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  • SIS NFL Preview Week 4: Eagles vs. Packers

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS Datahub Pro.

    Noah Gatsik, SIS Operations Associate, on the Eagles:

    The Eagles don’t have an active player on their defensive line with a sack going into week 4 against the Packers. They only have two total for the season. One was by Timmy Jernigan who is out with an injury, and the other was Andrew Sendejo their 3rd Safety on the depth chart. Packers DE Preston Smith has 4.5 sacks himself for the 2019 season going into week 4 against the Eagles

    Tonight’s Starting Eagles Defensive Line Pressure%

    PlayerPass RushesPressure%
    Brandon Graham9513.7%
    Fletcher Cox8510.6%
    Hassan Ridgeway458.9%
    Derek Barnett908.9%

    Packers Offensive Line Pass Blocking Performance

    PlayerPositionPass Blocking SnapsPass Blocking Points Earned
    David BakhtiariLT1711.5
    Elgton JenkinsLG351.7
    Corey LinsleyC1714.3
    Billy TurnerRG1712.2
    Bryan BulagaRT1712

     

    Bruce Schroeder, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Packers:

    After a short turnaround from week 3 and an offense who still hasn’t found any consistency, look for the defense to hold most of the weight against the Eagles a fourth week in a row. This should be no problem for the Packers because of their health compared to the Eagles. With the return of Alshon Jeffery back in the lineup, look for Jaire Alexander to man him up and limit his production and add to his All-Pro campaign.

    The Matchup of Alshon Jeffery vs. Jaire Alexander

    –TargetsReceptionsYds/TgtPoints Earned
    Alshon Jeffery658.22.8
         
     TargetsReceptions AllowedYds/Tgt AllowedPoints Saved
    Jaire Alexander2163.53.6

     

  • What are the top props in the Packers-Eagles Game?

    By Steve Schwarz

    Using SISBets.com to evaluate the top prop bets for Thursday’s game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers (odds from ParxCasino.com.) Register at SISBets.com and receive 10 free queries of our prop evaluation tools.

    1) Aaron Rodgers, 0.5 interceptions, under -155

    Rogers just doesn’t throw interceptions. He threw two in 16 games last season and hasn’t thrown more than eight in any season since 2010. Meanwhile, the Eagles have three in three games, but all three came against Matt Ryan who is prone to throw picks. They had none against Case Keenum or Matthew Stafford. The Eagles secondary is hurting, including a new injury to Ronald Darby last Sunday. Based on the data, Rodgers’ odds for under 0.5 interceptions should be -286, but is actually -155.

    2) Aaron Rodgers, 21.5 completions, over -112

    The last time Rodgers faced Philadelphia was 2016 and he picked the Eagles apart with short drops and quick passes (30-of-39 for 313 and 2 TDs). It’s the same Jim Schwartz as defensive coordinator. Rodgers is averaging just 19 completions in three games this season, but all three pass defenses he played against are better than the Eagles pass defense (Chicago, Minnesota, Denver). SIS data predicts a 78-percent chance for the over which translates to -359, but casino odds are -112. Best pick of the night.

    3) Carson Wentz, 26.5 completions, under -141

    The Packers haven’t played a quarterback of this caliber this season (Mitchell Trubisky, Kirk Cousins and Keenum), but they have been very good just the same, yielding only 20 completions per game. Wentz has averaged 24 completions this season, while being without DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery for almost two full games. Jeffery is expected to return from his calf injury, but his field-stretcher, Jackson will not play. The Eagles would prefer to get the running game going for play-action to work and keep the ball out of Rodgers’ hands. The data says Wentz under should be -273, but actual odds are -130.

    4) Marquez Valdes-Scantling, 3.5 completions, over -118

    Valdez-Scantling was the No. 1 target last week as the Broncos blanketed Davante Adams. Adams is always the primary defensive focal point and it has allowed MVS to average seven targets and 4.3 completions per game. The Eagles secondary has been vulnerable, allowing 44 receptions for 607 yards and six scores through three games. SISBets predicts 76-percent for the over which means fair value should be -320, but actual is -118.

