 86.6 29%
    Alex Verdugo 5.6% 89.2 25%
    Adley Rutschman 5.6% 88.4 29%
    Mookie Betts 5.8% 92.4 18%
    Lars Nootbaar 5.8% 89.1 25%
    Bryson Stott 6.0% 88.1 32%

    Players such as Adley Rutschman and Mookie Betts present some outliers since they possess enviable amounts of both contact and power, but it’s encouraging to see that Stott seems to slot into a second tier here, frequently producing useful contact but also providing better raw power indicators than the purely slap hitters on this list. Opposite-field percentage is also included to show that Stott is skilled at making contact to all fields but still makes authoritative contact when given the chance to pull the ball.

    Defense and Baserunning

    Bryson Stott’s defensive improvements should also be noted. After putting up mixed defensive numbers at shortstop, he has adapted quite well to second base, as he is tied for sixth at the position with +7 Defensive Runs Saved. In particular, his progress seems to stem from better arm utility. He exhibited plus range at shortstop last year, saving six runs with his range, but this was offset by his -7 throwing runs. Now at second base, he continues to show off his range (+6) but is able to pair this with improved throwing numbers (+3).

    Stott played an aggressive second base. His 80 sliding, diving, and jumping attempts ranked 2nd in MLB. His 31 plays made on slides, dives, and jumps was surpasses at second base only by Andres Gimenez. Here are two examples of how he uses a dive and a slide to each side, executing both smoothly to adjust his momentum and prepare him for the throw to first.

     

     

    One area that could still see future improvement is his general chemistry with Trea Turner, specifically demonstrated in their double play numbers. While not as drastic as primary defensive numbers, double play turns are another way that a good second baseman and shortstop can make an impact. Both Stott and Turner have struggled to convert double plays and are rated at -4 runs in this area, which is the worst mark at each position. Turner has not been a good defender this year and with both players still adjusting to this configuration there is still some room for growth here.

    Stott is also a plus baserunner and is an especially efficient base stealer, with 31 steals in 34 attempts. By Bill James’ baserunning stats, his +25 Stolen Base Gain rating tied for 8th in baseball behind names such as Ronald Acuna Jr., Corbin Carroll, and Turner (this stat values both volume of steals and success rate).

    Dancing On My Own

    On top of everything else, he is a great presence in postgame interviews, as some combination of Stott, Bohm, and Marsh shower the interviewee with water cups, sunflower seeds, and anything else from the dugout that is readily available. Here is what it looked like after the final game of the regular season:

    View post on imgur.com

    With so many talented young stars in the game, Bryson Stott has quietly turned himself into one of the most well-rounded ones in only his second season. It will be exciting to track his development not only in this postseason but for many years to come.

  • Stat of the Week: Brooks Robinson’s Legacy

    Stat of the Week: Brooks Robinson’s Legacy

     Photo: The Rucker Archive/Icon Sportswire

    If you’re going to talk about legends of defensive excellence, the first few names you come up with should include Willie Mays, Ozzie Smith, Roberto Clemente, and of course, Brooks Robinson.

    Robinson, the former Orioles third baseman, died earlier this week at age 86.

    Robinson won 16 Gold Glove awards. Though two pitchers – Greg Maddux (18 Gold Gloves) and Jim Kaat (16) have won as many as Robinson has, Robinson is the only player to win 16 in a row, doing so every year from 1960 to 1975. The next-most Gold Gloves by a third baseman is 10 by Mike Schmidt and Nolan
    Arenado.

    Defensive Runs Saved didn’t exist in the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s, but others have tried to create stats to illustrate defensive value. Win Shares is one and Robinson ranks first among third basemen in a component of that, Defensive Win Shares. Another developed by a researcher named Sean Smith exists on Baseball-Reference.com and is called Total Zone Runs. You can learn more about it here.

    I feel confident in Total Zone Runs for a few reasons, one being that its Top 5 players overall are Robinson, Andruw Jones, Mark Belanger, Smith, and Clemente and its Top 3 third basemen are Robinson, Adrián Beltré, and Buddy Bell. All of these players were extremely highly regarded for their defense in their respective eras.

    For those who might think that Robinson won his last couple of Gold Gloves based on his reputation, a look at Total Zone Runs refutes that. He led AL third basemen in that stat the last 2 years he won the award.

    Total Zone Runs draws upon the basic stats, like putouts, assists, and double plays. He’s the all-time third base leader in those too.

    Robinson’s most famous defensive play came in the 1970 World Series, when he fielded a smash down the third base line and threw out Lee May from well into foul territory. The Orioles won two World Series with Robinson, the first in 1966 against the Dodgers and this one in 1970 against the Reds. Robinson won
    MVP in the latter with both his defense and his offense. He hit .429 with 2 home runs and 6 RBI in 5 games.

