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  • Joe Burrow’s Digging a Top-10 Ranking

    Joe Burrow’s Digging a Top-10 Ranking

    It’s been awhile since we last updated the World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ratings.

    The biggest development in the last seven weeks is the rapid and recent ascent of Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow, who just made his way into the top 10.

    A reminder that The World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking is based on a model devised by Bill James to evaluate The World’s No. 1 Starting Pitcher. Bill’s model was based on cumulative evaluation of individual starts over an extended time period using the metric Game Score.

    The World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking uses our player value stat Total Points to make a cumulative evaluation of game performance over a three-year period. The key to our calculation is Points Above Average (PAA), which is the statistical underpinning of Total Points that is centered at zero so that positive numbers are above average and negative numbers are below average.

    Success over time is key to maintaining a good ranking. Prolonged inactivity results in a ranking drop. The most recent performances carry the most weight.

    Burrow spent the first year and five weeks of his pro career usually ranked in the 20s. He stood at 34th after a rough Week 2 game against the Bears, but then turned the corner with five straight games of above-average performance. Still, a rather blah Weeks 11, 12, and 13 left him sitting at No. 21.

    Then came Week 14 against the 49ers in which Burrow was 25-of-34 for 348 yards and two touchdowns. That game moved him six spots in the rankings to No. 15. Two weeks later, his 525-yard, four-touchdown game against the Ravens both moved the Bengals into the AFC North lead and bumped him to the No. 10 spot in the rankings.

    He now sits one spot behind Vikings QB Kirk Cousins (who was the subject of our last article … he’s since dropped from his midseason No. 2 ranking).

    The current top-10 is:

    1. Aaron Rodgers
    2. Patrick Mahomes
    3. Justin Herbert
    4. Tom Brady
    5. Josh Allen
    6. Kyler Murray
    7. Matthew Stafford
    8. Derek Carr
    9. Kirk Cousins
    10. Joe Burrow

    There’s still reason to be wary of Burrow, of course. He’s the NFL leader in both sacks and interceptions thrown. But he also leads the league in catchable pass percentage (89.5%) and on-target percentage (83%). Burrow ranked in the top seven in both of those stats last season, perhaps providing some foreshadowing for what’s happened in the latter part of this season.

    The other jump of note belongs to Kyler Murray, who is now a career-best No. 6 even as his team is sputtering with three straight losses. Murray recorded 7.7 PAA last week against the Colts, his second-highest PAA of the season. As such, he moved past Matthew Stafford, Derek Carr, and Cousins, each of whom had negative PAA last week, in our rankings.

    For the season, Murray has jumped nine spots, as he entered 2021 at No. 15, a deserved ascent given that he started the season with eight straight PAA-positive games before getting hurt.

    Murray has nearly tripled his Points Earned from 2020 on passes thrown at least 15 yards downfield. His surface numbers don’t look that much better, but it’s worth noting that Cardinals receivers have dropped a league-leading eight passes of 15-plus yards this season.

    Kyler Murray – On Passes At Least 15 Yards Downfield

    Season Comp-Att Catchable Passes TD-Int
    2020 39-93 58 8-4
    2021 44-82* 60 9-4

    * 53.7% (2nd-highest in NFL)

    The only quarterback with more points earned than Murray on throws of this depth is … Burrow, who has made major improvements to his intermediate and deep passing games since last season.

    Joe Burrow – On Passes At Least 15 Yards Downfield

    Season Comp-Att Catchable Passes TD-Int
    2020 26-76 51 1-2
    2021 45-87 68 14-7

    Having Ja’Marr Chase makes a huge difference. Burrow is 16-of-34 with 6 touchdowns when throwing a pass of that depth to Chase (and Chase dropped five of the 18 incompletions). He’s also 14-of-28 when throwing those to Tee Higgins, compared to 14-of-35 last season.

    The full list of QB rankings is below.

    Rank Player PAA Per 60 Last Week Rank Start Of Season
    1 Aaron Rodgers 6.1 1 1
    2 Patrick Mahomes 6.0 2 2
    3 Justin Herbert 5.3 3 10
    4 Tom Brady 5.2 4 3
    5 Josh Allen 4.6 5 6
    6 Kyler Murray 2.8 9 15
    7 Matthew Stafford 2.7 6 14
    8 Derek Carr 2.6 7 7
    9 Kirk Cousins 2.4 8 9
    10 Joe Burrow 2.0 15 22
    11 Lamar Jackson 1.2 10 12
    12 Teddy Bridgewater 1.1 11 18
    13 Matt Ryan 0.9 13 11
    14 Deshaun Watson 0.8 12 4
    15 Russell Wilson 0.5 14 5
    16 Ryan Tannehill 0.3 17 8
    17 Dak Prescott -0.2 20 17
    18 Jalen Hurts -0.2 19 70
    19 Jimmy Garoppolo -0.4 16 25
    20 Carson Wentz -0.6 22 81
    21 Jameis Winston -0.8 21 55
    22 Tua Tagovailoa -0.9 23 50
    23 Mac Jones -1.0 18 N/A
    24 Jacoby Brissett -1.1 24 21
    25 Josh Johnson -1.2 27 49
    26 Trevor Siemian -1.6 25 N/A
    27 Ryan Fitzpatrick -1.8 26 16
    28 Gardner Minshew -2.1 28 32
    29 Taysom Hill -2.1 30 20
    30 Colt McCoy -2.2 31 51
    31 Chad Henne -2.3 32 29
    32 John Wolford -2.4 33 24
    33 Tyrod Taylor -2.4 34 56
    34 Kyle Allen -2.4 42 34
    35 Baker Mayfield -2.4 29 13
    36 Marcus Mariota -2.5 35 27
    37 Geno Smith -2.5 36 N/A
    38 Mason Rudolph -2.5 37 26
    39 Tyler Huntley -2.5 38 57
    40 Case Keenum -2.5 39 60
    41 C.J. Beathard -2.5 40 30
    42 Blaine Gabbert -2.6 41 36
    43 Brett Hundley -2.6 43 35
    44 Josh McCown -2.7 45 38
    45 Blake Bortles -2.7 46 44
    46 Sean Mannion -2.7 47 45
    47 Chase Daniel -2.7 49 39
    48 AJ McCarron -2.7 50 47
    49 Matt Barkley -2.7 51 48
    50 Nate Sudfeld -2.7 52 52
    51 Nick Mullens -2.8 53 72
    52 Josh Rosen -2.8 54 58
    53 Brian Hoyer -2.8 55 59
    54 Zach Wilson -2.8 70 N/A
    55 David Blough -2.8 56 61
    56 Jordan Love -2.9 57 N/A
    57 Mike White -2.9 58 N/A
    58 Joe Flacco -2.9 59 63
    59 Brett Rypien -2.9 60 65
    60 Will Grier -2.9 61 69
    61 Jarrett Stidham -2.9 62 66
    62 Drew Lock -3.0 78 23
    63 Andy Dalton -3.0 63 46
    64 Jared Goff -3.0 64 31
    65 Ben DiNucci -3.0 65 68
    66 Alex Smith -3.1 66 74
    67 Brandon Allen -3.1 67 75
    68 Trey Lance -3.1 68 N/A
    69 Ryan Finley -3.2 69 77
    70 Nick Foles -3.2 74 76
    71 Garrett Gilbert -3.2 72 54
    72 Cooper Rush -3.2 73 N/A
    73 Daniel Jones -3.4 75 71
    74 Chris Streveler -3.4 76 62
    75 Dwayne Haskins -3.4 77 78
    76 Tim Boyle -3.5 71 N/A
    77 Jake Luton -3.5 80 79
    78 Jake Fromm -3.7 48 N/A
    79 Mitchell Trubisky -3.7 81 80
    80 Phillip Walker -3.7 83 67
    81 Trevor Lawrence -3.8 85 N/A
    82 Cam Newton -3.8 79 19
    83 Justin Fields -3.9 84 N/A
    84 Sam Darnold -4.0 82 82
    85 Davis Mills -4.8 88 N/A
    86 Mike Glennon -5.2 86 73
    87 Taylor Heinicke -5.8 87 28
    88 Ben Roethlisberger -6.0 89 53
  • Prop Possibilities: Titans vs 49ers