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.

    Quarterback Touchdown Passes
    ——————————————
    Aaron Rodgers, 1.5, over -141/under +114
    Carson Wentz, 1.5, over -118/under -106

    Quarterback Interceptions
    ———————————–
    Aaron Rodgers, 0.5, over +124/U -155
    Carson Wentz, 0.5, over -130/U +105

    Quarterback Completions
    ———————————-
    Aaron Rodgers, 21.5 completions, over -112/under -112
    Carson Wentz, 26.5 completions, over +114/under -141

    Touchdown Scorers
    ————————–
    Zach Ertz +165
    Alshon Jeffrey +180
    Nelson Agholor +210
    Mile Sanders +225
    Jordan Howard +225
    Mack Hollins +325
    Dallas Goedert +450
    Darren Sproles +450
    JJ Arcega-Whiteside +450
    Carson Wentz +800
    Aaron Jones -125
    Davante Adams +100
    Marquez Valdes-Scantling +150
    Geronimo Allison +225
    Jamaal Williams +300
    Jimmy Graham +375
    Aaron Rodgers +625
    Marcedes Lewis +650
    Robert Tonyan +1000

    Total Receptions
    ———————-
    Zach Ertz 6.5 receptions, over +105/under -130
    Aaron Jones 2.5 receptions, over +119/under -148
    Davante Adams 6.5, receptions, over -130/under +105
    Marquez Valdes-Scantling 3.5 receptions, over -118/under -106
    Geronimo Allison 1.5 receptions, over -190/under +150

  • SIS NFL Preview: Week 3 Teams to Watch

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS Datahub Pro.

    Kendall Mirsky, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Bills:

    The Bills have already faced two franchises that are going through some rough rebuilds, and for a third week in a row, the same will ring true against the Bengals. Offensively the Bills will look to establish continuity in the backfield and in the trenches. It will be interesting to see how many snaps rookie RB Devin Singletary will get a week after injuring his hamstring and getting his first career touchdown. As for the offensive line, the Bengals have shown an efficient pass rush led by Geno Atkins and Carlos Dunlap. Will the almost entirely revamped offensive line continue to execute sufficiently this week?

    Sales Pinckney, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Browns:

    In order for the Browns to win this week, they will need to control the flow of the game and keep the Rams’ dangerous offense off the field. Third-down efficiency will be key as the Browns look to extend drives, an area that Cleveland has struggled with through the first two weeks. The running game will also be key in the effort to control the clock, so look for a more balanced attack from the Browns offense. RB Nick Chubb is averaging 3.9 yards per rush through two weeks, but 5.5 yards when those rushes come off-tackle.

    Noah Gatsik, SIS Operations Associate, on the Eagles:

    Since his return from ACL and LCL surgery (Week 3 last season versus the Colts), the Carson Wentz-led Eagles are one of the worst in the NFL in first quarter offense. With Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, and Dallas Goedert all unlikely to play, expect this trend to continue against an underrated Lions defense.

    Andrew McKeon, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Giants:

    Rookie QB Daniel Jones gets the Week 3 start, much sooner than most anticipated. Due to the lack of viable pass-catchers around him, expect to see a similar game script to the preseason; quick, one read throws and now, a healthy dose of Saquon Barkley. Jones exceeded expectations in the preseason, specifically through his accuracy and poise, which he’ll look to carry into this week.

    Bruce Shroeder, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Packers:

    After another strong showing from the Packers defense, we are starting to see a complete team around Aaron Rodgers. With that said, as fast as the Packers offense started last week, they have played only two consistent quarters this season. The Packers currently are ranked as the 27th best offense on 3rd downs, which can’t continue if their sights are set on postseason play. If the Packers defense continues to impress and Matt LaFleur and his quarterback find themselves on more of the same page schematically, this hot start should continue against a struggling Broncos team.

