NFL picks against the spread for the first round of the playoffs

Home-field advantage has been anything but in the opening round of the NFL playoffs. Since 2002, when the league expanded to 32 teams, home squads are 38-34 in first-round games (.528) and even worse against the spread (30-39-3, .435). Home teams favored by three or more points don’t provide value, either, with a measly 22-22 […]

It Doesn’t Matter Anymore Whether You Think Josh Allen Is Good

In the latest mind-boggling development of 2020, Josh Allen is decidedly good at playing quarterback. I know. I know. Walking back takes about the Bills signal-caller being bad is a social media phenomenon that is pretty stunning to witness. But after yet another outstanding performance Sunday, it’s time to face the music. Three weeks into the NFL season, […]

NFL bettors are repeating last year’s mistake by betting on Josh Allen to win MVP

With a dearth of sports to bet on during this global pandemic, gamblers are undoubtedly desperate for something to bet on. Ordinarily, I’d use that as an explanation for this stat, which comes via Syracuse.com… “According to Oddschecker spokesperson Pete Watt, there are more bets on [Josh] Allen to win MVP right now than any other player … […]

Why Bills fans shouldn’t let themselves get too excited about Josh Allen

We’ve gotten to the point where the Bills are being discussed as Super Bowl sleepers, and Allen’s improvement especially in the turnover department is actually one of the reasons people believe in this Buffalo team. While it would be foolish (or downright ignorant) to deny that Allen has improved, I’m just not sure that his […]

A Tale Of Two Seasons For Josh Allen And The Bills Offense

The Bills offense as a whole ranked 21st in Expected Points Added per Play (EPA/P) and averaged only 19 points a game during the same time frame. Not exactly what you would expect from a team sitting comfortably in a playoff spot. The Bills jumped out to one of their best starts in years, but […]

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