    Prop Possibilities: Titans vs 49ers

    Admittedly, there aren’t a lot of great options among our prop possibilities this week. But here are three we found using SISBets.com. We had a rough week last week, missing on all four of our selections but hopefully these will get us headed in the right direction.

    1) Ryan Tannehill, under 20.5 completions, -130.

    Tannehill has been without his two favorite receivers, A.J. Brown and Julio Jones for most of the second half of the season and it has shown in his passing totals. Brown hasn’t played since Week 11 and Jones has barely played since Week 9. Tannehill has cracked the 21-completion mark just twice in his last six games and one time was against a bad Houston Texans’ defense. The 49ers defense rushes the quarterback well and has been improving as they have gotten healthier.

    SIS data projects Tannehill to throw 28.2 times and complete just 18.7 for 206.9 yards.

    2) George Kittle, over 5.5 receptions, -130.

    Kittle is a top-three tight end and since returning to the lineup from an injury has been dominant. In the last three games he’s seen 33 targets and caught 28 for 425 yards and three scores.

    SIS analysis expects him to see 9.4 targets and catch 6.8 for 83.7 yards against a Titans pass defense which ranks 20th in yards allowed.

    3) Jimmy Garoppolo, over 1.5 rushing yards, -115.

    Garoppolo doesn’t run much, but he has run for more than 1.5 yards in six of the past eight games. Our data projects he’ll run 2.4 times for 8.8 yards against Tennessee well above the two yards needed for the over.

    *Odds courtesy of DraftKings

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball, football, and basketball data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as FanGraphs and Football Outsiders.

  • Prop Possibilities: Chiefs at Chargers

    Prop Possibilities: Chiefs at Chargers

    By Steve Schwarz

    Good game tonight with the Chiefs and Chargers squaring off, so we’ve got four prop possibilities with the help of our tools at SISBets.com.

    For the record, we’re 15-18 on these picks this season but are 4-2 on our last 6.

    *Odds courtesy of DraftKings

    1) Patrick Mahomes, under 25.5 completions, -105.

    The dynamic Mahomes we have come to know has disappeared during the Chiefs’ current six-game winning streak. Instead, we have a more conservative version. This version has cracked 300 just once in his last seven games and thrown fewer than 24 completions in five of his last seven starts. Meanwhile, the Chargers’ pass defense allows only 20.4 completions per game. SIS analysis projects Mahomes going 23.9-of-37.1 for 275.4 yards.

    2) Tyreek Hill, under 6.5 receptions, +105.

    With Mahomes throwing less and teams playing two-deep safeties to prevent the long pass, Hill’s numbers having suffered a bit. He has just six receptions in his last two games and 26 catches over his last five starts. The Chargers’ secondary has allowed the fourth-fewest receptions to opposing wide receivers (148) through 13 games.

    Our data predicts Hill to see 8.4 targets and catch 5.5 balls for 67.3 yards.

    3) Darrel Williams, over 14.5 rushing yards, -115.

    Williams has become an integral part of the Kansas City offense since Week 3 and has rushed for more than 14.5 yards in 10-of-his-last 11 games. The return of Clyde Edwards-Helaire from an MCL sprain has reduced his workload, but Williams has still surpassed the number in two of three contests.

    SIS data projects Williams to get 6.2 rushing attempts for 25.7 yards, almost double the necessary amount for the over.

    4) Keenan Allen, under 75.5 receiving yards, -115.

    Allen missed the Week 14 contest due to a positive Covid-19 test, but he’s since had two negative tests and is expected to be on the field Thursday night.

    The Chargers and quarterback Justin Herbert didn’t miss a beat with Allen sidelined and the second-year star quarterback showed he could spread the ball around using wideouts Mike Williams, Jalen Guyton, Josh Palmer, running back Austin Ekeler and his tight ends to perfection. Allen is still the No. 1 guy, but Herbert isn’t afraid to look elsewhere if he’s covered or likely double-covered for much of the night. The Chiefs held Allen to just 50 yards in their first meeting this season.

    Our analysis projects Allen with 7.2 targets and 4.9 receptions for just 53 yards, well below the 75.5 receiving yards total.

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball, football, and basketball data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.

     

    Kansas City at Los Angeles Chargers

     

    Patrick Mahomes

    Over 283.5 yards -115, under -115

    Over 2.5 TD passes +140, under -190

    Over 0.5 INTs +120, under -160

    Over 25.5 completions -130, under -105

     

    Justin Herbert

    Over 287.5 yards -115, under -115

    Over 2.5 TD passes +155, under -210

    Over 0.5 INTs +115, under -115

    Over 25.5 completions -110, under -120

     

     

    TD Scorers

     

    Kansas City –

    Tyreek Hill, -110

    Clyde Edwards-Helaire, +100

    Travis Kelce, +110

    Darrel Williams, +190

    Patrick Mahomes, +350

    Mecole Hardman, +360

    Brian Pringle, +360

    Demarcus Robinson, +550

     

    Los Angeles Chargers –

    Austin Ekeler, -150

    Keenan Allen, +150

    Mike Williams, +175

    Jalen Guyton, +300

    Jared Cook, +300

    Justin Herbert, +400

    Joshua Palmer, +350

    Justin Jackson, +350

    Donald Parham Jr., +450

     