    Stephen Marciello, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Patriots:

    While the Patriots offense has been great so far this season, especially after the addition of WR Antonio Brown, the story so far this year has been the Patriots defense. Most will be drawn to bigger names such as Stephon Gilmore or Dont’a Hightower, but it’s the depth of the Patriots defensively that has led to their success. DT Adam Butler (2 sacks), rookie DE Chase Winovich (1.5 sacks), DE John Simon (1 sack), and rejuvenated LB Jamie Collins (0.5 sack, 2 INT, 1 TD) all had huge games against Miami and are just a few of the players that rotate through the lineup.

    Britton Mann, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Panthers:

    Newton’s performance hasn’t been stellar and definitely needs to improve if the Panthers want to contend for a playoff spot. His 56% completion percentage ranks him No. 30 out of the 32 eligible quarterbacks with at least 20 attempts this season. Injuries have played a part in his underwhelming performance so far this year, as he’s struggled to stay healthy, and may be replaced by Kyle Allen due to a foot injury. In order for this team to contend, they’ll need Newton to get healthy and elevate his game.

    Will Osgood, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Saints:

    All eyes will be on Teddy Bridgewater on Sunday in Seattle, as he replaces Drew Brees for the next few weeks. When he took over for the injured Brees on Sunday, he looked erratic and slow to process at times. But his receivers did him no favors, dropping a handful of passes. Look for Sean Payton to come up with some interesting wrinkles to complement Bridgewater’s strengths, including more deep shots.

  • SIS NFL Preview: Week 3 Matchups

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS DataHub Pro.

    Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs – 9/22 1:00 ET

    Cyril Zackary Penn, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Ravens:

    Look for the Ravens to get especially run-heavy, trying to milk the clock and keep the ball out of Patrick Mahomes’ hands as much as possible. Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo loves to stack the box with defenders close to the line of scrimmage and will do his darnedest to shut things down between the tackles.That could work in Baltimore’s favor, however, if they can scheme up some quick-hitting, intermediate play-action passes. Also, RB Mark Ingram has averaged 6.6 yards per carry on off-tackle runs through 19 attempts this season. The Ravens’ recipe for a win in front of a hostile Arrowhead crowd? Dominate time of possession and nail a few play-action backbreakers.

    Lamar Jackson on Play-Action Attempts This Season

    CompAttYds / AttTD-INT IQR
    15227.43-0142

    Zack Marseglia, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Chiefs:

    After switching to a 4-3 defense this year, the Chiefs still need time to learn the system. They looked better last week, but the Ravens pose some serious problems for the Chiefs D. Their ability to mix up the play calls, and with rookie WR Marquise Brown showing out, the play-action game could be lethal against the Chiefs secondary. Watch for the Chiefs to play conservative to prevent the big plays, but be liable against the run. Really watch for Frank Clark in this game, if he can be disruptive off the edge I think that swings the tide in the Chiefs favor.

    Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers – 9/22 4:25 ET

    Zac Stempler, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Texans:

    Even with the acquisition of LT Laremy Tunsil, the Texans have allowed a ton of pressure on QB Deshaun Watson. Watson has been sacked a league high 10 times through two games. This has been a recurring problem and there needs to be an improvement across the entire offensive line if they want to be a serious contender in the AFC.

    Pressure % Allowed by Offense

    TeamPressure% AllowedNFL Rank
    2018 Texans47%32nd

    2019 Texans

    (Weeks 1-2)

    		52%32nd

    Zac Stempler, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Chargers:

    One thing to look for from the Chargers this week is the health of their offensive weapons. We already know they are without Hunter Henry who fractured his tibia plateau.  Additionally, both of their starting receivers Mike Williams and Keenan Allen have knee-injury concerns of their own. Besides these three players, Austin Ekeler is the only other player with more than two receptions on the season.

    Chargers Weapons Not Named Henry, Williams, Allen, or Ekeler This Season

    TargetsReceptionsYds / TgtExpected Points Added
    1893.9-4.4

    Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys – 9/22 1:00 ET

    Nelson Sanchez, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Dolphins:

    The Miami Dolphins are 0-2 and are off to a historically bad start. The Dolphins have been outscored 102-10 through two games after being beaten by Baltimore 59-10 and New England 43-0. The Dolphins defense ranks dead last in EPA Allowed per 60 Plays (23) and EPA Allowed per 60 Dropbacks (49). It also ranks 25th in EPA Allowed per 60 Designed Runs (4). Could these stats improve, or continue to get worse, in Dallas against Dak Prescott and the Cowboys?