    Robinson could hit some too. In 23 seasons he totaled 2,848 hits and 268 home runs. He won the AL MVP in 1964, hitting .317 with 28 home runs, an AL-best 118 RBI, and an .889 OPS.

    Robinson was immensely popular. He became an Orioles player in 1955 and remained associated with the team until his death. He was known as Mr. Oriole.

    When I was maybe 11 or 12 years old, I waited in line for Robinson’s autograph at a baseball card show in New York. It was a long wait because Robinson took the time to talk to and pose for a picture with everyone (myself included). He left as great an impression on someone like me, a kid who never got to see him play, as he did for those who watched him play at a Hall of Fame level. I’ve read numerous tributes that said similar.

  • Stat of the Week: Updates on HR Robs, Pitcher Injuries, Arenado & More

    Stat of the Week: Updates on HR Robs, Pitcher Injuries, Arenado & More

    Photo: Rick Ulreich/Icon Sportswire

    As the MLB season nears an end there are a lot of things that we wrote about at some point this season that we’d like to update you on. But we only have so much space and so much time with which to work. 

    So rather than try to tell you a lot about one particular thing this week, let’s update you on 5 things that we either wrote about or frequently tweeted about from @sis_baseball this season.

    HR Robberies 

    The 2023 season has had more home run robberies than any season since we began tracking them in 2004. The current tally stands at 73, surpassing the previous mark of 69 set in 2019.

    The individual leaders in home run robberies are Mickey Moniak, Luis Robert Jr., Mike Trout, Cedric Mullins, and Kyle Tucker with 3 apiece. Angels outfielders have 10 home run robberies this season, the most by any team in any year since 2004. The 2005 Tigers had the previous mark with 9.  

    Pitchers Hit By Batted Balls 

    Earlier this season we addressed the number of pitchers being hit by comebackers, resulting in either the pitcher leaving the game or a considerable delay due to injury. 

    The count currently stands at 18 such incidents, an unusual and scary total given that there were 19 from 2020 to 2022 combined. The total number of pitchers hit with a batted ball, regardless of severity of injury, is comparable to the last two seasons – 169 in both 2022 and 2023 and 160 in 2021.

    Hitters Deserving A Better Fate 

    In April we wrote about how Starling Marte and Nick Gordon had been repeatedly denied hits by either good-looking defensive plays or plays that may have been tougher than they looked. 

    Both Gordon and Marte got injured and neither rated among the players most thwarted by defenses in 2023.
    It looks like the best-defensed hitter this season is going to be Lourdes Gurriel Jr. of the Diamondbacks. Opposing defenses have recorded 21 Runs Saved against Gurriel this season. He’s followed by Alec Bohm and Steven Kwan (18 Runs Saved against them).

    Another way of looking at it: the hitter with the most “Good Fielding Plays” against him specific to plays that took away hits is José Ramírez with 21. 

    Nolan Arenado

    Perennial Gold Glove and 5-time Fielding Bible Award winner Nolan Arenado had a disappointing 2023 season as far as his defensive stats went. He spent most of the year with a negative Defensive Runs Saved. 

    But Arenado has looked better of late. After heading into the All-Star Break with -4 Runs Saved, Arenado has since saved 5. With 1 Run Saved, Arenado is not likely to contend for a Fielding Bible Award this season, but he’s shown that he still has some of the skills that made his metrics so good. 

    NPB’s Top Defensive Team 

    You may have noticed us regularly tweeting about Japanese baseball in the latter part of the year as we noticed there’s an avid following and not a lot of defensive data accessible for NPB fans.

    With that in mind, we can tell you that the best defensive team you don’t know about is the NPB’s Hanshin Tigers. The Tigers, who won the Central League title for the first time since 2005, currently have 29 Runs Saved and have a comfortable advantage in Defensive Runs Saved over the next-closest NPB team, the Nippon-Ham Fighters, who have 6. 

    NPB out probabilities are created from the same basis we use for MLB ones. Most NPB team totals are either negative or slightly positive. Hanshin has been the exception.

    Hanshin’s top defensive players are catcher Seishiro Sakamoto (T-1st among C in Runs Saved), second baseman Takumu Nakano (2nd, 2B), center fielder Koji Chikamoto (T-1st, CF), right fielder Shota Morishita (T-4th, RF), and pitcher Koutaro Ohtake (1st, P). 

    Sakamoto in particular is considerably popular among fans because of his pitch-framing skill. (we’ve heard from many on social media). Hanshin pitchers are 49-19 with a 2.12 ERA this season when Sakamoto catches.