     

    Rushing Yards

     

    Kansas City –

    Clyde Edwards-Helaire, over 56.5 yards -120, under -110

    Darrel Williams, over 14.5 yards -115, under -115

    Patrick Mahomes, over 18.5 yards -115, under -115

     

     

     

    Los Angeles Chargers –

    Justin Herbert, over 15.5 yards, -115, under -115

     

     

    Receptions

     

    Kansas City –

    Tyreek Hill, over 6.5 receptions -140, under +105

    Travis Kelce, over 5.5 receptions -155, under +115

    Clyde Edwards-Helaire, over 2.5 receptions +125, under -165

    Darrel Williams, over 2.5 receptions +115, under -155

     

    Los Angeles Chargers –

    Keenan Allen, over x.5 receptions +115, under +115

    Mike Williams, over x.5 receptions +115, under +115

    Jalen Guyton, over x.5 receptions +115, under +115

    Austin Ekeler, over x.5 receptions +115, under +115

     

     

    Receiving Yards

     

    Kansas City –

    Tyreek Hill, over 81.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Travis Kelce, over 65.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Clyde Edwards-Helaire, over 13.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Darrel Williams, over 18.5 receiving yards -125, under -105

     

    Los Angeles Chargers –

    Keenan Allen, over 75.5 receiving yards -120, under -115

    Mike Williams, over 54.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

  • The 2021 College Football All-SIS Teams

    The 2021 College Football All-SIS Teams

    Before getting into bowl games, the end of each College Football season is followed up by a plethora of awards and accolades. This season at SIS, we used our all-encompassing player value stat, Total Points, and our scouting work as leading references in putting together two teams of All-SIS selections for 2021.

    You can learn more about Total Points and the statistics referenced in this piece here.

    These picks are meant to honor the best-of-the-best in the sport.

     

    First Team Offense

     

    QB – Bryce Young, Alabama

    2021’s Heisman-trophy favorite, Young has led the Crimson Tide to another SEC Championship and back to the playoffs in his first year as a starter. He is 2nd in the country in Independent Quarterback Rating, which builds on the traditional Passer Rating formula by isolating competitive throws and eliminating the effects of results outside his control, and is in the top 10 in catchable and on-target passes while facing the 2nd most pressures among all FBS quarterbacks.

     

    RB – Kenneth Walker III, Michigan State

    The Wake Forest transfer made a tremendous impact on the Spartans’ 10-2 season and 8-0 start. The nation’s 2nd-leading rusher, Walker leads the country in yards after contact, total broken and missed tackles, and for ball carriers with over 200 carries, yards per attempt. A true workhorse, Walker was the only Michigan State running back with a rushing touchdown, logging 18 of them.

     

    RB – Breece Hall, Iowa State

    Hall has been regarded as one of the top running backs in the country over the last couple seasons. In 2021, he tied for the lead in rushing touchdowns with 20 and was 5th with over 121 Yards/Game. He was also only 1 of 3 RBs to force 30 or more broken tackles and 30 or more missed tackles.

     

    WR – Skyy Moore, Western Michigan

    Moore had a respectable season as a true freshman in 2019, but burst onto the scene this year leading all wide receivers with 49 Total Points. He accounted for 40% of Western Michigan’s receiving yards, and with that, his drop percentage of only 1% was the lowest among all WRs with at least 70 targets. His 96.6% On-Target Catch Rate ranked 4th in the FBS.

     

    WR – David Bell, Purdue

    Bell has led the Boilermakers in receiving for three straight seasons, and his 2021 campaign was his best and most relied upon yet, nearly doubling his next closest teammate in targets. 5th in the country in receiving yards per game, Bell also topped all Big-10 receivers in catches, yards, first downs, and broken+missed tackles.

     

    TE – Trey McBride, Colorado State

    McBride will be one of the tight ends headed to Mobile for the Senior Bowl after an outstanding 2021 season where he leads all TEs with 48 Total Points. His 91 catches on the year were tops in FBS by 20 at the position and his 1,124 receiving yards were over 300 more than Isaiah Likely’s 816. He leads all FBS TEs in receptions and receiving yards, and it wasn’t close. His 91 receptions were 20 more than second while his 1,124 receiving yards were over 300 more than anyone else.

     

    OT – Zach Tom, Wake Forest

    Tom was part of an offense that led Wake Forest to it’s first ever AP top 10 ranking and an ACC Championship Game appearance. Wake Forest’s offensive line unit blocked for the 9th-best passing attack in FBS. In addition, Tom leads all offensive linemen with 45 Total Points, all tackles with just a 0.5% overall Blown Block Rate, and ranked top 6 in lowest Blown Block Rate on both passes and runs.

     

    OT – Charles Cross, Mississippi State

    To play left tackle for a Mike Leach Air Raid offense, you need to be able to pass protect on the blind side. Cross, a former 5-star recruit and future NFL draft pick, has led all left tackles in college football in pass blocking snaps for two straight seasons, logging over 1,200, yet still was a 2021 top 5 performer in lowest Blown Block Rate in pass protection among Power-5 left tackles.

     

    OG – Hawk Wimmer, Air Force

    Wimmer not only has one of the better names in college football, but was also one of the best guards in the country as well. He blocked for the top rushing attack in all of FBS, as the Air Force offense gained over 4,000 yards on the ground, nearly 750 more than 2nd-place Army. Additionally, Wimmer’s 0.9% Blown Block Rate overall ranked in the top 25 of all guards.

     

    OG – Blaise Andries, Minnesota

    Minnesota was one of the most run-heavy non-military academy teams in the country in 2021, and Blaise Andries was their versatile anchor. Andries played the bulk of his 730 snaps at right guard but moved all over within the Gophers’ jumbo packages. Minnesota lapped the field in rushing stats while utilizing extra linemen, but it is Andries who leads the Power 5 in Points Earned among players who are primarily guards.

     

    OC – Tyler Linderbaum, Iowa

    Linderbaum’s athleticism and execution level as the center for Kirk Ferentz’ Hawkeyes put offensive line play in the national conversation in 2021, with Heisman mentions rumbling at the season’s midway point. A three-year starter in Iowa’s zone scheme, Linderbaum didn’t register a single holding penalty in 2021 and finished in the top 5 in Total Points for his position.

     

    First Team Defense

     

    DT – Cameron Thomas, San Diego State

    The definition of versatility across the defensive line, Thomas lined up at every single defensive line technique at least once in 2021. Among all DL, his 66 pressures were 2nd-most and his 11.5 sacks tied for 6th. When just looking at QB knockdowns, his 14 leads the country. He’s part of San Diego State’s pass rush that, as a unit, leads the entire FBS with 221 pressures.