    Cole Ratliff, SIS Operations Associate, on the Cowboys:

    The biggest question this week is how effective their defense will be. The pass rush has gotten pressure, but has been nonexistent in results, recording only two sacks and two tackles for loss through two games. DE Demarcus Lawrence has been facing a lot of double teams, but with the suspended Robert Quinn returning, it might be the spark the defensive line needs. Offensively, QB Dak Prescott will be without leading receiver Michael Gallup and will look to Devin Smith to step up again this week and make a big contribution. Also, look for the offense to feed RB Ezekiel Elliot early again to slow down the pass rush, after getting him going last week with 111 yards on the ground.

    Lowest Sack Percentage 
      Pressure Percentage
    28. Chargers3.2%29% 
    29. Redskins2.7%27% 
    30. Eagles2.2%44% 
    31. Cowboys2.2%39% 
    32. Broncos0.0%22% 
    >> Cowboys rank 7th in pressure percentage

    For more previewing Week 3, check out this week’s Off The Charts Football Podcast with special guest Evan Silva.

  • New football podcast: Fantasy impact + Week 3 preview

    LISTEN HERE

    Matt Manocherian (@mattmano) and Aaron Schatz (@FO_ASchatz) welcome EstablishTheRun.com’s Evan Silva (@evansilva) and SIS’s Corey March (@marchmadness26) to the show for a discussion about how recent injuries at the QB position will impact fantasy football moving forward, focusing specifically on the Giants (4:23), Jets (9:08), Saints (13:02), Steelers (15:52), Jaguars (21:04) and Panthers (24:10).

    They also look ahead to NFL Week 3: Texans-Chargers (35:13), Lions-Eagles (41:36) and Ravens-Chiefs (45:55).

  • Props to consider for Tennessee at Jacksonville

    By Steve Schwarz
    Here are some of the top Prop Bets for Thursday’s Tennessee at Jacksonville game using the SIS DataHub and SISBets.com to help figure out what’s a smart play.

    1) Gardner Minshew under 1.5 INTs (Over +240/Under – 345)

    Minshew has thrown the ball 58 times over the almost two full games he’s played in and he’s only been picked off one time for a 1.7% interception rate. Meanwhile he’s completing 78% of his passes. His opponent picked off just 11 passes all last season but they have four in their first two games, three against the inaccurate Baker Mayfield. Minshew has been very conservative so far (just three of his 58 attempts are for more than 20 yards) and accurate. A fair under based on assessment from SISBets.com should be -423, but is currently -345.

    2) Gardner Minshew under 21.5 completions (Over +100/Under – 134)

    Minshew has completed more than this total in both games, but the KC pass defense has been suspect for a few years and the 2018 Houston defense surprisingly gave up the seventh-most completions last season despite its heralded pass rushers. Tennessee averaged allowing just 21 completions in 2018 and have continued to be tough in 2019, allowing a total of 42 completions in the first two games this season. They haven’t yielded more than 21 completions to Jacksonville since 2016. A fair under, per SISBets, should be -162, but is currently -134.

    3) Marcus Mariota under 1.5 TDs (Over +150/Under -200)

    Mariota has four touchdown passes through two games this season, but his four- year career average per game is 1.3 touchdown passes per game and rushing touchdowns don’t count toward this total. He’s averaging only 26 passing attempts per game and over the past two seasons has averaged just 22.5 attempts against usually-stingy Jacksonville. Make sure CB Jalen Ramsey is active before jumping on this play. A fair under should be -340, but is currently -200.

    4) Marqise Lee score a touchdown (Yes +900)

    Lee sat out the second game with a knee issue, but after a full Tuesday practice should be ready to go. He’s a long shot to score, but not as bad as the odds show. In his last full season (2017) he scored in three of 14 contests with Blake Bortles at the controls. Minshew has shown he’s better than that. With a SISbets.com-predicted 18-percent chance, the fair number should be +452, but he’s currently at +900.

