The 20 most important stats to know heading into Super Bowl 55

By now you’ve probably scanned the traditional NFL stats compiled by the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Maybe you’ve even perused Pro Football Focus’ grades, or tried to dig in on the NFL’s Next Gen Stats site. We’re all trying to understand, first, how it is that these teams emerged from the […]

NFL picks against the spread for the first round of the playoffs

Home-field advantage has been anything but in the opening round of the NFL playoffs. Since 2002, when the league expanded to 32 teams, home squads are 38-34 in first-round games (.528) and even worse against the spread (30-39-3, .435). Home teams favored by three or more points don’t provide value, either, with a measly 22-22 […]

Justin Herbert’s rapid rise reminds us that evaluating QB prospects is absolutely futile

If I were to put together a list of the quarterbacks I’d most like to build around, Justin Herbert might crack the top-five. I’m saying that now, but four months ago, I thought the guy was legitimately bad at football. My point is, I’m an idiot. But I’m not alone. When it comes to evaluating […]

Seahawks’ unwillingness to keep it simple costs them a game

The Seattle Seahawks, trailing the New York Giants by three points midway through the third quarter of their meeting Sunday at Lumen Field, faced fourth-and-inches from their own 48-yard line. The Giants had just generated their first real offense of the game to take the lead, and the Seahawks were desperate to answer and regain […]

Crunch time: The 22 fringe-y players you can trust in Weeks 13 and 14

In this edition of Under The Radar, I’ve selected 22 quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends you can trust in Week 13 and 14 (so you can get a jump on roster planning for the first week of the playoffs). This article incorporates advanced stats and efficiency metrics from multiple websites, including FantasyData, […]

Kyler Murray Is Leading the Arizona Cardinals on a Joy Ride

The Arizona Cardinals are the latest team to challenge the “N.F.L. establishment.” They are dangerous subversives with a thrilling dual-threat quarterback and a slick upstart coach whose gimmicky system is all dessert and no vegetables. They may be fun to watch, but conventional wisdom nervously warns that they won’t amount to anything until they grow […]

What everyone is getting wrong about Nick Foles’ comments about his coach Matt Nagy

Near the end of whatever we’re calling the display of offensive football the Bears produced Monday night in a 24-10 loss to the Rams, ESPN commentator Brian Griese attempted to pull back the curtain a bit on Chicago’s offensive struggles in the passing game, causing a bit of a stir on NFL Twitter. Griese says […]

Ravens film study: The missing ingredient in the running game?

After the greatest rushing season in NFL history, the Ravens wanted more. In December, Gus Edwards said the plan was to break the single-year rushing record they’d just set. In May, Mark Ingram II said the ground game could be even better in 2020. There was more talent, more experience, more speed. But heavy is […]

Baker Mayfield’s pick-six is further proof of his problems in the pocket

The Cleveland Browns came into Sunday with a 4-1 record, their best such mark since Bill Belichick was their head coach in 1994, and quarterback Baker Mayfield has been decent statistically, so an obvious Mayfield problem hasn’t been discussed enough. But after this interception to Steelers safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, which Fitzpatrick returned 33 yards for […]

Ravens would be wise to dare Joe Burrow to throw deep

The Bengals rookie quarterback, Joe Burrow, has shown playmaking ability, accuracy and poise that are rare of passers early in their career. Just not deep. Through four games, Burrow has been among the worst deep passers in football. Burrow’s deep passing numbers through four games, according to Sports Info Solutions, would suggest that the Ravens […]

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