     

    DT – Dion Novil, North Texas

    The 5th-year senior was a big presence in the middle of North Texas’ defense, especially as they finished 2021 on a five-game winning streak to become bowl eligible. Novil was 3rd in the country in tackles per game in the run game, top 10 in sacks, and top 15 in pressures among all NCAA defensive linemen when lined up between the guards, all without missing or having a tackle broken.

     

    EDGE – Will Anderson Jr., Alabama

    What else is there to say about Anderson, arguably the best player in college football (Heisman finalist voting be damned)? He leads the country in sacks, tackles for loss, and average tackle depth (0.0), he’s in contention to finish his second straight year as the nation’s leader in total pressures (having only played two seasons), and he’s done it all while rarely leaving the field, playing a ridiculous 83% of snaps this season.

     

    EDGE – Sam Williams, Ole Miss

    As someone who went from barely putting his hand in the ground two years ago to having his hand down almost exclusively this year, Williams put up big numbers for the Ole Miss defense in 2021. His 57 Total Points ranked 2nd among all FBS edge rushers. In addition, his 53 pressures and 11.5 sacks both ranked top 7 in the country.

     

    LB – Damone Clark, LSU

    Clark leads all LBs in Total Points with 75 and ranked just behind Will Anderson Jr. for the most Total Points by any non-QB. Clark leads all players with 140 tackles and 11.7 tackles per game against the run. In coverage, Clark saw the 3rd-most targets among all LBs with 33, but allowed only a 69.9 Passer Rating Against, 63.6% Completion Rate, and 4.2 Yards/Attempt.

     

    LB – Luke Reimer, Nebraska

    It was a difficult year for Nebraska, but Reimer was a critical piece for the Cornhuskers defense, making numerous clutch plays and anchoring their linebacking corps. He is 2nd in the country in coverage points saved from the linebacker position and second on his team among all players in total pass breakups. He also racked up over 100 tackles in the run game, including 15 against Buffalo and 19 against Purdue, with 3 forced fumbles, and finished 2nd at the position in our Total Points metric.

     

    LB/DB – Jalen Pitre, Baylor

    Though classified as a safety, Pitre played all over for Baylor, thus claiming our multi-position spot. While spending most of his time in the slot, he still saw 30 or more snaps at safety, off-ball linebacker, and on the edge. In coverage among safeties with at least 25 targets, his 38.2 Passer Rating Against ranked 4th and 68.8% Deserved Catch Rate ranked 16th. He was the only safety in the top 10 of targets not to be called for a pass interference penalty. Additionally, he tied for the most TFLs against the run among all defensive players.

     

    CB – Montaric Brown, Arkansas

    For a middle of the pack pass defense, Brown did his part for Arkansas this year. Brown excelled for the Razorbacks in 2021, lining up outside on both sides of their defense and even occasionally at safety. He is tied for the most interceptions in college football this season, allowed the 4th lowest deserved catch percentage, and is top 15 in Coverage Points Saved.

     

    CB – Ja’Quan McMillian, East Carolina

    McMillian saw a lot of passes thrown his way in 2021, 11th-most with 67, but held his own throughout the season, tying for the FBS lead with 5 interceptions. His 60 Total Points tied for 2nd among FBS cornerbacks. Among CBs with at least 40 targets, he ranked 11th in Passer Rating Against and 27th in overall Completion Rate.

     

    SAF – Dane Belton, Iowa

    Another versatile DB, Belton played everywhere from safety down to the edge for the Hawkeyes defense. His 54 Total Points were 2nd-most among safeties, behind only Jalen Pitre. Additionally, he tied for the FBS lead with 5 interceptions and allowed only 0.5 Yards Per Cover Snap.

     

    SAF – Khoury Bethley, Hawaii

    Bethley easily could have been our hybrid selection, as he saw a whopping 996 defensive snaps this season that were nearly evenly split between safety, slot and linebacker. He is 11th in the country in coverage snaps, and his completion percentage, QBR, and yards per coverage snap allowed are all well above average marks. He is tied for the most interceptions in the country with 5 and is 4th in the country in total tackles among defensive backs.

     

    First Team Specialists

     

    K – Harrison Mevis, Missouri

    Mevis is tied for the lead among all players who are primarily field goal kickers with 24 Total Points. He is 20-of-22 on field goals, going 3-of-3 from over 50 yards, while also hitting all 40 of his extra point attempts. His 20 made field goals tied for 9th-most in FBS and 2nd-most in the SEC.

     

    P – Matt Araiza, San Diego State

    Araiza has had a historical season in the punting category this year. Not only does he lead all punters in Total Points with 42, but he broke numerous NCAA records including Punt Average (51.4), the most 50-yard punts, and the most 60-yard punts in a single season. Additionally, he had a long punt of 86 yards, 36 of his 76 punts landed inside the 20 and 13 of them landed inside the 10. While he’s known more for his punting, he has also made 17 field goals and all 38 of his extra points in 2021.

     

    Returner – Marcus Jones, Houston

    Marcus Jones is the most versatile player in college football this year and was worth a selection at multiple positions on this list. The Paul Hornung Award winner not only led the nation in punt return yards and touchdowns, ranked 4th in kickoff return average and 2nd in touchdowns, and tied for first in interceptions and third in interception yards, he also has 10 catches and a receiving touchdown on offense.

     

    1st Team All-SIS

     

    Position Name School
    QB Bryce Young Alabama
    RB Kenneth Walker III Michigan State
    RB Breece Hall Iowa State
    WR Skyy Moore Iowa
    WR David Bell Purdue
    TE Trey McBride Colorado State
    OT Charles Cross Mississippi State
    OT Zach Tom Wake Forest
    OG Hawk Wimmer Air Force
    OG Blaise Andries Minnesota
    OC Tyler Linderbaum Iowa

     

    Position Name School
    DT Cameron Thomas San Diego State
    DT Dion Novil North Texas
    EDGE Will Anderson Jr. Alabama
    EDGE Sam Williams Ole Miss
    LB Luke Reimer Nebraska
    LB Damone Clark LSU
    LB/DB Jalen Pitre Baylor
    CB Montaric Brown Arkansas
    CB Ja’Quan McMillian East Carolina
    S Dane Belton Iowa
    S Khoury Bethley Hawaii

     

    Position Name School
    K Harrison Mevis Missouri
    P Matt Araiza San Diego State
    Returner Marcus Jones Houston

     

    2nd Team All-SIS

     

    Position Name School
    QB Matt Corral Ole Miss
    RB Bijan Robinson Texas
    RB Zach Charbonnet UCLA
    WR Garrett Wilson Ohio State
    WR Jahan Dotson Penn State
    TE Isaiah Likely Coastal Carolina
    OT Nick Broeker Ole Miss
    OT Kadeem Telfort UAB
    OG Nous Keobounnam Oregon State
    OG Gabe Blair North Texas
    OC Shane Vallot Louisiana

     

    Position Name School
    DT Phidarian Mathis Alabama
    DT Scott Matlock Boise State
    EDGE Aidan Hutchinson Michigan
    EDGE Will McDonald IV Iowa State
    LB Devin Lloyd Utah
    LB Nakobe Dean Georgia
    LB/DB JoJo Domann Nebraska
    CB Ahmad Gardner Cincinnati
    CB Kyler Gordon Washington
    S Jaylan Foster South Carolina
    S JL Skinner Boise State

     

    Position Name School
    K Caleb Shudak Iowa
    P Jordan Stout Penn State
    Returner Alan Lamar Arkansas State

     

    Led by Heisman finalist Aidan Hutchinson, the 2nd Team is full of stars, as well. 