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.

    Prop Bet Odds

    Quarterbacks
    ——————
    Gardner Minshew O/U 1.5 TDs, +150 over / -200 under
    Gardner Minshew O/U 1.5 INTs, +240 over / -345 under
    Gardner Minshew completions O/U 21.5 completions, +100 over / -134 under

    Marcus Mariota O/U 1.5 TDs, +150 over / -200 under
    Marcus Mariota O/U 0.5 INTs, -110 over / -121 under
    Marcus Mariota O/U 17.5 completions, -121 over / -110 under

    Score a TD Tennessee
    —————————–
    Derrick Henry – 130
    Delanie Walker +260
    Corey Davis +285
    A.J. Brown +350
    Dion Lewis +325
    Adam Humphries +400
    Tajae Sharpe +475
    Marcus Mariota +600

    Score a TD Jacksonville
    ——————————
    Leonard Fournette -106
    D.J. Chark +225
    Chris Conley +275
    Dede Westbrook +275
    Gardner Minshew +650
    Geoff Swaim +800
    Marqise Lee +900
    Ryquell Armstead +900
    Keelan Cole +900

    Odds from ParxCasino.com

  • SIS NFL Preview: Other Teams to Watch

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS Datahub Pro. 

    Andrew McKeon, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Giants:

    It’s no secret the Giants offense revolves around Saquon Barkley, which makes one question the lack of carries for him against the Cowboys (Only 11 carries, but for 120 yards and 4 broken tackles). This week, I’d expect an increased workload on the ground and through the air for Barkley. The game should be close, so there should be no “flow of the game” excuse this time.

    Saquon Barkley Week 1 Performance Compared to Bills Run Defense Week 1

    PlayerCarriesYds/CarryBroken TacklesPoints Earned
    Saquon Barkley1110.944.6
    Bills Rush Defense Allowed Week 1212.78-1.8

     

    Noah Gatsik, SIS Operations Associate, on the Eagles:

    The player to watch is Timmy Jernigan, who is taking over starting duties with Malik Jackson out for the season. With Fletcher Cox nearly always drawing a double team, Jernigan has a chance to be one-on-one for most of the game against a second-string guard (due to guard Chris Linstrom’s injury).

    Timmy Jernigan’s Performance (2018-2019)

    Pass RushesSacksTotal PressuresPressure%
    45148.9%

    The Eagles will likely keep the corners on one side of the field, so look for the Falcons to lineup Julio Jones all around to get better matchups to attack, like the undersized Avonte Maddox in the slot.

    Avonte Maddox vs. WR’s in the Slot (2018-2019)

    Catchable TargetsCompletionsYardsTD’sINT’sDropped INT’s
    11789122

     

    Stephen Marciello, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Patriots:

    With only one catch for three yards from TE Ryan Izzo, Tom Brady will continue to rely on his running backs and receiving core. Phillip Dorsett and the rejuvenated Josh Gordon had huge games, along with the reliable Julian Edelman and the possible addition of Antonio Brown should give Tom Brady plenty of options. On defense, the Patriots will look to build on an outstanding performance against the Steelers, having given up only 3 points. Bill Belichick will most likely continue utilizing his deep and productive secondary by having five, six, or even seven defensive backs on the field at the same time.

    Patriots Receiving Weapons Week 1 Performance

     TargetsReceptionsYardsYACPoints Earned
    Julian Edelman11983393.8
    Phillip Dorsett4495233.7
    Josh Gordan4373262.6
    James White7656511.3

     

    Tim Nase, SIS Football Video Scout, on the 49ers:

    Newly acquired Dee Ford and first round draft pick Nick Bosa bolstered the pass rush. Against a weak Bengals offensive line, the 49ers should see now drop in production this week. One thing that is worrisome is the success the Bengals had against the Seahawks Cover 3 defense, which the 49ers have adopted.

    New 49er Pass Rushers Week 1 Performance

    PlayerPass RushesSacksTotal PressuresPressure%
    Nick Bosa251624.0%
    Dee Ford241312.5%

     

    Kendall Mirsky, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Bills:

    It was evident in week one that the Bills found their replacement for RB LeSean McCoy, in rookie Devin Singletary. Singletary only had four touches on the ground but managed to accumulate 70 yards on those touches. This efficiency should continue through week two as Singletary’s strength is his vision and elusiveness which plays well with the weaknesses of the Giants front seven as they are stout on the interior but weaker on the exteriors.

    Giants Run Defense vs. Runs Off-Tackle or to the Outside in Week 1

    (All 4 of Singletary’s Carries were Off-Tackle or Outside)

    Carries FacedYards AllowedBroken TacklesPoints Saved
    21753-2.3

  • SIS NFL preview: Vikings vs Packers

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS Datahub Pro. 

    Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers – 9/15 1:00 ET

    Bruce Schroeder, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Packers:

    Offensively, look for the Packers to find their run-pass balance that Coach Matt LaFleur has talked about often. Last week the Packers ran a designed pass 61% of the time (includes scrambles) , which is not what LaFleur wants. In a big divisional matchup against the Vikings, look for Aaron Jones to get more attempts, especially on outside zone runs (13 total attempts week 1, 7 of which were outside zones); the crux of LaFleur’s offense. 

    A huge factor that has negatively affected the Packers on both sides of the ball, but especially defensively, has been injuries. Injuries always seemed to add up quick for Packer’s defenses in years past, but heading into Week 2 the only major injury has been to linebacker Oren Burks.

    Look for an up and coming defense to live up to the early hype if it can continue to stay healthy, specifically DB Kevin King. King can be a lock-down corner in this league if he can stay healthy, so keep an eye on him going forward.

    Kevin King’s Performance by Season

    SeasonTargetsComp% AllowedYds/Target AllowedPoints Saved
    20174279%7.6-5.9
    20182250%6.66.3
    2019250%4.51.9

    Bruce Schroeder, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Vikings:

    Kirk Cousins threw the ball only 10 times in Week 1. Look for the Vikings to emphasize their running game again in week 2, highlighting their premier back, Dalvin Cook . Even with two stars at WR in Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, the Vikings clearly don’t want Cousins responsible for winning the game, which seems problematic in today’s NFL.

    The Vikings have a stacked defense and are facing a familiar foe in the Packers, but not a familiar offense. Look to see how the Vikings respond to an offense they haven’t seen with a QB at the helm like Rodgers. The Vikings should key on stopping the run game in order to make Rodgers win the game, but if they can’t, they could find themselves in a world of trouble with new looks from the Packers and LaFleur’s offense. 

    Vikings Offensive Stars’ Week 1 Performance

    PlayerAttemptsYardsYards After ContactBroken TacklesPoints Earned
    Dalvin Cook211116854.3
     TargetsReceptionsYardsYards After CatchPoints Earned
    Adam Thielen3343182.2
    Stefon Diggs223781.2

     

  • SIS NFL preview: Browns at Jets

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS Datahub Pro. 

    Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets – 9/16 8:15 ET

    Zac Stempler, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Jets:

    There are numerous question marks for the Jets going into this game.  The offensive line looked like Swiss cheese in week 1, letting up four sacks. Ryan Kalil will hopefully be another week along in his progress learning the offense and prove to be the anchor of the line. However, the offensive line will have its hands full, especially tackles Kelvin Beachum and Brandon Shell having to face Myles Garrett.  How much can we expect from newly acquired Demaryius Thomas who should be taking over the second outside receiver position with Quincy Enunwa being deemed out for the season?

    On defense, Quinnen Williams and C.J. Mosley both got dinged up in the opener.  As of now Mosley is expected to play, but Williams is more up in the air. Both players will benefit from an extra rest day, as the Jets play on Monday night. The Jets corners will have to step up this week after a poor performance against one of the worst receiver rooms in the league.