    Robinson, Charbonnet, Wilson, Broeker, Hutchinson, Lloyd, Shudak, and Stout all ranked in the top 3 of their respective positions in Total Points. The list also includes a true freshman in Gabe Blair from North Texas, a guy who had a handful of Power 5 offers, but chose to stay home in Denton.

    One of the most obvious oddities among these teams is the inclusion of only one Georgia player, Nakobe Dean, on what was the No. 1 team for nearly the entire season. Georgia has the depth to rotate players at many positions. Additionally, the multitude of blowouts it had this year meant that a good number of top players didn’t rack up as many plays. This hurt with regards to their accumulation of Total Points.

    All 10 conferences are represented by these two teams. Our scouts put in a lot of hard work and dedication this season charting games and scouting players for every FBS team, and the first annual All-SIS teams are a culmination of that work.

  • Prop Recommendations: Steelers at Vikings

    Prop Recommendations: Steelers at Vikings

    A pivotal matchup between the two teams that failed to beat the Lions graces us on Thursday Night Football. What a matchup! In all seriousness, this game should be fairly competitive as the Vikings look to right the ship and the Steelers come off an important win against the Ravens. Analysis done using SISBets.com. Let’s get into the picks:

    1) Kirk Cousins, under 22.5 completions, under -105.

    Cousins has been good for the past month, averaging 303 passing yards and over two touchdowns, but he’ll be challenged in this one because he will likely be without his “security blanket” and “red zone specialist” Adam Thielen (high-ankle sprain). The Vikings’ opponent, the Steelers, are only allowing 21.9 completions per game and love to get after the quarterback – leading the league with 37 sacks. SIS analysis has Cousins going 20-for-32 for 243 yards and a fair market value for the under at -199.

    2) Ben Roethlisberger, over 22.5 completions, over -115.

    Most of the talk last week was about the possible future retirement of Roethlisberger, but he’s not done yet. He no longer has those monster games, but his floor is still high. He’s cracked 200 yards in 10 consecutive games, and using his impressive rookies at tight end (Pat Freiermuth) and running back (Najee Harris) and his skilled wideouts he has averaged 24.5 completions. Our projection suggests he’ll go 25-for-38 for 263 yards.

    3) Ray-Ray McCloud, over 12.5 receiving yards -120.

    Over his last three games, McCloud has seen 18 targets, showing he’s becoming more involved in the offense. His yards aren’t there yet, but he’s still averaging 27.3 yards over that span. The Vikings’ pass defense has been pretty bad all season, allowing almost 190 yards to opposing wideouts per game. SIS analysis predicts McCloud to see 4.6 targets and catch 3.3 for 33.4 yards. That’s more than double what’s necessary to win the over.

     

    *Odds courtesy of DraftKings

     

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as Fangraphs and Football Outsiders.

     

    Pittsburgh at Minnesota

    Ben Roethlisberger

    Over 257.5 yards -115, under -115

    Over 1.5 TD passes -120, under -110

    Over 0.5 INTs -125, under -110

    Over 22.5 completions -115, under -115

    Kirk Cousins

    Over 254.5 yards -115, under -115

    Over 1.5 TD passes -110, under -120

    Over 0.5 INTs +110, under -145

    Over 22.5 completions -125, under -105

     

    TD Scorers

    Pittsburgh –

    Najee Harris, -135

    Diontae Johnson, +120

    Chase Claypool, +190

    Pat Freiermuth, +190

    Ray-Ray McCloud, +380

    James Washington, +500

    Benny Snell, +1300

    Ben Roethlisberger, +1600

    Minnesota –

    Alexander Mattison, -125

    Justin Jefferson, -105

    K.J. Osborn, +200

    Tyler Conklin, +225

    Dede Westbrook, +350

    Kene Nwangwu, +400

    Kirk Cousins +850

     

    Rushing Yards

    Pittsburgh –

    Najee Harris, over 71.5 yards -115, under -115

     

    Receptions

    Pittsburgh –

    Chase Claypool, over 3.5 receptions -150, under +115

    Diontae Johnson, over 6.5 receptions -115, under -115

    Najee Harris, over 3.5 receptions -130, under -105

    Pat Freiermuth, over 3.5 receptions -125, under -105

    Minnesota –

    Justin Jefferson, over 7.5 receptions +100, under -135

    Tyler Conklin, over 3.5 receptions -160, under +120

     

    Receiving Yards

    Pittsburgh –

    Chase Claypool, over 51.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Diontae Johnson, over 79.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Najee Harris, over 26.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Pat Freiermuth, over 36.5 receiving yards -110, under -120

    Ray-Ray McCloud, over 12.5 receiving yards -120, under -110

    Minnesota –

    Justin Jefferson, over 92.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    Tyler Conklin, over 39.5 receiving yards -115, under -115

    K.J. Osborn, over 41.5 receiving yards -125, under -115

  • Prop Recommendations: Cowboys vs Saints

    Prop Recommendations: Cowboys vs Saints

    by STEVE SCHWARZ

    Here are three props that are statistically favorable tonight based on the analysis done by SISBets.com.

    In the interests of full disclosure, our picks are 11-16 this season but we believe over the long haul that our numbers provide accurate and worthwhile insights.

     

    *Odds courtesy of DraftKings

     

    1) Ezekiel Elliott, over 18.5 receiving yards, -120.

    Elliott has been a large part of the Cowboys passing game of late, with six catches in each of the last two games. He cracked the 20-yard receiving mark in both games and in five of the last six contests. Based on SIS data, we expect Elliott to get 4.5 targets and catch 3.2 of them for 27.4 yards almost 50% more yards than needed to cover the over number.

     

    2) Juwan Johnson, over 10.5 receiving yards, -110.

    Starter Adam Trautman remains on the IR, which means Juwan Johnson should continue to get a majority of the tight end snaps. Johnson’s production has been inconsistent, but he’s averaging 12 yards per reception so likely only needs one catch to cover the 10.5-yard number.