    Jets Cornerback’s Performance in Week 1

    PlayerCoverage SnapsCatchable TargetsCompletionsYardsTD’s
    Darryl Roberts3866851
    Trumaine Johnson3844560
    Brian Poole1821200

     

    Sales Pinckney, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Browns:

    First and foremost the Browns need to limit penalties that derailed offensive drives and kept drives alive for the Titans in week 1.

    Offensively the Browns line needs to do a better job of protecting Baker Mayfield, who never seemed to get completely comfortable in the pocket. Mayfield also needs to do a better job this week of not forcing passes and creating unnecessary turnovers.  Efficiency on third down should also be improved. Look for Nick Chubb to get more touches in the run game and expect big games from the Browns receivers against a questionable Jets secondary.

    The Browns pass rush did a good job of pressuring the QB, and overall outside of two big plays for touchdowns the Titans passing game was held relatively in check. Limiting big plays was the main problem for the Brown defense in week 1. 

    When they managed to force a third Down, the Browns were very efficient at getting off the field. Expect the Browns defensive line to have another successful week of QB pressures, and the secondary to buckle down with Sam Darnold sidelined due to mono.  Keep an eye on Le’Veon Bell as the Browns try to bounce back from giving up a big day to Derrick Henry.

    Browns Defensive Line Performance Week 1

    PlayerPass RushesSacksTotal PressuresPressure%
    Olivier Vernon270518.5%
    Myles Garrett262311.5%
    Larry Ogunjobi27127.4%
    Sheldon Richardson25000.0%

     

  • SIS NFL preview: Saints at Rams

    At Sports Info Solutions, our Video Scouts chart FBS and NFL football games 40 hours a week. They chart every play of every game in extraordinary detail, becoming experts in team’s tendencies and concepts. So, who better to ask about what to watch for in this weeks upcoming NFL games? This season we will be providing weekly NFL previews of key matchups with insight straight from our Video Scouts and stats from the SIS Datahub Pro. 

    New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams – 9/15 4:25 ET

    Justin Stine, SIS Operations Associate, on the Rams:

    The Rams offense put up 30 points in Week 1 despite Todd Gurley carrying the ball only 14 times and Jared Goff completing just 23 of his 39 pass attempts. Gurley had only three more carries than backup Malcolm Brown, so it will be interesting to see how the Rams use their star RB this week.

    The offense played a majority of its snaps in 11 personnel (76%) against the Panthers, and the Saints defense was vulnerable against passing plays out of 11 last season, ranking 30th in the league in net yards per pass attempt allowed. On the defensive side of the ball, Aaron Donald had an uncharacteristically quiet Week 1, registering just one tackle despite playing 55 of the 66 defensive snaps. The Rams will need him to be much more noticeable this week against Drew Brees. The team is relatively healthy as well, although three impact defensive players are listed on the early injury report in Eric Weddle (concussion), Clay Matthews (back) and Michael Brockers (shoulder). All three are expected to play this week, but losing any one of these players would be a blow against a potent Saints offense.

    Rams Expected Points Added (EPA) Per Play from 11 Personnel (2018 – 2019)

    Play TypeEPA Per PlayRank
    Designed Pass0.166th
    Designed Run0.151st

     

    Will Osgood, SIS Football Video Scout, on the Saints:

    To get to 2-0 for the first time since 2013, New Orleans needs to maintain a clean pocket against Aaron Donald and the Rams. The entire offensive line was outstanding against Houston, holding future Hall of Famer JJ Watt to a no-tackle, no-sack game, as Drew Brees was rarely pressured, and running lanes were aplenty.

    The defensive line however needs to up its game after allowing 7.8 yards per carry on the ground against the Texans. Getting starting defensive tackle David Onyemata back from a one-game suspension should help. And the improved depth ought to aid the Saints’ third down defense which gave up 53 percent of its’ attempts versus Houston. Lastly, the Saints produced a couple big plays on Monday night out of the Pistol formation (4 plays for 52 yards and a touchdown). We’ll see if they increase their usage of that formation.

    Pressure % vs Saints  Last Two Games (NFL Average = 35%)

    GameDropbacksPressure% Allowed
    2019 NFC Championship vs. Rams4326%
    2019 Week 1 vs. Texans4219%