    New starting quarterback Taysom Hill can hardly be worse than what we saw from Trevor Siemian on Thanksgiving Day. In fact, Hill produced three games last season where he threw for more than 230 yards in four starts. The change under center should help Johnson and we are projecting 2.9 targets, 1.9 receptions and 22.1 yards, more than double what is needed for the over.

     

    3) CeeDee Lamb, under 4.5 receptions, +120.

    It’s always a question mark when your receiver is likely to go head-to-head against Marshon Lattimore. Although he hasn’t been as good in 2021 as past seasons, Lattimore is still a tough customer for a receiver to take advantage of, particularly in front of a national television audience. SIS analysis sets Lamb’s totals with 5.7 targets and 3.7 receptions for 47.2 yards.

     

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball, footbal, and basketballl data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as FanGraphs and Football Outsiders.

     

    Dallas at New Orleans

    Dak Prescott

    Over 283.5 yards -115, under -115

    Over 1.5 TD passes -230, under +170

    Over 0.5 INTs -105, under -130

    Over 24.5 completions -110, under -125

     

    Taysom Hill

    Over 209.5 yards -115, under -115

     

     

    TD Scorers

    Dallas –

    Ezekiel Elliott, -125

    CeeDee Lamb, +120

    Michael Gallup, +175

    Cedrick Wilson, +225

    Tony Pollard, +165

    Dalton Schultz, +180

    Amari Cooper, +180

    Dak Prescott, +450

     

    New Orleans –

    Alvin Kamara, +100

    Mark Ingram, +110

    Taysom Hill, +160

    Marquez Callaway, +220

    Tre’Quan Smith, +250

    Deonte Harris, +250

    Nick Vannett, +400

    Tony Jones, Jr., +650

    Ty Montgomery, +650

    Kenny Stills, +850

     

    Rushing Yards

    Dallas –

    Dak Prescott, over 8.5 yards -115, under -115

    Ezekiel Elliott, over 46.5 yards -115, under -115

    Tony Pollard, over 43.5 yards -115, under -115

     

    New Orleans –

    Taysom Hill, over 32.5 yards, -115, under -115

     

    Receptions

    Dallas –

    Ezekiel Elliott, over 2.5 receptions -170, under +125

    CeeDee Lamb, over 4.5 receptions -160, under +120

    Dalton Schultz, over 3.5 receptions -170, under +125

    Michael Gallup, over 3.5 receptions -140, under +105

    Tony Pollard, over 2.5 receptions +105, under -140

     

    Receiving Yards

    Dallas –

    Dalton Schultz, over 42.5 yards -115, under -115

    Ezekiel Elliott, over 18.5 yards -120, under -110

    Michael Gallup, over 46.5 yards -115, under -115

    Tony Pollard, over 16.5 yards -115, under -115

    Amari Cooper, over 47.5 yards -115, under -115

     

    New Orleans –

    Deonte Harris, over 33.5 yards -115, under -115

    Juwan Johnson, over 10.5 yards -110, under -120

    Marquez Callaway, over 30.5 yards -115, under -115

    Tre’Quan Smith, over 39.5 yards -115, under -115

  • Thanksgiving Football Props to Consider

    Thanksgiving Football Props to Consider

    By Steve Schwarz

    Happy Thanksgiving. Let’s see if we can use SISBets.com to make it an even happier one for you. Here are four prop possibilities from Thursday’s games.

    *Odds courtesy of DraftKings

    1) Stefon Diggs, under 6.5 receptions, -145.

    Diggs is coming off one of his worst games of the season, catching four balls for just 23 yards in a blowout loss to Indianapolis. He’s struggled for much of this season, having produced seven or more receptions just four times in 10 games. By contrast, he reached that level 11 times over 16 games in 2020. Additionally, the Saints have allowed the fewest receptions to wide receivers in the NFL, just 79 through 10 games.

    SIS data predicts Diggs will catch 4.8 of 7.1 targets for 61.8 yards. The oddsmakers have the under at -145, but the true odds should be -378.

    2) David Montgomery, over 16.5 receiving yards, -115.

    In 2020 Montgomery caught 54 balls for 438 yards over 15 games. He hasn’t been on the field much in 2021 due to injury, but he’s healthy now and with Andy Dalton under center, he’ll likely use Montgomery as his favorite check down option.

    SIS analysis has the running back catching 2.2 balls for 23 yards, almost 36% above the 17 yards required for the over.

    3) D’Andre Swift, over 33.5 receiving yards, -115.

    One of Swift’s best abilities is catching out of the backfield. He has 53 receptions for 420 yards and two scores this season. He’s caught 33-or-more yards in seven of 10 games.

    Our analysis projects Swift seeing 6.6 targets with 4.8 receptions for 46.3 yards. The odds are -115, but he should crush the over total easily.

    4) Tony Jones Jr., to score a touchdown, +450.

    If you are looking for a long shot which pays well, we recommend Jones Jr. to score a touchdown. The oddsmakers have set the odds at +450, but our data shows that with starter Alvin Kamara set to be inactive and Mark Ingram not at 100% (knee issues),

    Jones has a 21% chance of scoring on the ground and 17% through the air for a “fair market value” at +203.

     

    Sports Info Solutions has been an innovator in the collection and analysis of sports data for almost two decades. SIS specializes in baseball and football data, using professional scouting practices to collect the most detailed and accurate information in both sports. Their data can be found in the majority of team front offices, and on websites such as FanGraphs and Football Outsiders.

     

  • 3 Prop Bet Options for Patriots-Falcons

    3 Prop Bet Options for Patriots-Falcons

    By STEVEN SCHWARZ

    Three props for tonight’s game between the Patriots and Falcons, using SISBets.com to help us out. We’re trying to improve on our 8-12 season record and our putting our faith in these numbers.

    1)  Matt Ryan, over 21.5 completions, -110.

    It’s been a year of adjustments for the veteran Falcons’ quarterback, Matt Ryan, who lost Julio Jones to the Titans in an off-season trade and new No. 1 receiver Calvin Ridley to personal issues. But Ryan has been a solid option for most of the season with six multi-touchdown passing games and averaging 24 completions for 253 yards per game.

    He’s reached 22 or-more completions in six of nine starts this season and SIS analysis projects he’ll throw 37.3 times, completing 24.4 for 268 yards. The odds for the over are set at -110, but we think the real odds should be -249.

     

    2) Kendrick Bourne over 33.5 yards, -115.

    3) Kendrick Bourne over 2.5 receptions, -180.

    The former San Francisco 49ers’ receivers has been a solid contributor in his first season with the Patriots. For the season he’s averaging 4.3 targets, 3.3 receptions and 52 receiving yards per game.

    But looking closer at the numbers, after a slow start in the first two contests, he’s averaged 5.3 targets, 3.8 receptions and 61.6 yards. Last weekend he led all Patriots’ receivers in receptions (tied at 4) and yards (98).

    The Falcon’s pass defense has been suspect this season, allowing 1,311 yards and 11 touchdowns to opposing wideouts. SIS data projects Bourne will catch 3.7-of-5.2 targets for 48 yards making the over on both receptions and yards excellent plays for Thursday night.

     

    Quarterback Passing Yards

    ————————————

    Mac Jones, 251.5 yards, over -115/under -115

    Matt Ryan, 251.5 yards, over -115/under -115

     

    Quarterback Passing TDs

    ———————————–

    Mac Jones, over 1.5 TDs, -130/under +100

    Matt Ryan, over 1.5 TDs, over +125/under -170

     

    Quarterback Interceptions

    ———————————-

    Mac Jones, over 0.5, INTs, +120/under -160

    Matt Ryan, over 0.5 INTs, -160/under +120

     

    Quarterback Completions

    ———————————-

    Mac Jones, over 23.5, +100/under -130

    Matt Ryan, over 21.5, -110/under -120

     

    Touchdown Scorers

    New England –

    Rhamondre Stevenson, -115

    Damien Harris, -115

    Hunter Henry, +120

    Jakobi Meyers, +140

    Kendrick Bourne, +225

    Nelson Agholor, +250

    Brandon Bolden, +300

    Jonnu Smith, +350

    Mac Jones, +600

    N’Keal Harry, +750

    Atlanta –

    Cordarrelle Patterson, +100

    Mike Davis, +180

    Kyle Pitts, +175

    Olamide Zaccheaus, +230

    Russell Gage, +275

    Wayne Gallman, +300

    Matt Ryan, +750

     

    Rushing Yards

    ——————-

    New England –

    Damien Harris, 57.5, over -115/under -115

    Mac Jones, 5.5, over -110/under -120

     

    Atlanta –

    Matt Ryan, 3.5 yards, over -115/under -115

     

    Receiving Yards

    ———————

    New England –

    Hunter Henry, 33.5, over -115/under -115

    Jakobi Meyers, 55.5, over -115/under -115

    Kendrick Bourne, 33.5, over -115/under -115

    Nelson Agholor, 35.5, over -115/under -115

     

     

    Atlanta –

    Kyle Pitts, 65.5, over -115/under -115

    Olamide Zaccheaus, 34.5, over -115/under -115

    Russell Gage, 41.5, over -115/under -115

     

    Receptions

    ————–

    New England –

    Hunter Henry, 3.5, over +120/under -160

    Jakobi Meyers, 4.5, over -150/under +115

    Kendrick Bourne, 2.5, over -180/under +135

    Nelson Agholor, 3.5, over +140/under -190

     

    Atlanta –

    Kyle Pitts, 4.5, over -165/under +120

    Olamide Zaccheaus, 2.5, over -140/under +105

    Russell Gage, 3.5, over -130/under -105

  • Sports Info Solutions Announces Website Launch and Rebrand

    Sports Info Solutions Announces Website Launch and Rebrand

    ALLENTOWN, Pa.  – SIS, a leading sports data and analytics provider, has completed an extensive rebranding effort in response to continued growth and expansion into new data markets. The rebrand includes a new website, company logo, color palette, refreshed positioning, more informative product descriptions, and an exciting company video, which can be viewed on the SIS website homepage: www.sportsinfosolutions.com.

    For the last 20 years, SIS has been a trusted provider of in-depth, rich sports data to major league teams, sports media, and fans. Powered by proprietary software and a team of analysts combing through game footage for the smallest details, SIS gives teams, sportsbooks, bettors, and fantasy players the edge they need.

    Energized by the proliferation of sports data and analytics across pro sports and by continued expansion of sports betting through legislation and regulation in the U.S., SIS will take advantage of the tremendous market opportunity. Its reputation for fast, extremely reliable data is proven with its impressive and loyal customer base.

    “This rebrand has been a long time in the making, and we’re thrilled to introduce our new look to our clients and customers,” said CEO Dan Hannigan-Daley. “SIS’ updated logo and narrative better represents the quality of data, our people and our products. We’re expanding into new markets with our deep data sets, including sports betting, and this rebrand positions us as reliable, innovative leaders in the industry.”

    SIS’ updated look and use of unique, dynamic sports imagery is sure to provide an engaging experience for partners and sports fans alike. SIS partnered with Team, a Brooklyn-based strategic design studio, to creatively execute the update.

    About SIS:

    Our mission is to enrich and optimize the decision-making process for sports teams, sportsbooks, and sports fans. Learn more at www.sportsinfosolutions.com.

  • World’s No. 1 QB Rankings: Cousins is now No. 2!

    World’s No. 1 QB Rankings: Cousins is now No. 2!

    by MARK SIMON AND ALEX VIGDERMAN

    So this is the part where you tell us that our ratings are bananas.

    We like our World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking Tool.

    It does what we want it to do. It takes a logical framework and turns out a list of the quarterbacks who fare best by our rules.

    We were used to the results we would get the last couple of years: Some combination of Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, and Tom Brady as the No. 1, 2, and 3 quarterbacks. And then a veteran right behind them.

    Made sense.

    And then Week 9 of the 2021 NFL season happened. That’s where things get crazy.

    A reminder that The World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking is based on a model devised by Bill James to evaluate The World’s No. 1 Starting Pitcher. Bill’s model was based on cumulative evaluation of individual starts over an extended time period using the metric Game Score.

    The World’s No. 1 Quarterback Ranking uses our player value stat Total Points to make a cumulative evaluation of game performance over a three-year period. The key to our calculation is Points Above Average (PAA), which is the statistical underpinning of Total Points that is centered at zero so that positive numbers are above average and negative numbers are below average.

    Success over time is key to maintaining a good ranking. Prolonged inactivity results in a ranking drop. The most recent performances carry the most weight.

     

    Tom Brady (last week’s #1) and Aaron Rodgers (last week’s #2) didn’t play in Week 9. Brady stayed at No. 1 and Rodgers dropped to No. 3.

    Patrick Mahomes (#3) had a bad game.

    Matthew Stafford (#5) had a bad game.

    Derek Carr (#6) had a bad game.

    Lamar Jackson (#7) had a bad game.

    Kirk Cousins was just OK for the second straight week—barely above zero Points Above Average in both, which has caused his PAA/Snap rating that underlies this ranking to drop each time. But “just OK” in the context of everyone around him being mediocre meant that Cousins jumped from the No. 4 spot to No. 2.

    (As an aside, it was such a weird week that Colt McCoy and Trevor Siemien cracked the top ten quarterbacks for the week.)

    And replacing him at No. 4 was Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, who had the best game by Points Above Average of any QB in 2021. Herbert jumped four spots in the rankings, leapfrogging some pretty experienced competition.

    So here’s our new (gulp!) Top 10 Quarterbacks rankings.

    1. Tom Brady
    2. Kirk Cousins
    3. Aaron Rodgers
    4. Justin Herbert
    5. Patrick Mahomes
    6. Matthew Stafford
    7. Kyler Murray
    8. Josh Allen
    9. Lamar Jackson (excluding his underwhelming performance Thu vs. MIA)
    10. Derek Carr

    We’ve been waiting for Cousins to drop since he jumped to the No. 4 spot in our rankings after Week 3. But he hasn’t done that. He’s posted a positive PAA in every game he’s played this season. Admittedly the last two weeks haven’t been great, but as we noted, not-great looks good when everyone around him is struggling and the other best performances come from the likes of Matt Ryan (currently No. 14).

    The Vikings are wasting a good-to-great year from Cousins with some of these nailbiter defeats. Or maybe what’s happened so far portends better things to come?

     

    Better things have come for Herbert, who ranked as low as No. 11 this season but now stands tall at No. 4. Having a bye after his worst game of the season (against the Ravens) was a blessing for Herbert, who has totaled 20 PAA the last two weeks against the Patriots and Eagles.

    Herbert was 32-of-38 for 356 yards and two touchdowns in the latter game against an Eagles defense that has repeatedly been chopped up by quarterbacks this season.

    He wasn’t terribly aggressive downfield, but boy was he effective, going 4-of-5 for 103 yards in that game on throws at least 15 yards downfield. That effectiveness has pervaded his 2021 campaign. His 21 PAA on passes at least 15 yards downfield is a near match for his 22 PAA on those passes in 2020, in which he (unsurprisingly) had twice as many attempts.

    And just for good measure, the second-year star added two sneaks for first downs on third and fourth down.

     

    Here is the full list for this week. If you have gripes about Cousins, here is the place where we’ll point out that Cousins, Rodgers, Herbert, and Mahomes are all bundled tightly enough together that it wouldn’t be surprising if the order changes every week for the next few. And given that Herbert was able to vault into that group with one great game among a morass of mediocrity, the same thing could cause someone like Stafford to enter the conversation as well.

     

    Rk Player PAA per 60 Last Week Rank Start Of Season Rank
    1 Tom Brady 5.6 1 3
    2 Kirk Cousins 4.8 4 9
    3 Aaron Rodgers 4.8 2 1
    4 Justin Herbert 4.7 8 10
    5 Patrick Mahomes 4.6 3 2
    6 Matthew Stafford 3.6 5 14
    7 Kyler Murray 3.1 10 15
    8 Josh Allen 3 9 6
    9 Lamar Jackson 3 7 12
    10 Derek Carr 2.9 6 7
    11 Russell Wilson 2.2 12 5
    12 Deshaun Watson 2 11 4
    13 Ryan Tannehill 1.9 13 8
    14 Matt Ryan 1.6 15 11
    15 Dak Prescott 0.9 14 17
    16 Teddy Bridgewater 0.9 16 18
    17 Baker Mayfield 0.2 17 13
    18 Jameis Winston -0.6 18 55
    19 Jalen Hurts -0.8 23 70
    20 Jacoby Brissett -0.8 20 21
    21 Joe Burrow -1.1 19 22
    22 Ryan Fitzpatrick -1.3 22 16
    23 Taysom Hill -1.3 25 20
    24 Cam Newton -1.7 26 19
    25 Trevor Siemian -1.9 30 N/A
    26 Mac Jones -1.9 24 N/A
    27 Jimmy Garoppolo -2 57 25
    28 Colt McCoy -2 50 51
    29 Tyrod Taylor -2 21 56
    30 Carson Wentz -2.1 62 81
    31 Tua Tagovailoa -2.1 27 50
    32 Chad Henne -2.2 28 29
    33 Mike White -2.2 31 N/A
    34 John Wolford -2.3 29 24
    35 Mason Rudolph -2.4 32 26
    36 Marcus Mariota -2.4 33 27
    37 C.J. Beathard -2.5 34 30
    38 Case Keenum -2.5 35 60
    39 Jeff Driskel -2.5 36 32
    40 Kyle Allen -2.6 38 35
    41 Gardner Minshew -2.6 37 33
    42 Blaine Gabbert -2.6 39 37
    43 Brett Hundley -2.6 40 36
    44 Matt Schaub -2.6 41 38
    45 Josh McCown -2.6 42 39
    46 Joe Webb -2.7 44 42
    47 Joshua Dobbs -2.7 45 43
    48 Blake Bortles -2.7 46 45
    49 Sean Mannion -2.7 48 46
    50 Chase Daniel -2.7 47 40
    51 AJ McCarron -2.7 49 48
    52 Matt Barkley -2.7 51 49
    53 Geno Smith -2.7 52 N/A
    54 Nate Sudfeld -2.8 53 52
    55 Garrett Gilbert -2.8 54 54
    56 Josh Rosen -2.8 55 58
    57 Brian Hoyer -2.8 56 59
    58 Chris Streveler -2.9 59 62
    59 Joe Flacco -2.9 60 63
    60 David Blough -2.9 58 61
    61 Tyler Huntley -2.9 61 57
    62 Jordan Love -3 N/A N/A
    63 Robert Griffin III -3 64 64
    64 Drew Lock -3 63 23
    65 Brett Rypien -3 65 65
    66 Jarrett Stidham -3.1 66 66
    67 Will Grier -3.1 67 69
    68 Ben DiNucci -3.1 68 68
    69 Nick Mullens -3.2 69 72
    70 Andy Dalton -3.2 72 47
    71 Alex Smith -3.3 71 74
    72 Jared Goff -3.3 70 31
    73 Brandon Allen -3.3 73 75
    74 Mike Glennon -3.4 74 73
    75 Ryan Finley -3.4 75 77
    76 Trey Lance -3.4 76 N/A
    77 Nick Foles -3.5 77 76
    78 Zach Wilson -3.5 78 N/A
    79 Cooper Rush -3.5 79 N/A
    80 Dwayne Haskins -3.8 80 78
    81 Daniel Jones -3.8 82 71
    82 Phillip Walker -3.9 83 67
    83 Jake Luton -3.9 81 79
    84 Mitchell Trubisky -4.2 85 80
    85 Trevor Lawrence -4.9 84 N/A
    86 Sam Darnold -4.9 86 82
    87 Justin Fields -5.5 87 N/A
    88 Davis Mills -5.5 88 N/A
    89 Ben Roethlisberger -5.8 89 53
    90 Taylor Heinicke -6.6 90 28